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Goldzma Drillers 25, Gannibal Stevedores 14                  2046-04-21 · #957
at Budiman Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Gannibal               14      0   14   10    1
Goldzma                25      -   25   22    1

GANNIBAL STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hydrickov   rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Abasirin    ss ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.667
Hodgson     lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Lukusov     c  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Keenumov    cf ......    4   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Jones       1b ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Dementieva  3b ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   2   2   1   0   0  0.000
Korolyov    2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Carruth     p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Young   ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Trapp       j  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Zaytseva    j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Ornstein    j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   1   0  0.500
Totals                  29  14  10   4   0   0  11  11   7   1   2  0.345
  2B: Abasirin (8), Hodgson (4), Trapp (9), Young (10).
  CS: Abasirin 2 (5).
  E: Trapp (5).
  GIDP: Zaytseva (4).
  a-Batted for Zaytseva in the 6th.

GOLDZMA DRILLERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Busio       lf ......    4   3   4   1   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ponck       1b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Jonesov     c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Ryang   pr ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Kimura      p  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
  b-Cicma   3b ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Basavar 2b ......    5   3   3   2   0   0   4   0   1   0   0  0.600
  d-Washing ss ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Sawayan ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  f-Mandlik cf ......    1   1   1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Tatís   c  ......    4   3   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
  h-Bortolo ph ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  i-Boekhou ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  j-Natyazh pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  k-Turnero pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Vanegas     j  ......    5   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.200
Vines-Brigh j  ......    6   1   2   0   0   0   4   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  46  25  22   8   1   3  25   3   7   0   0  0.478
  2B: Busio (9), Basavareddin 2 (9), Washingtonov (2), Tatís (1), Bortolotti (1), Ponck (4), Ryang (4).
  3B: Mandlikov (1).
  HR: Busio (1), off Carruth; Vanegas (5), off Vega; Cicma (1), off McBridin.
  E: Vanegas (2).
  HBP: Natyazhko (1).
  a-Ran for Jonesov in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at 2B in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 5th.
  e-Batted for Mandlikov in the 4th.
  f-Entered at CF in the 6th.
  g-Entered at C in the 7th.
  h-Batted for Cicma in the 5th.
  i-Walked for Washingtonov in the 5th.
  j-Ran for Boekhoudt in the 5th.
  k-Ran for Bortolotti in the 8th.

GANNIBAL STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Carruth (L, 0-3) ....    15    8  30%    5    8    7    2    2    1   63    -
McBridin ............     4    1   4%    3    4    3    0    1    1   15  1-1
Vega ................     4    2   7%    2    3    3    0    0    1   16  1-1
Halvorsen ...........     5    1   4%    3    4    3    1    1    0   10  1-1
Ernst ...............     9    5  19%    6    4    4    0    0    0   23  1-1
Simon ...............    12    9  33%    2    2    2    0    3    0   39  1-1

GOLDZMA DRILLERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kimura ..............    11    6  22%    1    2    1    5    1    0   40    -
Jegal (W, 1-1) ......    13   12  44%    3    4    4    2    4    0   42  3-2
Ju ..................    10    5  19%    4    6    6    2    1    0   34  2-2
Otton ...............     6    4  15%    2    2    2    2    1    0   29  1-1

