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Panevėžys Bottling Co. 11, Pinar del Río Ospreys 6           2046-04-20 · #920
at Sarraf Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Pinar del Río           6    6    5    0
Panevėžys              11   11   11    3

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
García      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Stoefen pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Coyle       3b ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Spence      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Coggeshall  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Cepeda  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Barnhar 1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Finkley cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Buchhol c  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  f-Pérez   3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
  g-Cabrera cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Cruz    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Difo    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Miyazaki    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Bamba       j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Esponda     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   6   5   2   0   0   6   5  11   0   0  0.161
  2B: Buchholz (3), Cabrera (6).
  a-Ran for García in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Finkley in the 6th.
  c-Entered at 1B in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  g-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  h-Ran for Cabrera in the 7th.
  i-Struck out for Esponda in the 7th.

PANEVĖŽYS BOTTLING CO.
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cunha       lf ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.200
Mejía       rf ......    5   3   4   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.800
Lehnhoff    3b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Breit       1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.250
Féliz       2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   1   0  0.333
Mangin      ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Hansen-Dent c  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Bautista    cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
March       p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.000
Saul        j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  34  11  11   1   0   0  11   5   7   1   1  0.324
  2B: Saul (6).
  E: Lehnhoff (1), Féliz 2 (4).
  HBP: Lehnhoff (2), Mangin (1).
  GIDP: Breit (1), Hansen-Dent (2).


PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
García ..............    15   10  37%    4    2    2    1    4    0   53    -
Jensen ..............     9    5  19%    2    3    3    2    2    0   27  2-1
Hechavarría (L, 0-1)     13   10  37%    3    5    5    2    1    0   54  3-3
Laughlin ............     4    2   7%    2    1    1    0    0    0   15  2-1

PANEVĖŽYS BOTTLING CO. PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
March (W, 1-3) ......    27   19  70%    5    5    5    4    6    0  107    -
Ivanova (F, 18) .....     9    8  30%    0    1    1    1    5    0   29  3-1

  Batting order: Panevėžys Bottling Co. (home) batted first; Pinar del Río Ospreys batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 56°F · Wind cross · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 542492.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Sadiel Mejía Sadiel Mejía (3B) 0–1
B 10 Diego Mangin Malik Breit (3B) 0–2
B 13 Sadiel Mejía Butch Hansen-Dent (3B) 0–3
B 13 Armondo Lehnhoff Sadiel Mejía (3B) 0–4
B 15 Diego Mangin Gavin March (3B) 0–5
B 15 Butch Hansen-Dent Sadiel Mejía (3B) 0–6
B 16 Gavin March Ronald Féliz (3B) 0–7
B 20 Ronald Féliz Diego Mangin (3B) 0–8
B 21 Butch Hansen-Dent Butch Hansen-Dent (3B) 0–9
B 25 Nicholas Cunha Armondo Lehnhoff (3B) 0–10
B 26 Malik Breit Tavierre Saul (3B) 0–11
T 4 Gen Miyazaki Sekou Barnhardt (3B) 1–11
T 7 Junior García Salif Bamba (3B) 2–11
T 9 Ken Buchholz Cristian Cabrera (3B) 3–11
T 17 David Pérez Cameron Coyle (3B) 4–11
T 19 Salif Bamba Manny Cruz (3B) 5–11
T 23 Emilio Spence David Pérez (3B) 6–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sarraf Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 335' · CF 430' · RF 314' · 41' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill Knothole Gates
Pinar del Río Ospreys — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
335' 430' 314' Wall 41' Ken Buchholz — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 178 ft Salif Bamba — error · EV 78 mph · LA -16° · 74 ft Cameron Coyle — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 87 ft Gen Miyazaki — error · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Junior García — error · EV 92 mph · LA -15° · 87 ft Adolis Cepeda — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 111 ft Cristian Cabrera — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 303 ft Manny Cruz — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Ken Buchholz — double · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 322 ft Salif Bamba — fielders_choice · EV 68 mph · LA -1° · 65 ft Cameron Coyle — single · EV 80 mph · LA -16° · 76 ft Emilio Spence — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Paul Coggeshall — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +44° · 338 ft David Pérez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 88 ft Sekou Barnhardt — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +47° · 338 ft Ken Buchholz — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 199 ft Emilio Spence — error · EV 66 mph · LA -9° · 63 ft Paul Coggeshall — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 117 ft
Panevėžys Bottling Co. — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 10 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
335' 430' 314' Wall 41' Sadiel Mejía — single · EV 93 mph · LA +9° · 110 ft Armondo Lehnhoff — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 173 ft Ronald Féliz — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 168 ft Butch Hansen-Dent — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 86 ft Malik Breit — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +54° · 220 ft Tavierre Saul — double · EV 92 mph · LA +27° · 277 ft Sadiel Mejía — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 87 ft Ronald Féliz — line_out · EV 56 mph · LA +24° · 96 ft Diego Mangin — infield_single · EV 52 mph · LA +13° · 60 ft Butch Hansen-Dent — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 103 ft Malik Breit — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA -9° · 52 ft Gavin March — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 181 ft Sadiel Mejía — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 131 ft Armondo Lehnhoff — single · EV 83 mph · LA +10° · 90 ft José Bautista — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +41° · 335 ft Ronald Féliz — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 105 ft Butch Hansen-Dent — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Ronald Féliz — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +39° · 380 ft Nicholas Cunha — line_out · EV 60 mph · LA +23° · 105 ft Sadiel Mejía — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA +4° · 60 ft José Bautista — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 202 ft Armondo Lehnhoff — line_out · EV 66 mph · LA +21° · 116 ft Malik Breit — single · EV 56 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Nicholas Cunha — single · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Sadiel Mejía — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 134 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pinar del Río Ospreys
26% deserve-to-win  ·  5.4 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 9.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-2.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Cristian Cabrera 92 / +32° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Paul Coggeshall 92 / +44° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Sekou Barnhardt 92 / +47° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Ken Buchholz 92 / +36° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Ken Buchholz 92 / +16° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Panevėžys Bottling Co.
74% deserve-to-win  ·  9.1 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +1.9 vs expected
contact: 12.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-0.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ronald Féliz 98 / +39° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Tavierre Saul 92 / +27° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
José Bautista 92 / +41° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Nicholas Cunha 76 / +1° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Ronald Féliz 76 / +23° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
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