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San Cristóbal Navy 6, Salvador BC 4                          2046-04-19 · #834
at Coffin Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
San Cristóbal           6    6   13    1
Salvador                4    4    4    0

SAN CRISTÓBAL NAVY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Yamamoto-Pe lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Geraldo     2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Frías   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Castillo    c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Santos      3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Correia pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bagüí       ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Difo    pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Messi       1b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Scarpa      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Álvarez pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Baptist ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Cronje  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Ramón   ph ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  1.000
  h-Yamamot ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Feliz   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  j-Maalouf pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Feliz       j  ......    3   2   3   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Kemppi      j  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Totals                  31   6  13   2   0   0   5   4  10   1   0  0.419
  2B: Kemppi (4), Messi (4).
  SB: Cronje (2).
  CS: Feliz (6).
  E: Correia (1).
  GIDP: Kemppi (3).
  a-Ran for Geraldo in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Santos in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Bagüí in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Scarpa in the 2nd.
  e-Singled in the 1st.
  f-Ran for Baptista in the 2nd.
  g-Batted in the 2nd.
  h-Struck out for Kemppi in the 6th.
  i-Replaced Álvarez at SS in the 7th.
  j-Ran in the 8th.

SALVADOR BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Peña        2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Soto        ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Marte       lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Féliz       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Monteiro    1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ynoa        3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  0.500
Solano      rf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Júnior      p  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Mejía   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Ortiz   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Norman      j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Almonte     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   4   4   3   0   0   4   3  10   1   0  0.138
  2B: Marte (14), Solano (4), Júnior (2).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.
  b-Struck out for Mejía in the 7th.

SAN CRISTÓBAL NAVY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bauer (W, 3-0) ......    27   22  81%    3    2    2    3    8    0   99    -
Tabet (F, 17) .......     5    5  19%    1    2    2    0    2    0   24  3-2

SALVADOR BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Júnior (L, 3-1) .....    11    6  22%    7    3    3    2    0    0   46    -
Polanco .............    16   14  52%    5    1    1    1    6    0   49  2-0
Villar ..............     8    7  26%    1    2    2    1    4    0   24  3-2

  Batting order: Salvador BC (home) batted second; San Cristóbal Navy batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 81°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 986404.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Élan De los Santos Ketel Feliz (3B) 1–0
T 5 Rodolfo Messi Élan De los Santos (2B) 2–0
T 5 Yefri Ramón Aramis Difo (3B) 3–0
T 13 Aramis Difo Tuomas Kemppi (2B) 4–0
T 22 Aramis Difo Juan Álvarez (3B) 5–0
T 22 Rodolfo Messi Ketel Feliz (2B) 6–0
B 10 Anderson Júnior Wander Marte (3B) 6–1
B 16 Fernando Solano Anderson Júnior (2B) 6–2
B 23 Andrés Soto Fernando Solano (3B) 6–3
B 26 Starlin Ynoa Jeremias Norman (3B) 6–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Coffin Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 304' · CF 403' · RF 334' · 39' wall). Short Porch (Left).
San Cristóbal Navy — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 11 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
304' 403' 334' Wall 39' Sho Yamamoto-Pereira — single · EV 66 mph · LA +14° · 80 ft Ketel Feliz — single · EV 93 mph · LA +26° · 268 ft Tuomas Kemppi — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 85 ft Simão Baptista — single · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 144 ft Ronald Castillo — single · EV 82 mph · LA +14° · 122 ft Élan De los Santos — fielders_choice · EV 70 mph · LA -20° · 67 ft Igor Bagüí — single · EV 87 mph · LA +17° · 167 ft Rodolfo Messi — double · EV 90 mph · LA +24° · 243 ft Yefri Ramón — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 179 ft Gary Cronje — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +22° · 77 ft Aramis Difo — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -8° · 59 ft Juan Álvarez — single · EV 67 mph · LA +18° · 105 ft Yefri Ramón — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 71 ft Ketel Feliz — single · EV 80 mph · LA +0° · 76 ft Tuomas Kemppi — double · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 213 ft Ronald Castillo — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -9° · 53 ft Yefri Ramón — single · EV 79 mph · LA +19° · 153 ft Aramis Difo — single · EV 56 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Ketel Feliz — single · EV 77 mph · LA +16° · 129 ft Rodolfo Messi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 72 ft Tuomas Kemppi — double_play · EV 57 mph · LA -7° · 54 ft
Salvador BC — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 1 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
304' 403' 334' Wall 39' Wander Marte — double · EV 109 mph · LA +11° · 182 ft Bill Mejía — error · EV 60 mph · LA +20° · 94 ft Ronald Féliz — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +7° · 80 ft Edwin Peña — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 74 ft Anderson Júnior — double · EV 87 mph · LA +47° · 300 ft Starlin Ynoa — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -1° · 76 ft Andrés Soto — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +14° · 136 ft Ronald Féliz — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +56° · 285 ft Afonso Monteiro — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +9° · 75 ft Fernando Solano — double · EV 87 mph · LA +34° · 279 ft Edwin Peña — line_out · EV 70 mph · LA +11° · 74 ft Wander Almonte — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +11° · 96 ft Ronald Paniagua — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -8° · 60 ft Starlin Ynoa — single · EV 69 mph · LA +16° · 100 ft Andrés Soto — fly_out · EV 69 mph · LA +34° · 178 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
San Cristóbal Navy
74% deserve-to-win  ·  6.1 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.1 vs expected
contact: 10.8 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+4.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rodolfo Messi 90 / +24° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Tuomas Kemppi 92 / +19° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Yefri Ramón 76 / +25° Oppo Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.78
Ketel Feliz 80 / +0° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.60
Sho Yamamoto-Pereira 66 / +14° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
Salvador BC
26% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 7.5 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-0.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Fernando Solano 87 / +34° Pull Double 0.5 → 2 +1.47
Anderson Júnior 87 / +47° Pull Double 0.6 → 2 +1.37
Andrés Soto 86 / +14° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Wander Marte 109 / +11° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.59
Starlin Ynoa 69 / +16° Center Stay 0.4 → 1 +0.55
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