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Amur-Zaimka Elk 8, Berlin Baseball Klub 1                    2046-04-21 · #921
at Tide Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Berlin                  1    1    2    0
Amur-Zaimka             8    8   11    0

BERLIN BASEBALL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Dillingham  2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Alfonso     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kallis      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sosa        ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Shelton     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Wiesner     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Marais      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lyle        3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Blue        p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Besler      j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Javed       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Totals                  25   1   2   0   0   0   1   2  13   0   1  0.080
  CS: Besler (3).
  HBP: Marais (1).
  Squeeze: Dillingham (1 RBI).


AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Akaho       cf ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Mogilevets  ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Willenborgo lf ......    3   3   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Lutrova     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Billiot     rf ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Mohammed    2b ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.500
Kingov      1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Meringoff   3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  a-Printez ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Pashkov pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mixon       j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Tolliver    j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  32   8  11   5   0   0   8   4  13   0   0  0.344
  2B: Akaho (8), Willenborgov (4), Billiot (1), Mohammed (1), Printezis (6).
  SB: Willenborgov (3).
  HBP: Willenborgov (1), Lutrova (3).
  Squeeze: Billiot.
  a-Batted in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Printezis in the 6th.

BERLIN BASEBALL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Blue ................     9    5  19%    3    2    2    1    5    0   36    -
Gipson (L, 0-1) .....    15   11  41%    3    3    3    3    3    0   44  2-1
Chittenden ..........    12   10  37%    5    3    3    0    4    0   36  3-2
Villa ...............     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    1    0    3  2-0

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Strodin (W, 1-0) ....    28   27 100%    2    1    1    2   13    0  103    -

  Batting order: Amur-Zaimka Elk (home) batted first; Berlin Baseball Klub batted second.
  First pitch 1:10 PM VLAT. Weather: 41°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 315960.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Rhyne Billiot Devonte Willenborgov (3B) 0–1
B 5 Thai-Son Mixon Rhyne Billiot (2B) 0–2
B 5 José Printezis Coniah Kingov (2B) 0–3
B 10 Rhyne Billiot Devonte Willenborgov (2B) 0–4
B 13 Jessie Tolliver Rhyne Billiot (2B) 0–5
B 18 Yared Mohammed Thai-Son Mixon (2B) 0–6
B 18 Yared Mohammed Devonte Willenborgov (1B) 0–7
B 21 Daichi Akaho Alan Pashkova (1B) 0–8
T 20 Cameron Dillingham Ronny Sosa (3B) 1–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tide Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 319' · CF 396' · RF 347' · 14' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill Bullpens in Play Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Berlin Baseball Klub — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
319' 396' 347' Wall 14' Cameron Dillingham — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +5° · 49 ft Connor Kallis — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +37° · 325 ft Usman Javed — single · EV 95 mph · LA -15° · 91 ft Ronny Sosa — fielders_choice · EV 68 mph · LA +6° · 65 ft Lenoir Wiesner — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Murphy Besler — error · EV 52 mph · LA +7° · 49 ft Eddie Shelton — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +42° · 230 ft Yandy Alfonso — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA -8° · 64 ft Lenoir Wiesner — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Connor Kallis — fly_out · EV 73 mph · LA +38° · 208 ft Murphy Besler — single · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 103 ft
Amur-Zaimka Elk — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 6 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
319' 396' 347' Wall 14' Devonte Willenborgov — double · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 308 ft Rhyne Billiot — double · EV 97 mph · LA +31° · 336 ft Thai-Son Mixon — single · EV 69 mph · LA +41° · 190 ft José Printezis — double · EV 102 mph · LA +23° · 303 ft Jessie Tolliver — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -6° · 74 ft Coniah Kingov — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +13° · 144 ft Alan Pashkova — single · EV 82 mph · LA +4° · 77 ft Daichi Akaho — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Sergey Mogilevets — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 347 ft Devonte Willenborgov — single · EV 89 mph · LA +12° · 132 ft Rhyne Billiot — single · EV 84 mph · LA +18° · 168 ft Jessie Tolliver — single · EV 75 mph · LA +6° · 71 ft Daichi Akaho — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +32° · 354 ft Yared Mohammed — double · EV 97 mph · LA +33° · 343 ft Daichi Akaho — double · EV 102 mph · LA +20° · 271 ft Sergey Mogilevets — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA +7° · 67 ft Yared Mohammed — single · EV 86 mph · LA +2° · 82 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Berlin Baseball Klub
1% deserve-to-win  ·  0.9 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 4.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-2.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Connor Kallis 92 / +37° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Usman Javed 95 / -15° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.51
Lenoir Wiesner 92 / +2° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Lenoir Wiesner 76 / -2° Pull Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Eddie Shelton 76 / +42° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.17
Amur-Zaimka Elk
99% deserve-to-win  ·  8.6 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 14.1 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+1.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sergey Mogilevets 100 / +30° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Daichi Akaho 100 / +32° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Thai-Son Mixon 69 / +41° Oppo Single 0.0 → 1 +0.97
Coniah Kingov 91 / +13° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Devonte Willenborgov 100 / +25° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
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