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Manpo Yagu Club 15, Kitay-Torg Leopards 5                    2046-04-21 · #960
at Pillai Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Kitay-Torg              5      0    5    9    0
Manpo                  15      0   15   18    0

KITAY-TORG LEOPARDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Jacksonov   ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Pettin      2b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Campbell    3b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Quiglin     c  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Garrity     p  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Shuler      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Amente      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hallov      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Jonesov c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Maggs       j  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Harrisov    j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Schlotterbe j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   5   9   2   0   1   5   2   9   0   0  0.290
  2B: Campbell (8), Harrisov (5).
  HR: Quiglin (2), off Oudsemin.
  CS: Maggs (3).
  HBP: Pettin (1).
  GIDP: Jonesov (1), Schlotterbeck (1).
  Squeeze: Jonesov.
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

MANPO YAGU CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bedrane     1b ......    3   4   3   1   1   1   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
Murenga     cf ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.400
Taarabt     c  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.250
Escobar     lf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Worku   c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Oudsemin    p  ......    5   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.400
Nkosi       ss ......    5   2   3   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.600
  b-Jilcha  ph ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   2   1   2   0   0  0.500
  c-Sambiss ph ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Merga   ph ......    3   3   3   0   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
Dida        j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  38  15  18   7   1   2  13   6   9   0   0  0.474
  2B: Bedrane (11), Murenga (4), Taarabt (10), Escobar (4), Oudsemin (1), Jilcha (10), Nkosi (6).
  3B: Bedrane (1).
  HR: Bedrane (5), off Garrity; Merga (6), off Garrity.
  SB: Merga (1).
  CS: Jilcha (4).
  HBP: Merga (1).
  GIDP: Oudsemin (1).
  a-Replaced Escobar at C in the 7th.
  b-Batted in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.

KITAY-TORG LEOPARDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Garrity .............    16    9  33%    6    5    3    2    4    2   46    -
Chervyakov (L, 0-3) .    15    9  33%    7    7    7    3    2    0   51  2-2
Okaforov ............    14    9  33%    5    3    3    1    3    0   44  1-1

MANPO YAGU CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Oudsemin (W) ........    17   13  48%    5    3    2    1    5    1   59    -
Shiflet (F, 14) .....    14   14  52%    2    2    2    1    4    0   45  2-0