  Batting order: Goldzma Drillers (home) batted second; Gannibal Stevedores batted first.
  Seconds: GS o26 (14-0), GD o26 (25-14).
  First pitch 5:00 PM MAGT. Weather: 49°F · Wind out · Overcast · Humid. seed 363885.
  Walk-Back runs: off Carruth 1, off McBridin 1, off Halvorsen 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Vasili Dementieva Donni Keenumov (3B) 1–0
T 5 Kevon Ornstein Rich Jones (3B) 2–0
T 5 Wayne Korolyov Aleksei Zaytseva (3B) 3–0
T 9 Daniel Trapp Vasili Dementieva (3B) 4–0
T 17 Aleksei Zaytseva Daniel Trapp (3B) 5–0
T 17 Aleksei Zaytseva Donni Keenumov (3B) 6–0
T 18 Andres Young Kevon Ornstein (3B) 7–0
T 18 Morris Abasirin Aleksei Zaytseva (3B) 8–0
T 18 Tanook Hodgson Andres Young (3B) 9–0
T 20 Vasili Dementieva Tanook Hodgson (3B) 10–0
T 21 Kevon Ornstein Hunter Lukusov (3B) 11–0
T 21 Kevon Ornstein Rich Jones (3B) 12–0
T 22 Morris Abasirin Vasili Dementieva (3B) 13–0
T 25 Daniel Trapp Davison Carruth (3B) 14–0
B 2 Bill Tatís Dann Mandlikov (3B) 14–1
B 3 Jed Basavareddin Bill Tatís (2B) 14–2
B 5 GiVanni Busio Jed Basavareddin (1B) 14–3
B 5 GiVanni Busio GiVanni Busio (HR) 14–4
B 7 Donald Vines-Brightov GiVanni Busio (3B) 14–5
B 8 Nevaeh Washingtonov Ji-ho Ryang (3B) 14–6
B 8 Nevaeh Washingtonov Donald Vines-Brightov (2B) 14–7
B 8 Nevaeh Washingtonov Bill Tatís (1B) 14–8
B 8 Jed Basavareddin Nevaeh Washingtonov (2B) 14–9
B 8 Vincent Cicma Jed Basavareddin (2B) 14–10
B 8 Vincent Cicma Vincent Cicma (HR) 14–11
B 9 GiVanni Busio Vincent Cicma (3B) 14–12
B 9 Ji-ho Ryang GiVanni Busio (2B) 14–13
B 10 Rodolfo Vanegas Ji-ho Ryang (2B) 14–14
B 10 Rodolfo Vanegas Rodolfo Vanegas (HR) 14–15
B 12 Bill Tatís Rodolfo Vanegas (3B) 14–16
B 12 Jed Basavareddin Bill Tatís (2B) 14–17
B 12 Jed Basavareddin Eduard Natyazhko (1B) 14–18
B 12 Todd Bortolotti Jed Basavareddin (2B) 14–19
B 12 Mimito Ponck Todd Bortolotti (2B) 14–20
B 12 GiVanni Busio Mimito Ponck (2B) 14–21
B 16 Donald Vines-Brightov Osamu Kimura (3B) 14–22
B 16 Donald Vines-Brightov Hotaru Sawayanagi (2B) 14–23
B 18 Mimito Ponck Eduard Natyazhko (2B) 14–24
B 23 Donald Vines-Brightov Garth Turnerov (3B) 14–25
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Budiman Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 353' · CF 411' · RF 353' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest Flag Pole in Play
Gannibal Stevedores — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 5 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
353' 411' 353' Tommy Hydrickov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +51° · 225 ft Hunter Lukusov — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +4° · 81 ft Donni Keenumov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 120 ft Kevon Ornstein — error · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Davison Carruth — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 190 ft Morris Abasirin — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 201 ft Rich Jones — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 121 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — double_play · EV 78 mph · LA -0° · 74 ft Andres Young — double · EV 96 mph · LA +35° · 347 ft Daniel Trapp — fielders_choice · EV 93 mph · LA -16° · 89 ft Donni Keenumov — single · EV 56 mph · LA -16° · 54 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — single · EV 77 mph · LA -12° · 73 ft Morris Abasirin — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 197 ft Tanook Hodgson — double · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 251 ft Hunter Lukusov — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA +8° · 67 ft Wayne Korolyov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Kevon Ornstein — error · EV 79 mph · LA +8° · 75 ft Kevon Ornstein — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Morris Abasirin — single · EV 78 mph · LA +11° · 92 ft Hunter Lukusov — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +43° · 250 ft Daniel Trapp — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 152 ft Donni Keenumov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 151 ft
Goldzma Drillers — Batted Balls
32 BIP· 9 1B · 9 XBH · 3 HR
353' 411' 353' Rodolfo Vanegas — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +25° · 270 ft Dann Mandlikov — triple · EV 105 mph · LA +22° · 310 ft Bill Tatís — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 113 ft Jed Basavareddin — single · EV 116 mph · LA +8° · 157 ft Mimito Ponck — fly_out · EV 114 mph · LA +13° · 227 ft GiVanni Busio — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 369 ft Ji-ho Ryang — double · EV 106 mph · LA +16° · 239 ft Todd Bortolotti — double · EV 99 mph · LA +15° · 199 ft Eduard Natyazhko — single · EV 90 mph · LA -7° · 85 ft Nevaeh Washingtonov — double · EV 93 mph · LA +24° · 261 ft Jed Basavareddin — double · EV 114 mph · LA +24° · 389 ft Vincent Cicma — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +35° · 454 ft GiVanni Busio — double · EV 94 mph · LA +14° · 162 ft Osamu Kimura — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 122 ft Bill Tatís — double · EV 90 mph · LA +11° · 125 ft Ji-ho Ryang — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +1° · 91 ft Hotaru Sawayanagi — single · EV 95 mph · LA -14° · 90 ft Todd Bortolotti — single · EV 81 mph · LA +20° · 164 ft Donald Vines-Brightov — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +32° · 268 ft Rodolfo Vanegas — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +49° · 476 ft Jed Basavareddin — double · EV 113 mph · LA +25° · 390 ft Mimito Ponck — double · EV 105 mph · LA +14° · 205 ft GiVanni Busio — single · EV 108 mph · LA +8° · 102 ft Osamu Kimura — single · EV 94 mph · LA +21° · 236 ft Bill Tatís — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -12° · 67 ft Ji-ho Ryang — line_out · EV 67 mph · LA +14° · 83 ft Rodolfo Vanegas — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 330 ft Jed Basavareddin — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 140 ft Mimito Ponck — error · EV 95 mph · LA -7° · 90 ft GiVanni Busio — single · EV 101 mph · LA +14° · 185 ft Donald Vines-Brightov — single · EV 82 mph · LA +22° · 184 ft Donald Vines-Brightov — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -14° · 95 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Gannibal Stevedores
18% deserve-to-win  ·  9.2 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +4.8 vs expected
contact: 11.2 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+2.8 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Morris Abasirin 92 / +18° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Tanook Hodgson 92 / +24° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Donni Keenumov 56 / -16° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.83
Daniel Trapp 100 / +11° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Aleksei Zaytseva 77 / -12° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Goldzma Drillers
82% deserve-to-win  ·  19.5 expected runs
actual 25 runs  ·  +5.5 vs expected
contact: 37.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 40.0 (+3.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rodolfo Vanegas 110 / +49° Pull Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.47
GiVanni Busio 100 / +34° Center Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.98
Rodolfo Vanegas 119 / +18° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.72
Mimito Ponck 114 / +13° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Dann Mandlikov 105 / +22° Pull Triple 1.6 → 3 +1.42
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