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Amur-Zaimka Elk 10, Stratton Construction 2                  2046-04-18 · #786
at Marufu Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Amur-Zaimka            10      0   10   10    1
Stratton                2      0    2    5    0

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Akaho       cf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Willenborgo lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Lutrova     c  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   3   1   0  0.500
Kwiatkowski rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Dzalamidze  2b ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Abraham     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Bridges pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Pashkova    3b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Kingov      ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Edwards pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Blackstocko p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-DiSano  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Paudel  p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Mogilev pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mixon       j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Terry       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tolliver    j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  32  10  10   4   0   0   7   7  10   1   0  0.312
  2B: Akaho (7), Lutrova (9), Dzalamidze (4), Pashkova (3).
  SB: Bridges (3), Mogilevets (1).
  CS: Willenborgov (2), Kwiatkowski (3).
  E: Lutrova (1).
  HBP: Tolliver (2).
  GIDP: Pashkova (1).
  a-Ran for Abraham in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Kingov in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Mixon in the 6th.
  d-Entered at P in the 6th.
  e-Ran for Paudel in the 6th.

STRATTON CONSTRUCTION
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Craig       ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Wambachov   3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Dangerfield lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kuolov      cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Santana     c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   .000
Bassong     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Moore       1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Probst      rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Hagistov    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Knutson     j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Pauling     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   2   5   0   0   0   2   4   9   0   1  0.185
  SB: Knutson 2 (6), Santana (1).
  CS: Kuolov (5), Santana (1).
  GIDP: Hagistov (1).


AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Blackstockov (W, 2-0)     29   27 100%    3    2    1    4    9    0  110    -

STRATTON CONSTRUCTION PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hagistov (L, 0-4) ...    27   19  70%    6    7    7    5    7    0  113    -
Martin ..............    13    8  30%    4    3    3    2    3    0   47    -

  Batting order: Stratton Construction (home) batted second; Amur-Zaimka Elk batted first.
  Seconds: AE o25 (10-0), SC o25 (2-10).
  First pitch 6:30 PM VLAT. Weather: 42°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Dry. seed 419719.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 10 Andrei Lutrova Jarvis Edwardsov (3B) 1–0
T 15 Thai-Son Mixon Daichi Akaho (3B) 2–0
T 16 Rabindra Paudel Kyle Bridges (3B) 3–0
T 16 Daichi Akaho Jessie Tolliver (3B) 4–0
T 16 Daichi Akaho Thai-Son Mixon (2B) 5–0
T 16 Devonte Willenborgov Sergey Mogilevets (3B) 6–0
T 16 Devonte Willenborgov Daichi Akaho (3B) 7–0
T 20 Sergey Mogilevets Andrei Lutrova (3B) 8–0
T 23 Andrei Lutrova Kyle Bridges (3B) 9–0
T 25 Kyle Bridges Sergey Mogilevets (3B) 10–0
B 6 Carlos Craig Keshav Knutson (3B) 10–1
B 17 Carlos Craig Carlos Craig (3B) 10–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Marufu Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 337' · CF 410' · RF 332' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Amur-Zaimka Elk — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 6 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
337' 410' 332' Daichi Akaho — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -3° · 94 ft Ilia Dzalamidze — single · EV 82 mph · LA +19° · 168 ft Alan Pashkova — double_play · EV 83 mph · LA -1° · 79 ft Thai-Son Mixon — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +14° · 109 ft Coniah Kingov — single · EV 77 mph · LA +12° · 97 ft Devonte Willenborgov — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +28° · 363 ft Sergey Mogilevets — error · EV 59 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Kyle Bridges — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 112 ft Rodney Kwiatkowski — single · EV 93 mph · LA +14° · 166 ft Ilia Dzalamidze — fly_out · EV 73 mph · LA +56° · 196 ft Thai-Son Mixon — single · EV 61 mph · LA +19° · 91 ft Daichi Akaho — double · EV 89 mph · LA +19° · 193 ft Devonte Willenborgov — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +39° · 358 ft Andrei Lutrova — double · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 331 ft Ilia Dzalamidze — double · EV 96 mph · LA +32° · 333 ft Alan Pashkova — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +13° · 129 ft Andrei Lutrova — single · EV 80 mph · LA +22° · 179 ft Alan Pashkova — double · EV 94 mph · LA +18° · 210 ft
Stratton Construction — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
337' 410' 332' Keshav Knutson — single · EV 79 mph · LA -20° · 75 ft Marmaduke Kuolov — fly_out · EV 59 mph · LA +30° · 120 ft Elwood Dangerfield — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +51° · 330 ft Zack Hagistov — double_play · EV 67 mph · LA -7° · 64 ft Keshav Knutson — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 241 ft Marmaduke Kuolov — single · EV 95 mph · LA +7° · 90 ft Kilian Moore — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Carlos Craig — error · EV 67 mph · LA -5° · 63 ft Elwood Dangerfield — line_out · EV 65 mph · LA +15° · 85 ft Keshav Knutson — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -4° · 67 ft Phillip Pauling — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +8° · 89 ft Joey Wambachov — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 161 ft Mario Bassong — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +20° · 155 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Amur-Zaimka Elk
97% deserve-to-win  ·  9.6 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 14.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (-0.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Devonte Willenborgov 105 / +28° Center Out 2.1 → 0 -2.07
Devonte Willenborgov 96 / +39° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Daichi Akaho 89 / +19° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Andrei Lutrova 92 / +39° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Alan Pashkova 94 / +18° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Stratton Construction
3% deserve-to-win  ·  1.8 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 5.3 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-2.3 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 2 CS (-1.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Keshav Knutson 92 / +23° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Keshav Knutson 79 / -20° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Keshav Knutson 70 / -4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Joey Wambachov 76 / +22° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Mario Bassong 77 / +20° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
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