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Amur-Zaimka Elk 10, Berlin Baseball Klub 8                   2046-04-20 · #906
at Tide Bowl
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Berlin                  8      0    8    6    0
Amur-Zaimka            10      -   10   12    0

BERLIN BASEBALL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Dillingham  2b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
CressAllen  lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Sosa        ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Altuve      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Marais      cf ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  1.000
Lyle        c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Morgan      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Granville   1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Rojas       p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Besler      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Javed       j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  27   8   6   2   0   0   8   8  10   0   0  0.222
  2B: CressAllen (3), Javed (3).
  GIDP: Morgan (1).


AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mohammed    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Edwards pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Printezis   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Pashkov pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Willenborgo 2b ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Qiu     ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Billiot     rf ......    3   1   3   0   0   0   3   0   1   1   0  1.000
Stevensov   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Bridges pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Blackov     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   1   .000
  e-Cardin  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kingov      c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  f-Mogilev pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Meringoff   3b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  g-DiSano  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Lutrova ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  i-Kwiatko ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  j-Jin     ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  k-Thompso ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  l-Dzalami pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  m-Hall    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Terry       j  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mixon       j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Tolliver    j  ......    4   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  34  10  12   3   0   0  10   4   9   1   1  0.353
  2B: Terry (4), Mixon (10), Meringoff (2).
  CS: Mogilevets (4).
  Squeeze: Tolliver.
  a-Ran for Mohammed in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Printezis in the 4th.
  c-Grounded out for Willenborgov in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Stevensov in the 4th.
  e-Ran for Blackov in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Kingov in the 6th.
  g-Struck out in the 3rd.
  h-Batted for Edwardsov in the 4th.
  i-Batted for DiSano in the 5th.
  j-Grounded out for Pashkova in the 5th.
  k-Grounded out for Cardin in the 7th.
  l-Ran in the 9th.
  m-Grounded out for Terry in the 9th.

BERLIN BASEBALL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rojas ...............    12    8  30%    5    3    2    0    4    0   41    -
Shibata .............     5    3  11%    3    2    2    1    2    0   22  2-0
Burrows (L, 0-3) ....     4    1   4%    1    3    3    2    1    0   10  2-2
Manga ...............    15   15  56%    1    2    2    1    3    0   62  2-1

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Blackov .............     5    2   7%    2    2    2    1    1    0   21    -
Phillipsov ..........     8    4  15%    3    4    4    3    2    0   32  1-1
Bowesov (W, 4-0) ....    16   15  56%    0    2    2    3    7    0   56  1-1
Rybakina ............     7    6  22%    1    0    0    1    1    0   24    -

  Batting order: Amur-Zaimka Elk (home) batted second; Berlin Baseball Klub batted first.
  Seconds: BB1 o26 (8-0).
  First pitch 5:45 PM VLAT. Weather: 46°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain · Dry. seed 873406.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Usman Javed Cameron Dillingham (3B) 1–0
T 1 Usman Javed Markeylin CressAllen (2B) 2–0
T 1 Kobus Marais Usman Javed (3B) 3–0
T 1 Lenoir Lyle Ronny Sosa (3B) 4–0
T 4 Eloy Rojas Kobus Marais (2B) 5–0
T 4 Cameron Dillingham Lenoir Lyle (2B) 6–0
T 9 Lenoir Lyle Cameron Dillingham (3B) 7–0
T 15 Murphy Besler Kobus Marais (2B) 8–0
B 3 Rhyne Billiot Eoin Terry (3B) 8–1
B 4 Frances Blackov Jessie Tolliver (3B) 8–2
B 8 Eoin Terry Rhyne Billiot (3B) 8–3
B 10 Devonte Willenborgov Jarvis Edwardsov (3B) 8–4
B 10 Rhyne Billiot Jessie Tolliver (3B) 8–5
B 11 Frances Blackov Alan Pashkova (3B) 8–6
B 12 Coniah Kingov Devonte Willenborgov (3B) 8–7
B 12 Coniah Kingov Kyle Bridges (2B) 8–8
B 17 Rhyne Billiot Nate Cardin (3B) 8–9
B 26 Bodey Hall Ilia Dzalamidze (2B) 8–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tide Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 319' · CF 396' · RF 347' · 14' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill Bullpens in Play Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Berlin Baseball Klub — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
319' 396' 347' Wall 14' Markeylin CressAllen — double · EV 105 mph · LA +31° · 392 ft Usman Javed — double · EV 97 mph · LA +13° · 168 ft Lenoir Lyle — single · EV 63 mph · LA -2° · 60 ft Eloy Rojas — single · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Cameron Dillingham — single · EV 98 mph · LA +1° · 93 ft Kobus Marais — single · EV 97 mph · LA +24° · 278 ft Lenoir Lyle — fielders_choice · EV 60 mph · LA +8° · 57 ft Heath Morgan — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Murphy Besler — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -6° · 68 ft Usman Javed — line_out · EV 102 mph · LA +16° · 221 ft Ronny Sosa — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -8° · 54 ft Heath Morgan — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +42° · 171 ft Eloy Rojas — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -0° · 84 ft Cameron Dillingham — fly_out · EV 73 mph · LA +27° · 170 ft Markeylin CressAllen — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -22° · 78 ft Murphy Besler — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 127 ft
Amur-Zaimka Elk — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 7 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
319' 396' 347' Wall 14' Thai-Son Mixon — double · EV 93 mph · LA +40° · 344 ft Eoin Terry — double · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 309 ft Devonte Willenborgov — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA +1° · 65 ft Rhyne Billiot — single · EV 60 mph · LA +21° · 98 ft Yared Mohammed — error · EV 58 mph · LA -12° · 55 ft Coniah Kingov — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +23° · 187 ft Yu Jin — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +27° · 141 ft Shihan Qiu — fly_out · EV 59 mph · LA +38° · 135 ft Kyle Bridges — fly_out · EV 58 mph · LA +27° · 110 ft Bodey Hall — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -1° · 61 ft Thai-Son Mixon — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -13° · 66 ft Eoin Terry — single · EV 86 mph · LA +10° · 97 ft Devonte Willenborgov — single · EV 54 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Rhyne Billiot — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Coniah Kingov — single · EV 86 mph · LA +20° · 190 ft Micah Meringoff — line_out · EV 64 mph · LA +11° · 61 ft Jessie Tolliver — single · EV 88 mph · LA -3° · 83 ft Thai-Son Mixon — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +40° · 166 ft Eoin Terry — line_out · EV 57 mph · LA +17° · 73 ft Micah Meringoff — double · EV 93 mph · LA +37° · 329 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Berlin Baseball Klub
77% deserve-to-win  ·  7.3 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 9.4 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-1.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Usman Javed 102 / +16° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Lenoir Lyle 63 / -2° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Usman Javed 97 / +13° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Murphy Besler 76 / +17° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Eloy Rojas 92 / +5° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Amur-Zaimka Elk
23% deserve-to-win  ·  4.0 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +6.0 vs expected
contact: 9.2 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+3.8 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eoin Terry 92 / +33° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Micah Meringoff 93 / +37° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Devonte Willenborgov 69 / +1° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Thai-Son Mixon 93 / +40° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Coniah Kingov 80 / +23° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.72
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