  Batting order: Manpo Yagu Club (home) batted first; Kitay-Torg Leopards batted second.
  Seconds: KL o24 (5-15), MYC o25 (15-0).
  First pitch 1:00 PM. Weather: 74°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 494033.
  Walk-Back runs: off Garrity 2, off Oudsemin 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Massinissa Bedrane Massinissa Bedrane (HR) 0–1
B 0 Tonderai Murenga Massinissa Bedrane (3B) 0–2
B 7 Abel Merga Mulugeta Dida (1B) 0–3
B 7 Abel Merga Abel Merga (HR) 0–4
B 7 Tonderai Murenga Abel Merga (3B) 0–5
B 7 Youssef Taarabt Massinissa Bedrane (3B) 0–6
B 9 Bikila Jilcha Youssef Taarabt (1B) 0–7
B 9 Senou Sambissa Tonderai Murenga (3B) 0–8
B 10 Musawenkosi Nkosi Bikila Jilcha (2B) 0–9
B 11 Musawenkosi Nkosi Abel Merga (2B) 0–10
B 12 Bikila Jilcha Musawenkosi Nkosi (2B) 0–11
B 16 Tonderai Murenga Salomón Escobar (2B) 0–12
B 16 Massinissa Bedrane Tonderai Murenga (2B) 0–13
B 16 Massinissa Bedrane Massinissa Bedrane (3B) 0–14
B 23 Abel Merga Musawenkosi Nkosi (2B) 0–15
T 3 Demarai Quiglin Demarai Quiglin (HR) 1–15
T 3 Anthony Harrisov Demarai Quiglin (3B) 2–15
T 10 Demarai Jacksonov Norris Garrity (2B) 3–15
T 20 Justice Campbell Kaheim Shuler (3B) 4–15
T 21 Demarai Quiglin Donovan Pettin (3B) 5–15
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Pillai Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 424' · CF 415' · RF 276' · 11' wall). The Wedge.
The Ramp
Kitay-Torg Leopards — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
424' 415' 276' Demarai Quiglin — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 299 ft Anthony Harrisov — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 191 ft Michael Schlotterbeck — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -15° · 72 ft Jarvis Jonesov — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Norris Garrity — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 153 ft Kaheim Shuler — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Demarai Jacksonov — single · EV 92 mph · LA -17° · 87 ft Demarai Quiglin — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Anthony Harrisov — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Michael Schlotterbeck — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 69 ft Norris Garrity — fly_out · EV 61 mph · LA +34° · 137 ft Kaheim Shuler — single · EV 52 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Demarai Jacksonov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +57° · 211 ft Traylon Maggs — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA +7° · 57 ft Justice Campbell — double · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 282 ft Demarai Quiglin — error · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 217 ft Norris Garrity — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Kaheim Shuler — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +3° · 93 ft
Manpo Yagu Club — Batted Balls
27 BIP· 8 1B · 8 XBH · 2 HR
424' 415' 276' Massinissa Bedrane — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +28° · 368 ft Carson Oudsemin — single · EV 96 mph · LA +6° · 91 ft Senou Sambissa — line_out · EV 104 mph · LA +18° · 256 ft Mulugeta Dida — fielders_choice · EV 67 mph · LA -5° · 64 ft Abel Merga — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +39° · 425 ft Tonderai Murenga — single · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 212 ft Salomón Escobar — line_out · EV 108 mph · LA +24° · 345 ft Bikila Jilcha — double · EV 104 mph · LA +13° · 186 ft Senou Sambissa — fly_out · EV 70 mph · LA +52° · 190 ft Musawenkosi Nkosi — single · EV 108 mph · LA +7° · 102 ft Abel Merga — single · EV 94 mph · LA +19° · 215 ft Massinissa Bedrane — triple · EV 101 mph · LA +10° · 143 ft Musawenkosi Nkosi — single · EV 94 mph · LA -13° · 89 ft Bikila Jilcha — single · EV 96 mph · LA +13° · 155 ft Carson Oudsemin — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +32° · 221 ft Salomón Escobar — double · EV 107 mph · LA +19° · 279 ft Tonderai Murenga — double · EV 98 mph · LA +25° · 297 ft Massinissa Bedrane — double · EV 93 mph · LA +16° · 184 ft Youssef Taarabt — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +39° · 258 ft Abel Merga — single · EV 80 mph · LA +9° · 83 ft Salomón Escobar — single · EV 81 mph · LA +12° · 102 ft Carson Oudsemin — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA +6° · 77 ft Musawenkosi Nkosi — double · EV 91 mph · LA +29° · 279 ft Youssef Taarabt — double · EV 102 mph · LA +10° · 144 ft Musawenkosi Nkosi — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +51° · 410 ft Carson Oudsemin — double · EV 112 mph · LA +24° · 374 ft Tonderai Murenga — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 149 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Kitay-Torg Leopards
4% deserve-to-win  ·  3.5 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +1.5 vs expected
contact: 8.7 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+3.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Demarai Quiglin 92 / +31° Oppo Home Run 0.8 → 4 +3.20
Justice Campbell 92 / +28° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Demarai Quiglin 92 / +20° Oppo Reached on Error 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Anthony Harrisov 92 / +17° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Demarai Quiglin 76 / +18° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Manpo Yagu Club
96% deserve-to-win  ·  16.5 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  -1.5 vs expected
contact: 28.3 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 33.0 (+4.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Salomón Escobar 108 / +24° Center Out 2.1 → 0 -2.07
Massinissa Bedrane 105 / +28° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.93
Massinissa Bedrane 101 / +10° Pull Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.76
Senou Sambissa 104 / +18° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.58
Musawenkosi Nkosi 91 / +29° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
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