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Pinar del Río Ospreys 6, Tynda Police 2                      2046-04-21 · #958
at Twilight Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Pinar del Río           6      -    6    8    0
Tynda                   2      0    2    1    1

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gipson      rf ......    3   1   2   1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Bautista    3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Buchhol pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Coyle       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.000
Lapeña      cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Mitra       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Reyes       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Barnhar ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  c-Spence  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Pérez   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Difo    ph ......    3   2   2   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.667
Bamba       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Esponda     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Miyazaki    j  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  30   6   8   1   0   2   5   3  11   0   1  0.267
  2B: Gipson (3).
  HR: Gipson (2), off Kuzyayev; Difo (1), off Chesnokov.
  GIDP: Lapeña (1).
  a-Ran for Bautista in the 2nd.
  b-Batted for Esponda in the 1st.
  c-Grounded out for Miyazaki in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Spence in the 2nd.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.

TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cherkasov   ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Chesnokov   p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Matviyenko  lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Chernov     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Lykina      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Keramid pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Berger      3b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Motiejūnas  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Han     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Ding    cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-LaFleur ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Komatsu ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Aoki        j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Nelson      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   2   1   1   0   0   2   4  15   0   0  0.037
  2B: Berger (4).
  E: Han (1).
  a-Ran for Lykina in the 7th.
  b-Entered at 2B in the 7th.
  c-Entered at CF in the 8th.
  d-Struck out for Han in the 7th.
  e-Grounded out in the 8th.

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Reyes (W, 1-1) ......    32   27 100%    1    2    2    4   16    0  129    -

TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Chesnokov ...........    10    6  22%    3    4    4    1    4    1   39    -
Kuzyayev (L, 0-1) ...    15   15  56%    2    2    1    1    5    1   61  1-1
Ionov ...............     8    6  22%    3    0    0    1    2    0   30  1-0

  Batting order: Tynda Police (home) batted second; Pinar del Río Ospreys batted first.
  Seconds: TP1 o26 (2-6).
  First pitch 1:05 PM YAKT. Weather: 51°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 836711.
  Walk-Back runs: off Kuzyayev 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 3 Gen Miyazaki Ken Buchholz (3B) 1–0
T 6 Nelson Difo Gen Miyazaki (2B) 2–0
T 6 Nelson Difo David Pérez (1B) 3–0
T 6 Nelson Difo Nelson Difo (HR) 4–0
T 6 Saurav Mitra Nelson Difo (3B) 5–0
T 9 Mac Gipson Mac Gipson (HR) 6–0
B 18 Jonathan Berger Panagiotis Keramidas (1B) 6–1
B 22 Chenxi Ding Jonathan Berger (2B) 6–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Twilight Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 270' · CF 419' · RF 319' · 28' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Tal's Hill
Pinar del Río Ospreys — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 2 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Mac Gipson — double · EV 103 mph · LA +28° · 351 ft Sekou Barnhardt — error · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 167 ft Gen Miyazaki — single · EV 67 mph · LA +12° · 74 ft Emilio Spence — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA -2° · 61 ft Nelson Difo — hr · EV 95 mph · LA +33° · 329 ft Ken Buchholz — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA -4° · 73 ft David Pérez — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +29° · 200 ft Salif Bamba — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +16° · 149 ft Mac Gipson — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +32° · 414 ft Joaquin Esponda — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 87 ft Ray Lapeña — double_play · EV 78 mph · LA -1° · 74 ft Ketel Reyes — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +8° · 73 ft Gen Miyazaki — single · EV 72 mph · LA -3° · 69 ft Sekou Barnhardt — infield_single · EV 64 mph · LA -11° · 61 ft Salif Bamba — fielders_choice · EV 62 mph · LA +8° · 59 ft Ray Lapeña — single · EV 82 mph · LA +8° · 78 ft Nelson Difo — single · EV 67 mph · LA +11° · 66 ft
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 0 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Chenxi Ding — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +20° · 171 ft Edgaras Motiejūnas — fly_out · EV 57 mph · LA +45° · 130 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +26° · 274 ft Denys Matviyenko — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +6° · 86 ft Shozo Aoki — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -24° · 72 ft Grigori Chesnokov — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +32° · 234 ft Jonathan Berger — double · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 332 ft Chenxi Ding — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +2° · 76 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pinar del Río Ospreys
91% deserve-to-win  ·  5.7 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.3 vs expected
contact: 10.9 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+4.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Nelson Difo 95 / +33° Pull Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.48
Mac Gipson 107 / +32° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.99
Sekou Barnhardt 64 / -11° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.83
Gen Miyazaki 72 / -3° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Mac Gipson 103 / +28° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.62
Tynda Police
9% deserve-to-win  ·  1.8 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 4.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-2.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jonathan Berger 92 / +39° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Panagiotis Keramidas 94 / +26° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Chenxi Ding 82 / +20° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.72
Denys Matviyenko 91 / +6° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Chenxi Ding 80 / +2° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.40
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