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Marseille Club de Baseball 7, Erdenet Sawmill 3              2046-04-20 · #905
at Marseille Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Erdenet                 3    3    3    0
Marseille               7    7   10    0

ERDENET SAWMILL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bower       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ferraz      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Vanderh cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Bastard 3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Davis   ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Rahimi  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Carrizo rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Mooy    lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Murugan ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Dawn    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Schraut ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pritchard   j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Samuel      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Porter      j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  26   3   3   0   0   0   1   3  12   0   0  0.115
  SB: Pritchard 2 (3).
  HBP: Dawn (2).
  GIDP: Murugan (1).
  a-Entered at CF in the 6th.
  b-Entered at 3B in the 6th.
  c-Entered at SS in the 6th.
  d-Entered at C in the 7th.
  e-Entered at RF in the 7th.
  f-Entered at LF in the 8th.
  g-Batted in the 4th.
  h-Was hit by a pitch for Mooy in the 6th.
  i-Struck out in the 6th.

MARSEILLE CLUB DE BASEBALL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Liriano     ss ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Escobar     rf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Yépez       lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Donarski    c  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Hance       p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Craw        3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Uberoi      1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Wattel  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Olivera     cf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Linárez     2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Rojas       j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Nyhus       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Guerra      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32   7  10   3   0   0   6   3   9   0   0  0.312
  2B: Liriano (8), Rojas (6), Olivera (4).
  SB: Yépez (2).
  HBP: Yépez (1).
  GIDP: Linárez (1), Nyhus (2).
  a-Ran for Uberoi in the 1st.

ERDENET SAWMILL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ferraz ..............     8    3  11%    4    2    2    1    0    0   26    -
Witsken (L, 0-1) ....     4    1   4%    2    3    3    1    0    0   15  2-2
Bashor ..............     4    4  15%    0    2    2    0    1    0   17  2-2
Gazzaniga ...........    16   15  56%    3    0    0    1    8    0   52    -
Fontes ..............     4    4  15%    1    0    0    0    0    0   12  1-0

MARSEILLE CLUB DE BASEBALL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hance (W, 3-0) ......    30   27 100%    3    3    3    3   12    0  118    -

  Batting order: Marseille Club de Baseball (home) batted first; Erdenet Sawmill batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM GMT. Weather: 72°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Dry. seed 145463.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Forest Craw Freddy Escobar (3B) 0–1
B 2 Ketel Rojas Nahuel Yépez (3B) 0–2
B 3 Derlis Olivera Forest Craw (3B) 0–3
B 3 Edwin Liriano Ketel Rojas (3B) 0–4
B 3 Edwin Liriano Derlis Olivera (2B) 0–5
B 4 Freddy Escobar Heissler Linárez (3B) 0–6
B 4 Nahuel Yépez Edwin Liriano (3B) 0–7
T 14 Maurice Davis Franklin Pritchard (3B) 1–7
T 21 Saman Rahimi Frank Porter (3B) 2–7
T 25 Oliver Vanderhoef Franklin Pritchard (3B) 3–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Marseille Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 337' · CF 435' · RF 343' · 12' wall). Balanced.
Bullpens in Play Tal's Hill
Erdenet Sawmill — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
337' 435' 343' Franklin Pritchard — line_out · EV 69 mph · LA +16° · 105 ft Endy Bastardo — single · EV 80 mph · LA -17° · 76 ft Jomel Murugan — double_play · EV 71 mph · LA -14° · 67 ft Frank Porter — single · EV 82 mph · LA -9° · 78 ft Franklin Pritchard — single · EV 98 mph · LA -6° · 93 ft Oliver Vanderhoef — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -22° · 66 ft Frank Porter — fielders_choice · EV 57 mph · LA -12° · 54 ft Jerry Samuel — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +24° · 191 ft Maurice Davis — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 179 ft Oliver Vanderhoef — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +37° · 352 ft
Marseille Club de Baseball — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 7 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
337' 435' 343' Edwin Liriano — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +36° · 388 ft Freddy Escobar — single · EV 92 mph · LA +3° · 87 ft Richie Donarski — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -9° · 67 ft Noel Hance — fly_out · EV 104 mph · LA +15° · 212 ft Forest Craw — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Ketel Rojas — double · EV 98 mph · LA +33° · 353 ft Derlis Olivera — double · EV 105 mph · LA +24° · 320 ft Erick Nyhus — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Heissler Linárez — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +4° · 87 ft Edwin Liriano — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 277 ft Freddy Escobar — error · EV 68 mph · LA -7° · 65 ft Richie Donarski — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +10° · 140 ft Nahuel Yépez — single · EV 83 mph · LA +21° · 185 ft Erick Nyhus — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 91 ft Heissler Linárez — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +47° · 235 ft Freddy Escobar — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 208 ft Richie Donarski — single · EV 85 mph · LA +21° · 193 ft Noel Hance — single · EV 78 mph · LA +10° · 85 ft Derlis Olivera — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA -13° · 74 ft Edwin Liriano — single · EV 93 mph · LA +28° · 289 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Erdenet Sawmill
11% deserve-to-win  ·  2.9 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 5.3 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-2.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Oliver Vanderhoef 96 / +37° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Maurice Davis 88 / +18° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Endy Bastardo 80 / -17° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.65
Frank Porter 82 / -9° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
Franklin Pritchard 69 / +16° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Marseille Club de Baseball
89% deserve-to-win  ·  8.4 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 14.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Edwin Liriano 101 / +36° Center Out 2.0 → 0 -2.02
Noel Hance 104 / +15° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Richie Donarski 99 / +10° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Richie Donarski 70 / -9° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Freddy Escobar 92 / +3° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
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