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Amur-Zaimka Elk 5, Stratton Construction 0                   2046-04-19 · #833
at Marufu Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Amur-Zaimka             5      -    5    6    0
Stratton                0      0    0    0    2

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Akaho       cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Willenborgo lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Bridges pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lutrova     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mogilevets  ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Printezis   3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Abraham     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Billiot     rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Cardin  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kingov      2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Edwards pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0  0.000
  d-Kwiatko ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Jin     ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Pashkov pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Dzalami ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Paudel  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mixon       j  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Terry       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tolliver    j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   5   6   1   0   0   4   2   9   1   0  0.194
  2B: Mixon (9).
  SB: Kwiatkowski (2).
  CS: Mogilevets (3).
  GIDP: Printezis (2).
  a-Ran for Willenborgov in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Billiot in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Kingov in the 3rd.
  d-Batted for Terry in the 3rd.
  e-Walked for Tolliver in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Jin in the 4th.
  g-Replaced Cardin at SS in the 7th.
  h-Replaced Mixon at CF in the 9th.

STRATTON CONSTRUCTION
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Johnson     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Dangerfield lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Earnov      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Stralem     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Santana     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Bassong     cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Armitage    rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Choprin     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
McKinzin    ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Pauling     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  21   0   0   0   0   0   0   4  14   0   0  0.000
  SB: Earnov (1).
  CS: Earnov (1).
  E: Earnov 2 (3).
  HBP: Armitage (1).
  GIDP: Stralem (4), Pauling (2).


AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Banuelosov (W, 1-0) .    27   27 100%    0    0    0    4   15    0  114    -

STRATTON CONSTRUCTION PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Johnson (L, 1-3) ....    33   27 100%    6    5    5    2    9    0  120    -

  Batting order: Stratton Construction (home) batted second; Amur-Zaimka Elk batted first.
  Seconds: SC o26 (0-5).
  First pitch 6:30 PM VLAT. Weather: 51°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 209910.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 10 Devonte Willenborgov Jarvis Edwardsov (3B) 1–0
T 11 Sergey Mogilevets Alan Pashkova (2B) 2–0
T 12 José Printezis Jessie Tolliver (3B) 3–0
T 13 Rhyne Billiot Kyle Bridges (3B) 4–0
T 20 Sergey Mogilevets Rodney Kwiatkowski (3B) 5–0
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Marufu Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 337' · CF 410' · RF 332' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Amur-Zaimka Elk — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 6 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
337' 410' 332' Daichi Akaho — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 155 ft Devonte Willenborgov — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -4° · 76 ft Sergey Mogilevets — fly_out · EV 67 mph · LA +28° · 151 ft Haytham Abraham — line_out · EV 54 mph · LA +18° · 70 ft Rhyne Billiot — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -5° · 57 ft Coniah Kingov — single · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Jessie Tolliver — fielders_choice · EV 65 mph · LA -21° · 62 ft Jarvis Edwardsov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Kyle Bridges — error · EV 78 mph · LA +1° · 74 ft Ilia Dzalamidze — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +8° · 73 ft Devonte Willenborgov — error · EV 60 mph · LA +16° · 77 ft Sergey Mogilevets — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -14° · 49 ft José Printezis — error · EV 61 mph · LA +0° · 58 ft Rhyne Billiot — single · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 144 ft Thai-Son Mixon — double · EV 95 mph · LA +14° · 172 ft Eoin Terry — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +23° · 211 ft Andrei Lutrova — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 299 ft Sergey Mogilevets — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 133 ft José Printezis — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -1° · 58 ft Haytham Abraham — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +40° · 108 ft Thai-Son Mixon — single · EV 86 mph · LA +20° · 186 ft
Stratton Construction — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
337' 410' 332' Phillip Pauling — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft Mario Bassong — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +4° · 70 ft Marquis Choprin — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +34° · 255 ft Larry Stralem — double_play · EV 55 mph · LA -17° · 52 ft Phillip Pauling — double_play · EV 71 mph · LA -12° · 67 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Amur-Zaimka Elk
100% deserve-to-win  ·  3.9 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +1.1 vs expected
contact: 9.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-2.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Thai-Son Mixon 95 / +14° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Andrei Lutrova 92 / +31° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Eoin Terry 86 / +23° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.72
Coniah Kingov 92 / +7° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Haytham Abraham 54 / +18° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Stratton Construction
0% deserve-to-win  ·  0.0 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 1.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 0.0 (-1.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marquis Choprin 83 / +34° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.53
Mario Bassong 74 / +4° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Phillip Pauling 71 / -12° Pull Double Play 0.3 → 0 -0.26
Larry Stralem 55 / -17° Center Double Play 0.2 → 0 -0.17
Phillip Pauling 52 / +2° Pull Out 0.1 → 0 -0.14
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