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Seville Continental Garage 17, Zagreb Miners 16              2046-04-20 · #902
at The Wedge
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Zagreb                 16      -   16   16    0
Seville                17      0   17   16    0

ZAGREB MINERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Khelifi     3b ......    4   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Diouf       rf ......    4   2   3   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.750
Fitzgerald  cf ......    3   1   3   0   1   0   4   2   0   0   0  1.000
Larentzakis lf ......    5   2   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.400
Ambri       ss ......    5   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.200
Earls       2b ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Tachtsidis  1b ......    5   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.200
Greggi      p  ......    2   3   2   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   1  1.000
  a-Hakimi  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.000
Burley      j  ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  37  16  16   4   1   0  14   8   7   0   1  0.432
  2B: Diouf (3), Larentzakis 2 (10), Earls (4).
  3B: Fitzgerald (1).
  SB: Greggi (1).
  GIDP: Ambri (2).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

SEVILLE CONTINENTAL GARAGE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Lange       lf ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   2   2   0   1   0  1.000
Nagelsmann  ss ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Brook       rf ......    4   4   3   0   0   2   6   0   1   0   0  0.750
Šporar      c  ......    4   2   3   3   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.750
Ferhat      2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Carmona     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Parra       3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Barakat     p  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Amrabat     cf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Saidi       j  ......    3   4   3   2   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
Tyler       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Greggi      j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  37  17  16   8   0   3  16   7  12   1   0  0.432
  2B: Nagelsmann (7), Šporar 3 (12), Barakat (3), Saidi 2 (10), Amrabat (1).
  HR: Brook 2 (2), off Greggi, Brunckhorst; Saidi (3), off Greggi.
  CS: Lange (1), Brook (2).


ZAGREB MINERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Greggi (L, 3-1) .....    17    9  33%    7    7    6    2    6    2   69    -
Atal ................    14    9  33%    6    5    5    4    2    0   58  1-1
Brunckhorst .........    13    9  33%    3    5    4    1    4    1   47  1-1

SEVILLE CONTINENTAL GARAGE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Barakat (W, 4-0) ....    28   18  67%    7    8    8    6    5    0  106    -
Beier ...............    11    6  22%    6    6    6    1    1    0   45  3-2
Wolf ................     5    3  11%    2    2    2    1    1    0   22  2-2

