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Yekaterinburg Mustangs 15, Frivuda Plumbers 8                2046-04-22 · #983
at Wedge Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Frivuda                 8      0    8   12    1
Yekaterinburg          15      -   15   12    0

FRIVUDA PLUMBERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ibrahim     lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.500
Mims        ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Alexander-A 3b ......    3   3   2   0   1   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Lombardo    rf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Campbellov  cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Larin       2b ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Schell      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Dragoni     c  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Malone      p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Zelyonov    j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Bruce       j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Makarov     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Totals                  35   8  12   4   1   1   8   3  11   0   0  0.343
  2B: Mims (6), Lombardo (2), Bruce (11), Larin (2).
  3B: Alexander-Arnold (1).
  HR: Alexander-Arnold (2), off Nadarajah.
  E: Schell (2).


YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Oda         cf ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Yeh         lf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Moriwake    c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.250
Wills       ss ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   3   1   1   0   0  0.333
Trường      1b ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Lew         rf ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   1  0.667
Ko          3b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Stewart pr ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Nadarajah   p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Terachi c  ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  0.500
Farkes      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ko          j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Ulaanbat    j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  31  15  12   5   0   0  15   8   4   1   1  0.387
  2B: Yeh (18), Wills (19), Lew (10), Ko (4), Stewart (1).
  HBP: Trường (1).
  a-Ran for Ko in the 7th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.

FRIVUDA PLUMBERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Malone ..............    12   10  37%    4    2    2    2    2    0   47    -
Liriano (L) .........     9    4  15%    2    3    3    4    0    0   20  1-1
Shvedova ............     4    2   7%    1    3    3    0    0    0   13  3-3
Leavitt-Morganov ....     5    2   7%    3    2    2    1    0    0   11  2-0
Harris ..............     7    4  15%    1    4    3    1    2    0   23  3-2
Lefotu ..............     3    3  11%    1    1    1    0    0    0    6  2-1

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Nadarajah ...........    10    4  15%    6    5    4    1    2    1   45    -
Henrichs (W, 1-0) ...    15   13  48%    3    2    2    2    6    0   68  1-0
Rangelov ............    12   10  37%    3    1    1    0    3    0   45  1-1

