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Aleksandrovsk Hawks 8, Oistins Mustangs 4                    2046-04-21 · #930
at Islame Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Aleksandrovsk           8    8    5    0
Oistins                 4    4   10    0

ALEKSANDROVSK HAWKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sulfsted    1b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Baburin 1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Bykov       ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Pérez       cf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Rudnev      c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Carnell     rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Tatís   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Morozov     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Nkosi       3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Kasatki ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Pogrebn ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Guerrer pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Phillip pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Madrigal    j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Kravchuk    j  ......    3   1   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Totals                  25   8   5   4   0   0   8   8  14   0   1  0.200
  2B: Sulfsted (3), Pérez (1), Kravchuk 2 (8).
  SB: Bykov (6).
  CS: Morozov (2).
  HBP: Morozov (1).
  GIDP: Kasatkina (1).
  a-Replaced Sulfsted at 1B in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Carnell in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Ran in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Baburin in the 7th.

OISTINS MUSTANGS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sonobe      2b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Wang        ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Buster      lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Seol        3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pratama     c  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Lu          1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Teixeira    rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Egwuekwe    cf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Hwang       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
LeBlancov   j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Hyndman     j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  29   4  10   3   0   0   3   5   6   0   0  0.345
  2B: Sonobe (1), Hyndman (3), Pratama (5).
  GIDP: Hyndman (2), Lu (2), Hwang (1).


ALEKSANDROVSK HAWKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Chervyakov ..........    15   11  41%    3    3    3    3    2    0   45    -
Zabolotny (W, 1-0) ..    15   14  52%    5    1    1    2    4    0   56  3-1
Miyazawa ............     2    2   7%    0    0    0    0    0    0   10  3-0

OISTINS MUSTANGS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hwang (L, 0-4) ......    33   27 100%    4    8    8    8   14    0  104    -

  Batting order: Oistins Mustangs (home) batted second; Aleksandrovsk Hawks batted first.
  First pitch 8:10 PM. Weather: 77°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 399284.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 9 Whitney Sulfsted Petr Kravchuk (3B) 1–0
T 9 Whitney Sulfsted Bartolo Tatís (2B) 2–0
T 10 Petr Kravchuk Karl-Anthony Guerrero (3B) 3–0
T 10 Petr Kravchuk Whitney Sulfsted (2B) 4–0
T 17 Petr Kravchuk Ostap Rudnev (3B) 5–0
T 18 Víctor Pérez Kevin Madrigal (3B) 6–0
T 18 Víctor Pérez Kahanu Phillipsov (2B) 7–0
T 20 Pyotr Kasatkina Daniil Bykov (3B) 8–0
B 1 Elliott Hyndman Dante LeBlancov (1B) 8–1
B 3 Joji Sonobe Elliott Hyndman (3B) 8–2
B 4 Odion Egwuekwe Sheng-feng Wang (3B) 8–3
B 21 Sung-ho Seol Joji Sonobe (3B) 8–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Islame Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 318' · CF 452' · RF 332' · 41' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Knothole Gates Flag Pole in Play
Aleksandrovsk Hawks — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 0 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
318' 452' 332' Wall 41' Kevin Madrigal — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -1° · 78 ft Petr Kravchuk — double · EV 104 mph · LA +25° · 332 ft Bartolo Tatís — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +7° · 82 ft Whitney Sulfsted — double · EV 104 mph · LA +29° · 369 ft Petr Kravchuk — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 148 ft Petr Kravchuk — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -2° · 80 ft Víctor Pérez — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 144 ft Pyotr Kasatkina — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft
Oistins Mustangs — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
318' 452' 332' Wall 41' Dante LeBlancov — single · EV 98 mph · LA +10° · 126 ft Elliott Hyndman — double · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 338 ft Sung-ho Seol — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Adi Pratama — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +9° · 113 ft Sheng-feng Wang — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 90 ft Sang-hyun Hwang — double_play · EV 62 mph · LA -10° · 59 ft Gleison Teixeira — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 159 ft Lucas Buster — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +36° · 230 ft Dante LeBlancov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft Sung-ho Seol — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Ju Lu — double_play · EV 56 mph · LA -16° · 53 ft Elliott Hyndman — double_play · EV 79 mph · LA +3° · 75 ft Adi Pratama — double · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 239 ft Joji Sonobe — double · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 248 ft Ju Lu — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 125 ft Odion Egwuekwe — single · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 172 ft Sang-hyun Hwang — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +49° · 107 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Aleksandrovsk Hawks
42% deserve-to-win  ·  4.9 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +3.1 vs expected
contact: 6.7 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+1.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Petr Kravchuk 92 / +13° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Víctor Pérez 92 / +13° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Petr Kravchuk 104 / +25° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.62
Pyotr Kasatkina 92 / +6° Center Double Play 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Bartolo Tatís 86 / +7° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.40
Oistins Mustangs
58% deserve-to-win  ·  5.7 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.7 vs expected
contact: 9.6 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+1.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Adi Pratama 92 / +22° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Joji Sonobe 92 / +24° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Adi Pratama 94 / +9° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Elliott Hyndman 92 / +42° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Sheng-feng Wang 76 / +11° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
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