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Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers 8, Liverpool BC 7             2046-04-20 · #901
at Munro Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Aberdeen                8    8    6    0
Liverpool               7    7    8    0

ABERDEEN UNIVERSAL WATCHMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Karas       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Walker      p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Pavlenk pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Carroll     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Telford c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Ramsey  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Pešek   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Celis   nf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Carusa  c  ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  g-Root    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Brown   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Hemp    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
Kudryavtsev j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Williams    j  ......    2   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Zelem       j  ......    2   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  15   8   6   3   2   1   7   3   6   0   1  0.400
  2B: Kudryavtseva (9), Celis (5), Walker (1).
  3B: Williams (3), Zelem (3).
  HR: Carusa (3), off Mariappa.
  SB: Celis (4).
  a-Ran for Walker in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at NF in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at C in the 4th.
  g-Entered at C in the 6th.
  h-Struck out for Ramsey in the 3rd.
  i-Grounded out for Pešek in the 4th.

LIVERPOOL BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Service     c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Hampton     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Din-Mbuh    3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Lynch       cf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   1  0.500
Carragher   2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mariappa    p  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Kelly       ss ......    4   1   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Etta        1b ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Tong        lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1   0  0.000
Fretz       j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Watkins     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hašek       j  ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  27   7   8   4   0   0   7   6   6   1   1  0.296
  2B: Lynch (4), Kelly 2 (10), Etta (1).
  SB: Hašek (2).
  HBP: Hampton (1), Tong (2).
  GIDP: Carragher (1).
  GITP: Din-Mbuh (1).


ABERDEEN UNIVERSAL WATCHMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Walker (W, 3-0) .....    18   16  59%    4    2    2    3    2    0   62    -
Fahey ...............    11    6  22%    4    4    4    1    4    0   42  1-0
Wattel ..............     6    5  19%    0    1    1    2    0    0   25  2-1

LIVERPOOL BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mariappa (L, 2-2) ...    13    8  30%    4    5    5    1    5    1   44    -
Rampersaud ..........     5    2   7%    2    3    2    2    1    0   13  1-1

  Batting order: Liverpool BC (home) batted first; Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM GMT. Weather: 75°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Dry. seed 243341.
  Powerplays: Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers — Celis NF (O8)
  Walk-Back runs: off Rampersaud 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 10 Aaron Service Dominik Hašek (3B) 0–1
B 16 Eamon Kelly Rovman Mariappa (1B) 0–2
B 19 Eamon Kelly Nehemiah Etta (2B) 0–3
B 19 Olivier Fretz Ho-chol Tong (3B) 0–4
B 22 Oisin Lynch Eamon Kelly (3B) 0–5
B 22 Oisin Lynch Olivier Fretz (2B) 0–6
B 23 Aaron Service Dominik Hašek (3B) 0–7
T 6 Papu Celis Igor Kudryavtseva (3B) 1–7
T 6 Papu Celis Fabian Telford (2B) 2–7
T 7 Tyrone Walker Papu Celis (3B) 3–7
T 8 Padraig Carusa Dalibor Pavlenka (3B) 4–7
T 8 Padraig Carusa Padraig Carusa (HR) 5–7
T 8 Ramon Williams Padraig Carusa (3B) 6–7
T 8 Jarrod Zelem Ramon Williams (3B) 7–7
T 9 Matthew Hemp Jarrod Zelem (3B) 8–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Munro Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 344' · CF 429' · RF 298' · 33' wall). Short Porch (Right).
The Porch Crow's Nest Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 0 1B · 5 XBH · 1 HR
344' 429' 298' Wall 33' Padraig Carusa — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +54° · 294 ft Ramon Williams — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +30° · 239 ft Jarrod Zelem — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 149 ft Igor Kudryavtseva — double · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 382 ft Papu Celis — double · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 336 ft Tyrone Walker — double · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 295 ft Padraig Carusa — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +31° · 353 ft Ramon Williams — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 260 ft Jarrod Zelem — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 238 ft
Liverpool BC — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 5 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
344' 429' 298' Wall 33' Aaron Service — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -8° · 75 ft Montavious Din-Mbuh — line_out · EV 66 mph · LA +11° · 66 ft Will Carragher — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Olivier Fretz — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +3° · 75 ft Theo Watkins — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 307 ft Eamon Kelly — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +26° · 286 ft Nehemiah Etta — double · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 299 ft Ho-chol Tong — single · EV 89 mph · LA +42° · 313 ft Dominic Hampton — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +18° · 224 ft Oisin Lynch — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -6° · 87 ft Ho-chol Tong — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +27° · 333 ft Aaron Service — single · EV 78 mph · LA +13° · 105 ft Montavious Din-Mbuh — triple_play · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Rovman Mariappa — single · EV 82 mph · LA +18° · 158 ft Eamon Kelly — double · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 246 ft Nehemiah Etta — single · EV 98 mph · LA +7° · 93 ft Olivier Fretz — single · EV 64 mph · LA +15° · 81 ft Oisin Lynch — double · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 294 ft Eamon Kelly — double · EV 94 mph · LA +16° · 185 ft Aaron Service — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +50° · 398 ft Nehemiah Etta — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 199 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers
25% deserve-to-win  ·  6.9 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +1.1 vs expected
contact: 11.9 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+4.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Padraig Carusa 100 / +31° Oppo Home Run 1.4 → 4 +2.62
Ramon Williams 100 / +20° Pull Triple 1.6 → 3 +1.44
Jarrod Zelem 100 / +18° Oppo Triple 1.6 → 3 +1.44
Jarrod Zelem 100 / +11° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Padraig Carusa 88 / +54° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.44
Liverpool BC
75% deserve-to-win  ·  11.9 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -4.9 vs expected
contact: 14.7 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-2.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ho-chol Tong 101 / +27° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Dominic Hampton 98 / +18° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.31
Nehemiah Etta 92 / +31° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Oisin Lynch 92 / +30° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Ho-chol Tong 89 / +42° Center Stay (out) 1.2 → 0 -1.16
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