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Quezon City Baseball Club 3, Casablanca Elk 0                2046-04-21 · #929
at Meadow Svendsen Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Casablanca              0    0    4    0
Quezon City             3    3    9    0

CASABLANCA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moukoko     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Mezui   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Menon       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Maritz  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Stalder     p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Benseba rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Taarabt ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Ousou   3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Martíne 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Toit    lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Adeleye c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mpasi       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Demissie    j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Russo       j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  25   0   4   1   0   0   0   3   4   0   0  0.160
  2B: Russo (9).
  SB: Demissie (3), Maritz (5).
  CS: Toit (3), Demissie 2 (4), Maritz (1).
  GIDP: Bensebaini (2).
  a-Grounded out for Moukoko in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Menon in the 7th.
  c-Entered at RF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at 3B in the 4th.
  g-Entered at LF in the 5th.
  h-Entered at C in the 7th.

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Girma       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Worku       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mfeka       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gouet       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Moucketou-M cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Elsig       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Biteghé     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Metwally    c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bouanga     1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Mezui   ph ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Bouaziz ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Tawfik  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ndlovu      j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Estes       j  ......    3   1   3   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  1.000
Mvala       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   3   9   0   0   0   1   2  12   1   0  0.290
  SB: Metwally (3).
  a-Batted in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out in the 8th.
  c-Grounded out in the 9th.

CASABLANCA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Stalder (L, 1-1) ....    19   16  59%    3    2    2    0    8    0   73    -
Banguera ............     8    6  22%    5    1    1    1    2    0   32  1-0
Mukamurenzi .........     6    5  19%    1    0    0    1    2    0   26  2-0

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Elsig (W, 1-2) ......    28   27 100%    4    0    0    3    4    0  104    -

  Batting order: Quezon City Baseball Club (home) batted first; Casablanca Elk batted second.
  First pitch 1:00 PM. Weather: 84°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 83421.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 14 Serge Mvala Nkosana Ndlovu (3B) 0–1
B 15 Eddie Gouet Manasse Estes (3B) 0–2
B 21 Manasse Estes Khaled Metwally (3B) 0–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Meadow Svendsen Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 458' · RF 313' · 16' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Casablanca Elk — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
315' 458' 313' Wall 16' Leonardo Russo — double · EV 105 mph · LA +31° · 384 ft Hamari Mpasi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 151 ft Aksel Bensebaini — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +34° · 230 ft Aubrey du Toit — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -4° · 79 ft Maodo Moukoko — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +8° · 91 ft Jasprit Menon — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -1° · 89 ft Kundai Adeleye — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Shyheim Stalder — single · EV 68 mph · LA -4° · 64 ft Adeola Mezui — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +6° · 74 ft Lemma Demissie — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 121 ft Aksel Bensebaini — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA +5° · 55 ft Aubrey du Toit — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +51° · 342 ft Leonardo Russo — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +27° · 213 ft Hamari Mpasi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Salem Ousou — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft Kundai Adeleye — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 194 ft Adolis Martínez — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -4° · 66 ft Shyheim Stalder — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Leonardo Russo — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +47° · 338 ft
Quezon City Baseball Club — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 9 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
315' 458' 313' Wall 16' Gizaw Girma — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 329 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -0° · 53 ft Manasse Estes — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 290 ft Berhanu Worku — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 194 ft Eddie Gouet — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 142 ft Hamed Moucketou-Moussounda — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +55° · 218 ft Olumide Biteghé — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 68 ft Walieldin Mezui — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 178 ft Abdelkader Bouazizi — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 66 ft Berhanu Worku — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 81 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — single · EV 92 mph · LA -2° · 87 ft Manasse Estes — single · EV 77 mph · LA +19° · 143 ft Hamed Moucketou-Moussounda — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 212 ft Khaled Metwally — single · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Kamou Bouanga — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 118 ft Walieldin Mezui — single · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 68 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 91 ft Manasse Estes — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 153 ft Manasse Estes — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 214 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Casablanca Elk
29% deserve-to-win  ·  3.3 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -3.3 vs expected
contact: 10.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-5.2 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 4 CS (-2.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Leonardo Russo 92 / +47° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Kundai Adeleye 92 / +18° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Maodo Moukoko 90 / +8° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Shyheim Stalder 68 / -4° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Salem Ousou 76 / +12° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Quezon City Baseball Club
71% deserve-to-win  ·  5.1 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 10.0 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-1.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Gizaw Girma 92 / +38° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Berhanu Worku 92 / +18° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Manasse Estes 92 / +29° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Walieldin Mezui 76 / +25° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.78
Khaled Metwally 76 / -8° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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