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Regensburg Samurai 7, Rijeka Beisbol Klub 6                  2046-04-21 · #954
at Brew Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Regensburg              7    7    9    1
Rijeka                  6    6    5    0

REGENSBURG SAMURAI
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tuovi       ss ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Pranjić     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Väisänen    c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Rödl    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Carvalho    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Salin   ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Raitala ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
  d-Halttun ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Hämäläi ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Kujala  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Mulaome pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Bhatia  1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Marei   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  j-Akpınar pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Magbegor    j  ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   2   1   1   1   0  1.000
Kauppinen   j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Seppälä     j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32   7   9   3   0   0   7   4   9   1   1  0.281
  2B: Magbegor 2 (6), Halttunen (2).
  SB: Kauppinen (2), Seppälä (5).
  CS: Tuovi (2).
  E: Kujala (2).
  a-Ran for Väisänen in the 6th.
  b-Batted in the 1st.
  c-Grounded out for Kauppinen in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 2nd.
  e-Batted in the 2nd.
  f-Walked in the 3rd.
  g-Ran for Kujala in the 4th.
  h-Replaced Seppälä at 1B in the 5th.
  i-Ran for Halttunen in the 6th.
  j-Ran for Hämäläinen in the 6th.

RIJEKA BEISBOL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Aalto       2b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Tuovi       1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Rautio      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   1  0.000
  a-Tuomine ss ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Väisäne ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Magull  cf ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Carleto cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Mthethw lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Halonen c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  g-Franssi ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Bühl    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Jokela  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Muurinen    j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Mikkonen    j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Nurmi       j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  29   6   5   1   0   0   5   6  17   0   1  0.172
  2B: Franssi (1).
  a-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  e-Entered at LF in the 6th.
  f-Entered at C in the 7th.
  g-Doubled for Tuominen in the 4th.
  h-Batted for Carleton in the 4th.
  i-Ran for Franssi in the 4th.

REGENSBURG SAMURAI PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mattsson (W, 2-1) ...    20   14  52%    3    4    4    6    6    0   71    -
Moilanen ............     8    8  30%    0    2    2    0    6    0   35  2-2
Lampinen (F, 7) .....     6    5  19%    1    0    0    0    5    0   21    -

RIJEKA BEISBOL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rautio ..............    12   10  37%    3    2    1    1    1    0   38    -
Götze (L, 0-1) ......    10    8  30%    3    3    3    1    3    0   34  2-1
Ahtinen .............    13    9  33%    3    2    2    2    5    0   48  1-1

  Batting order: Rijeka Beisbol Klub (home) batted second; Regensburg Samurai batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 57°F · Wind cross · Clear · Humid. seed 866090.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 3 Sauli Raitala Jeff Magbegor (3B) 1–0
T 9 Leevi Salin Tuukka Seppälä (2B) 2–0
T 11 Jeff Magbegor Robert Kauppinen (3B) 3–0
T 11 Jeff Magbegor Ivan Mulaomerović (2B) 4–0
T 17 Ivan Mulaomerović Markus Akpınar (2B) 5–0
T 20 Robert Kauppinen Martin Rödl (3B) 6–0
T 26 Glen Tuovi Markus Akpınar (2B) 7–0
B 9 Rasmus Rautio Lassi Tuominen (3B) 7–1
B 11 Seppo Franssi Lauri Muurinen (3B) 7–2
B 11 Seppo Franssi Mikael Mikkonen (2B) 7–3
B 14 Manuel Magull Leevi Nurmi (3B) 7–4
B 14 Joni Tuovi Toni Aalto (3B) 7–5
B 21 Manfred Bühl Derek Mthethwa (3B) 7–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Brew Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 343' · CF 467' · RF 378' · 10' wall). Cavernous.
Regensburg Samurai — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
343' 467' 378' Glen Tuovi — single · EV 74 mph · LA +3° · 71 ft Gordon Pranjić — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Jeff Magbegor — double · EV 101 mph · LA +24° · 302 ft Robert Kauppinen — single · EV 77 mph · LA +23° · 172 ft Tuukka Seppälä — error · EV 70 mph · LA -18° · 67 ft Nikolai Halttunen — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +13° · 136 ft Vilho Väisänen — line_out · EV 68 mph · LA +12° · 74 ft Mateus Carvalho — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +44° · 254 ft Germanpreet Bhatia — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Ivan Mulaomerović — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +22° · 216 ft Markus Akpınar — single · EV 59 mph · LA -2° · 56 ft Leevi Salin — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -8° · 84 ft Jeff Magbegor — double · EV 99 mph · LA +44° · 390 ft Robert Kauppinen — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +5° · 89 ft Nikolai Halttunen — double · EV 94 mph · LA +38° · 339 ft Vilho Väisänen — single · EV 88 mph · LA -2° · 83 ft Mateus Carvalho — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +5° · 77 ft Glen Tuovi — infield_single · EV 63 mph · LA +1° · 60 ft Gordon Pranjić — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -7° · 69 ft Robert Kauppinen — single · EV 56 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Glen Tuovi — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +21° · 171 ft
Rijeka Beisbol Klub — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
343' 467' 378' Mikael Mikkonen — error · EV 92 mph · LA -13° · 88 ft Leevi Nurmi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Brunno Carleton — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -1° · 68 ft Manuel Magull — single · EV 98 mph · LA +14° · 177 ft Seppo Franssi — double · EV 102 mph · LA +35° · 389 ft Mikael Mikkonen — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Manuel Magull — infield_single · EV 64 mph · LA -3° · 61 ft Manfred Bühl — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +43° · 231 ft Toni Aalto — single · EV 81 mph · LA -2° · 77 ft Mikael Mikkonen — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +16° · 131 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Regensburg Samurai
78% deserve-to-win  ·  6.4 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 11.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-0.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ivan Mulaomerović 88 / +22° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Nikolai Halttunen 94 / +38° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Jeff Magbegor 99 / +44° Center Stay 2.0 → 1 -0.96
Glen Tuovi 63 / +1° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Markus Akpınar 59 / -2° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Rijeka Beisbol Klub
22% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 5.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Manuel Magull 64 / -3° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Toni Aalto 81 / -2° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
Mikael Mikkonen 78 / +16° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Mikael Mikkonen 92 / -13° Pull Reached on Error 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Brunno Carleton 71 / -1° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
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