  Batting order: Seville Continental Garage (home) batted first; Zagreb Miners batted second.
  Seconds: SCG o26 (17-0).
  First pitch 6:00 PM GMT. Weather: 72°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 948944.
  Walk-Back runs: off Greggi 1, off Atal 1, off Brunckhorst 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Aljaž Šporar Alan Nagelsmann (3B) 0–1
B 5 Mustapha Saidi Emad Barakat (2B) 0–2
B 5 Mustapha Saidi Mustapha Saidi (HR) 0–3
B 7 Adil Amrabat Mustapha Saidi (3B) 0–4
B 8 Jarell Brook Adil Amrabat (2B) 0–5
B 8 Jarell Brook Robert Lange (1B) 0–6
B 8 Jarell Brook Jarell Brook (HR) 0–7
B 8 Aljaž Šporar Jarell Brook (3B) 0–8
B 9 Gijs Parra Aljaž Šporar (3B) 0–9
B 13 Robert Lange Mustapha Saidi (3B) 0–10
B 14 Robert Lange Stefano Greggi (2B) 0–11
B 17 Amayas Ferhat Aljaž Šporar (2B) 0–12
B 20 Mustapha Saidi Amayas Ferhat (2B) 0–13
B 24 Jarell Brook Mustapha Saidi (2B) 0–14
B 24 Jarell Brook Robert Lange (1B) 0–15
B 24 Jarell Brook Jarell Brook (HR) 0–16
B 24 Aljaž Šporar Jarell Brook (3B) 0–17
T 0 Toni Fitzgerald Panagiotis Larentzakis (2B) 1–17
T 8 Toni Fitzgerald Peter Earls (3B) 2–17
T 8 Toni Fitzgerald Ilyes Khelifi (2B) 3–17
T 11 Rachid Hakimi Hélio Ambri (3B) 4–17
T 12 Antonio Greggi Geoff Burley (3B) 5–17
T 16 Giannoulis Tachtsidis Antonio Greggi (3B) 6–17
T 17 Rachid Hakimi Toni Fitzgerald (3B) 7–17
T 18 Antonio Greggi Vincenzo Diouf (3B) 8–17
T 20 Hélio Ambri Geoff Burley (3B) 9–17
T 21 Vincenzo Diouf Antonio Greggi (3B) 10–17
T 21 Peter Earls Hélio Ambri (3B) 11–17
T 24 Antonio Greggi Vincenzo Diouf (3B) 12–17
T 24 Panagiotis Larentzakis Giannoulis Tachtsidis (3B) 13–17
T 24 Panagiotis Larentzakis Ilyes Khelifi (2B) 14–17
T 24 Toni Fitzgerald Antonio Greggi (3B) 15–17
T 25 Vincenzo Diouf Panagiotis Larentzakis (3B) 16–17
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Wedge's actual outfield dimensions (LF 348' · CF 419' · RF 309' · 14' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Zagreb Miners — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 10 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
348' 419' 309' Wall 14' Panagiotis Larentzakis — double · EV 98 mph · LA +12° · 156 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 123 ft Hélio Ambri — double_play · EV 70 mph · LA -17° · 67 ft Vincenzo Diouf — double · EV 98 mph · LA +27° · 314 ft Peter Earls — double · EV 109 mph · LA +22° · 331 ft Giannoulis Tachtsidis — fly_out · EV 68 mph · LA +29° · 158 ft Rachid Hakimi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Ilyes Khelifi — fielders_choice · EV 58 mph · LA -16° · 55 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — fly_out · EV 71 mph · LA +30° · 172 ft Toni Fitzgerald — triple · EV 105 mph · LA +11° · 165 ft Hélio Ambri — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Peter Earls — single · EV 85 mph · LA +0° · 81 ft Giannoulis Tachtsidis — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +40° · 273 ft Rachid Hakimi — fielders_choice · EV 65 mph · LA -19° · 62 ft Ilyes Khelifi — infield_single · EV 65 mph · LA -22° · 62 ft Antonio Greggi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 145 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 221 ft Giannoulis Tachtsidis — fly_out · EV 64 mph · LA +26° · 131 ft Vincenzo Diouf — single · EV 81 mph · LA -5° · 77 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 92 mph · LA +25° · 262 ft Hélio Ambri — single · EV 82 mph · LA -12° · 78 ft Giannoulis Tachtsidis — single · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Ilyes Khelifi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 133 ft Vincenzo Diouf — single · EV 82 mph · LA +18° · 160 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — double · EV 101 mph · LA +27° · 332 ft
Seville Continental Garage — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 5 1B · 8 XBH · 3 HR
348' 419' 309' Wall 14' Robert Lange — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +24° · 234 ft Alan Nagelsmann — double · EV 112 mph · LA +26° · 388 ft Aljaž Šporar — double · EV 91 mph · LA +30° · 283 ft Gijs Parra — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Emad Barakat — double · EV 108 mph · LA +15° · 227 ft Mustapha Saidi — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +28° · 400 ft Adil Amrabat — double · EV 94 mph · LA +19° · 224 ft Jarell Brook — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +30° · 386 ft Aljaž Šporar — error · EV 118 mph · LA +13° · 248 ft Gijs Parra — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +9° · 111 ft Mustapha Saidi — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 258 ft Robert Lange — single · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 200 ft Amayas Ferhat — single · EV 89 mph · LA +13° · 142 ft Stefano Greggi — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +14° · 141 ft Robert Lange — single · EV 98 mph · LA +13° · 174 ft Alan Nagelsmann — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +37° · 386 ft Jarell Brook — single · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 288 ft Aljaž Šporar — double · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 382 ft Gijs Parra — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +15° · 192 ft Mustapha Saidi — double · EV 100 mph · LA +32° · 361 ft Amayas Ferhat — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +17° · 135 ft Alan Nagelsmann — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 154 ft Jarell Brook — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Aljaž Šporar — double · EV 119 mph · LA +17° · 315 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Zagreb Miners
22% deserve-to-win  ·  9.7 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +6.3 vs expected
contact: 14.3 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (+6.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Toni Fitzgerald 105 / +11° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.59
Panagiotis Larentzakis 98 / +12° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Vincenzo Diouf 98 / +27° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
Ilyes Khelifi 65 / -22° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.83
Giannoulis Tachtsidis 76 / +5° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Seville Continental Garage
78% deserve-to-win  ·  18.3 expected runs
actual 17 runs  ·  -1.3 vs expected
contact: 35.6 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 33.0 (-2.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alan Nagelsmann 100 / +37° Center Out 2.0 → 0 -2.02
Jarell Brook 106 / +30° Oppo Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.93
Mustapha Saidi 110 / +28° Oppo Home Run 2.4 → 4 +1.63
Aljaž Šporar 118 / +13° Center Reached on Error 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Alan Nagelsmann 100 / +11° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
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