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Yagodnoye Sharks 5, Ola Knights 4                            2046-04-19 · #832
at Yagodnoye Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Ola                     4    4    3    0
Yagodnoye               5    5    5    1

OLA KNIGHTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Motovilov   1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Kloster pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
MacDonaldov cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Muzaev      rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ju          c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bychkova    3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Olivera     2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Morozov     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Mayberr ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Potapov ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  d-Vatutin pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Marchenko   j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Souttar     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sumarokov-E j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   4   3   1   0   0   3   7   7   0   0  0.115
  2B: Muzaev (2).
  CS: Vatutin (2).
  GIDP: Bychkova (1).
  a-Ran for Motovilov in the 1st.
  b-Batted in the 1st.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Ran in the 2nd.

YAGODNOYE SHARKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Terrell     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tkacheva    2b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Grebenyuk   lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Motovilov   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Safina      3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Chalova     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Goloviznina ss ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Huang       p  ......    1   1   1   0   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Bautist c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
Aalto       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lapushchenk j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Fedorov     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  14   5   5   0   1   0   5   0   5   0   1  0.357
  3B: Huang (1).
  E: Aalto (2).
  HBP: Tkacheva (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

OLA KNIGHTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Morozov (L, 0-2) ....    10    6  22%    3    2    2    0    3    0   47    -
Baguma ..............     4    4  15%    1    2    2    0    2    0   15  2-2
O'Neill .............     1    0   0%    1    1    1    0    0    0    4  1-1

YAGODNOYE SHARKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Huang (W, 1-0) ......    27   21  78%    2    4    2    6    5    0   72    -
Astakhova ...........     5    6  22%    1    0    0    1    2    0   15  2-0

  Batting order: Yagodnoye Sharks (home) batted second; Ola Knights batted first.
  First pitch 7:15 PM MAGT. Weather: 42°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 420710.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 6 Kirill Bychkova Amer Klosterman (3B) 1–0
T 15 Danya Mayberrin Yoenis Olivera (3B) 2–0
T 19 Danny Souttar Kirill Bychkova (2B) 3–0
T 20 Croix MacDonaldov Yaroslav Sumarokov-Elston (3B) 4–0
B 6 Vitaly Goloviznina Anton Tkacheva (2B) 4–1
B 6 Daler Grebenyuk Daniil Safina (2B) 4–2
B 7 Rui Huang Vitaly Goloviznina (3B) 4–3
B 7 Rui Huang Daler Grebenyuk (2B) 4–4
B 10 Anton Tkacheva Rui Huang (3B) 4–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Yagodnoye Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 422' · RF 340' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Ola Knights — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
347' 422' 340' Matvei Muzaev — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 152 ft Hyeon-woo Ju — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +0° · 49 ft Danny Souttar — fly_out · EV 71 mph · LA +30° · 177 ft Yaroslav Sumarokov-Elston — fly_out · EV 56 mph · LA +32° · 112 ft Stepan Potapova — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 123 ft Kirill Bychkova — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Igor Morozov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 185 ft Mykhailo Marchenko — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 222 ft Yoenis Olivera — error · EV 52 mph · LA -12° · 50 ft Croix MacDonaldov — infield_single · EV 52 mph · LA +24° · 81 ft Stepan Potapova — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 101 ft Mykhailo Marchenko — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 191 ft Danny Souttar — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -10° · 49 ft Croix MacDonaldov — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 153 ft Hyeon-woo Ju — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Stepan Potapova — single · EV 53 mph · LA +16° · 60 ft
Yagodnoye Sharks — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
347' 422' 340' Ilia Fedorov — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +17° · 208 ft Eemil Aalto — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Daniil Safina — single · EV 72 mph · LA -15° · 69 ft Vitaly Goloviznina — single · EV 74 mph · LA +21° · 147 ft Daler Grebenyuk — single · EV 69 mph · LA +20° · 121 ft Rui Huang — triple · EV 97 mph · LA +21° · 257 ft Anton Tkacheva — single · EV 89 mph · LA +6° · 85 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Ola Knights
72% deserve-to-win  ·  4.0 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 6.4 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Matvei Muzaev 92 / +13° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Mykhailo Marchenko 92 / +17° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Croix MacDonaldov 92 / +13° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Croix MacDonaldov 52 / +24° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.82
Stepan Potapova 76 / +16° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Yagodnoye Sharks
28% deserve-to-win  ·  2.4 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 5.0 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+2.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rui Huang 97 / +21° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.69
Ilia Fedorov 95 / +17° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.31
Daniil Safina 72 / -15° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Eemil Aalto 100 / -5° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Anton Tkacheva 89 / +6° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
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