  Batting order: Yekaterinburg Mustangs (home) batted second; Frivuda Plumbers batted first.
  Seconds: FP o24 (8-0), YM o25 (15-8).
  First pitch 1:00 PM. Weather: 71°F · Wind cross · Clear · Dry. seed 754885.
  Walk-Back runs: off Nadarajah 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Coniah Mims Jayden Ibrahim (1B) 1–0
T 0 Ollie Alexander-Arnold Coniah Mims (2B) 2–0
T 0 Ollie Alexander-Arnold Ollie Alexander-Arnold (HR) 3–0
T 0 Nico Lombardo Ollie Alexander-Arnold (3B) 4–0
T 1 Devonte Bruce Crawford Zelyonov (1B) 5–0
T 8 Ollie Alexander-Arnold Lance Larin (2B) 6–0
T 9 Nico Lombardo Ollie Alexander-Arnold (3B) 7–0
T 16 Caleb Malone Lance Larin (3B) 8–0
B 4 Chauncey Lew Kuo-hua Yeh (3B) 8–1
B 8 Ao Terachi Vũ Trường (3B) 8–2
B 11 Chauncey Lew Ao Terachi (3B) 8–3
B 14 Kuo-hua Yeh Vũ Trường (3B) 8–4
B 14 Maxime Wills Chauncey Lew (3B) 8–5
B 15 Vũ Trường Yuan-hao Ko (3B) 8–6
B 16 Boldbaatar Ulaanbat Kuo-hua Yeh (3B) 8–7
B 16 Boldbaatar Ulaanbat Maxime Wills (2B) 8–8
B 18 Chol-yong Ko Shigeru Oda (3B) 8–9
B 18 Yusei Moriwake Chauncey Lew (3B) 8–10
B 19 Maxime Wills Elijah Stewart (3B) 8–11
B 19 Maxime Wills Yusei Moriwake (1B) 8–12
B 21 Chauncey Lew Maxime Wills (2B) 8–13
B 22 Yuan-hao Ko Shigeru Oda (2B) 8–14
B 22 Elijah Stewart Senthil Nadarajah (3B) 8–15
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wedge Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 343' · CF 429' · RF 278' · 13' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Frivuda Plumbers — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 6 1B · 5 XBH · 1 HR
343' 429' 278' Jayden Ibrahim — single · EV 95 mph · LA -8° · 90 ft Coniah Mims — double · EV 116 mph · LA +20° · 348 ft Ollie Alexander-Arnold — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +34° · 463 ft Nico Lombardo — ground_out · EV 101 mph · LA -9° · 96 ft Crawford Zelyonov — single · EV 108 mph · LA +8° · 129 ft Devonte Bruce — double · EV 118 mph · LA +12° · 216 ft Robert Campbellov — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -5° · 65 ft Edoardo Dragoni — single · EV 80 mph · LA -1° · 76 ft Lance Larin — double · EV 90 mph · LA +16° · 171 ft Ollie Alexander-Arnold — triple · EV 102 mph · LA +13° · 186 ft Nico Lombardo — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +36° · 287 ft Robert Campbellov — fly_out · EV 103 mph · LA +17° · 240 ft Edoardo Dragoni — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +10° · 89 ft Caleb Malone — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +27° · 333 ft Lance Larin — single · EV 109 mph · LA +6° · 104 ft Nico Lombardo — double · EV 105 mph · LA +25° · 336 ft Crawford Zelyonov — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +31° · 224 ft Devonte Bruce — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 124 ft Robert Campbellov — single · EV 96 mph · LA +12° · 149 ft Edoardo Dragoni — single · EV 108 mph · LA +6° · 102 ft
Yekaterinburg Mustangs — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 6 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
343' 429' 278' Kuo-hua Yeh — double · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 265 ft Ao Terachi — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA +2° · 54 ft Vũ Trường — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Shigeru Oda — line_out · EV 69 mph · LA +21° · 125 ft Chol-yong Ko — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 219 ft Chauncey Lew — double · EV 92 mph · LA +44° · 338 ft Senthil Nadarajah — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +42° · 230 ft Boldbaatar Ulaanbat — single · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 170 ft Yuan-hao Ko — error · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Elijah Stewart — double · EV 94 mph · LA +17° · 194 ft Maxime Wills — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +43° · 338 ft Ao Terachi — error · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Vũ Trường — single · EV 86 mph · LA +25° · 226 ft Shigeru Oda — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 73 ft Chauncey Lew — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 127 ft Chol-yong Ko — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 143 ft Senthil Nadarajah — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 135 ft Ao Terachi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 107 ft Shigeru Oda — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA -13° · 76 ft Yusei Moriwake — single · EV 84 mph · LA +12° · 113 ft Maxime Wills — double · EV 99 mph · LA +33° · 360 ft Chauncey Lew — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -0° · 87 ft Ao Terachi — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 219 ft Yusei Moriwake — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +51° · 106 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Frivuda Plumbers
45% deserve-to-win  ·  10.8 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -2.8 vs expected
contact: 21.7 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (-0.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ollie Alexander-Arnold 102 / +13° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Robert Campbellov 103 / +17° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Caleb Malone 102 / +27° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Lance Larin 90 / +16° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Devonte Bruce 88 / +12° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Yekaterinburg Mustangs
55% deserve-to-win  ·  11.9 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  +3.1 vs expected
contact: 14.6 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+2.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Maxime Wills 92 / +43° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Kuo-hua Yeh 92 / +26° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Chol-yong Ko 92 / +12° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Ao Terachi 92 / +20° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Elijah Stewart 94 / +17° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
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