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Sapporo Sentinels 9, Pyongyang Central Spartans 8            2046-04-20 · #893
at Adams Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Pyongyang Central       8    8    7    0
Sapporo                 9    9    8    0

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kuehn       c  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Cabalceta   lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Lombardi    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Schnack     2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Pfister     cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Zingaro     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Vahaly      rf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Addison     3b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Yokobori    p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Tippmann    j  ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
Griffith    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Onyedika    j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  29   8   7   4   0   0   7   6   4   0   0  0.241
  2B: Kuehn (8), Vahaly (5), Addison (1), Onyedika (7).
  SB: Tippmann (4).
  HBP: Kuehn (2).


SAPPORO SENTINELS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Limar       lf ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Kinsler     3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Amrouche    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
López       1b ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Shelburne   cf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Germán      rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Newman      c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Carrasco    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
  a-Hofer   c  ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Ludloff     j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Arias       j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Yu          j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  21   9   8   4   0   1   9   4   4   0   1  0.381
  2B: Hofer (3), Arias (2), López (1), Shelburne (1).
  HR: Limar (2), off Yokobori.
  GIDP: Yu (2).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Yokobori (L, 2-2) ...    20   14  52%    6    6    5    2    4    1   71    -
Suniaga .............     5    2   7%    2    3    3    2    0    0    6  1-1

SAPPORO SENTINELS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Carrasco ............    12    6  22%    4    6    6    4    2    0   53    -
Furtado (W, 2-0) ....    15   13  48%    2    1    1    2    1    0   56  1-0
Cranis ..............     8    8  30%    1    1    1    0    1    0   32  2-1

  Batting order: Sapporo Sentinels (home) batted second; Pyongyang Central Spartans batted first.
  First pitch 6:40 PM YAKT. Weather: 43°F · Wind in · Overcast. seed 519839.
  Walk-Back runs: off Yokobori 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Javon Zingaro Ethan Kuehn (3B) 1–0
T 3 Mantle Vahaly Eulis Cabalceta (3B) 2–0
T 3 Mantle Vahaly Mekhi Pfister (2B) 3–0
T 5 Damon Onyedika Cory Tippmann (3B) 4–0
T 5 Damon Onyedika George Addison (3B) 5–0
T 6 Ethan Kuehn Damon Onyedika (2B) 6–0
T 18 Omarian Lombardi Cory Tippmann (3B) 7–0
T 23 Cory Tippmann Kaylan Schnack (3B) 8–0
B 5 Jacques Hofer Ryan Kinsler (2B) 8–1
B 5 Yunior López Jacques Hofer (2B) 8–2
B 14 Maciek Limar Song Yu (2B) 8–3
B 14 Maciek Limar Maciek Limar (HR) 8–4
B 14 Yunior López Maciek Limar (3B) 8–5
B 14 Yunior López Jacques Hofer (1B) 8–6
B 14 Ben Shelburne Yunior López (2B) 8–7
B 16 Damion Ludloff Vladimir Germán (3B) 8–8
B 16 Damion Ludloff Jonah Newman (2B) 8–9
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Adams Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 357' · CF 412' · RF 308' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Pyongyang Central Spartans — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
357' 412' 308' Omarian Lombardi — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +44° · 387 ft Mantle Vahaly — double · EV 108 mph · LA +35° · 437 ft George Addison — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 179 ft Damon Onyedika — double · EV 104 mph · LA +23° · 309 ft Ethan Kuehn — double · EV 102 mph · LA +44° · 412 ft Eulis Cabalceta — single · EV 81 mph · LA +9° · 83 ft Mekhi Pfister — fly_out · EV 72 mph · LA +27° · 167 ft Cory Tippmann — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 163 ft Kaylan Schnack — line_out · EV 54 mph · LA +25° · 90 ft George Addison — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +60° · 326 ft Damon Onyedika — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +33° · 235 ft Ethan Kuehn — single · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 194 ft Mekhi Pfister — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +4° · 87 ft Javon Zingaro — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +16° · 144 ft Omarian Lombardi — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +47° · 381 ft Francisco Griffith — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +14° · 111 ft Damon Onyedika — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +14° · 138 ft George Addison — single · EV 68 mph · LA +24° · 139 ft
Sapporo Sentinels — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 3 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
357' 412' 308' Basil Arias — double · EV 104 mph · LA +20° · 271 ft Song Yu — double_play · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Ryan Kinsler — single · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 280 ft Augustine Amrouche — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -16° · 95 ft Jacques Hofer — double · EV 98 mph · LA +18° · 225 ft Yunior López — single · EV 94 mph · LA -4° · 89 ft Henderson Carrasco — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Basil Arias — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -21° · 84 ft Ryan Kinsler — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -0° · 84 ft Augustine Amrouche — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +40° · 480 ft Maciek Limar — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Yunior López — double · EV 103 mph · LA +25° · 322 ft Ben Shelburne — double · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 272 ft Jonah Newman — fielders_choice · EV 81 mph · LA -10° · 77 ft Damion Ludloff — single · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 88 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pyongyang Central Spartans
58% deserve-to-win  ·  13.1 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -5.1 vs expected
contact: 19.6 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-8.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Omarian Lombardi 98 / +44° Center Out 2.0 → 0 -1.96
Omarian Lombardi 98 / +47° Oppo Out 2.0 → 0 -1.96
Mantle Vahaly 108 / +35° Pull Double 3.4 → 2 -1.45
George Addison 97 / +60° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.78
George Addison 100 / +13° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Sapporo Sentinels
42% deserve-to-win  ·  11.1 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 18.6 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (-3.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Augustine Amrouche 119 / +40° Center Out 3.7 → 0 -3.75
Jacques Hofer 98 / +18° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.69
Yunior López 103 / +25° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.62
Song Yu 100 / +8° Pull Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Damion Ludloff 92 / +7° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
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