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Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths 7, Matanzas Tornados 6        2046-04-20 · #889
at The Funnel
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Matanzas                6      -    6   13    1
Cienfuegos              2      5    7    9    0

MATANZAS TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
García      c  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Liriano     1b ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Bareiro     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Núñez       ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   1   0  0.333
Renner      2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Smit    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Falcao      lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0  0.500
Firmino     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Werner  ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Arce        3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Schmidt pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Suero   ph ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Castill ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mendes      j  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  0.667
Paniagua    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Park        j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   6  13   1   0   0   4   5   7   3   0  0.448
  2B: Liriano (9).
  E: Park (1).
  GIDP: Bareiro (1), Mendes (1).
  a-Ran for Renner in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Firmino in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Arce in the 7th.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Singled for Schmidt in the 9th.

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Quiñones    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Louis   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fazio       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Pérez   ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Encarnación c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Flores  ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Difo        rf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
  d-Rosas   ss ......    3   1   2   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.667
  e-Zanetti rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Féliz   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Ramos   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  h-Zanetti ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
  i-Coronad ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  j-Arce    pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  k-Akiyama ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Anderson    j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Rodríguez   j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Valencia    j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  33   7   9   1   0   1   7   2  10   0   0  0.273
  2B: Anderson (7).
  HR: Rosas (2), off Severino.
  SB: Arce (7).
  CS: Encarnación (1).
  GIDP: Rosas (1).
  a-Struck out for Quiñones in the 7th.
  b-Batted for Fazio in the 6th.
  c-Batted for Encarnación in the 5th.
  d-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at RF in the 7th.
  f-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  g-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  h-Entered at SS in the 4th.
  i-Grounded out for Zanetti in the 5th.
  j-Ran for Coronado in the 5th.
  k-Batted for Féliz in the 6th.

MATANZAS TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Severino (L, 1-1) ...    35   26  96%    9    7    7    2   10    1  104    -

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Quiñones ............    12   10  37%    5    1    1    2    3    0   35    -
Coronado (W, 1-0) ...    11    8  30%    5    1    1    1    2    0   34  1-0
Peña ................     6    4  15%    2    4    4    2    0    0   18  3-2
Souza ...............     5    5  19%    1    0    0    0    2    0   19  1-0

  Batting order: Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths (home) batted second; Matanzas Tornados batted first.
  Seconds: CNG o25 (2-6).
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 67°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 738259.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Karl-Anthony Núñez Welington García (3B) 1–0
T 18 Vladimir Suero Nicolaas Smit (3B) 2–0
T 18 Ji-sung Park Lisandro Werner (3B) 3–0
T 19 Luís Mendes Marcelo Schmidt (3B) 4–0
T 19 Luís Mendes Vladimir Suero (2B) 5–0
T 22 Andrés Paniagua Welington García (3B) 6–0
B 19 Cesar Rosas Rory Anderson (3B) 6–1
B 20 Rory Anderson Moisés Valencia (3B) 6–2
seconds_second 0 Bruno Akiyama Daniel Flores (2B) 6–3
seconds_second 0 Sandro Zanetti Welington Pérez (2B) 6–4
seconds_second 1 Cesar Rosas Sandro Zanetti (3B) 6–5
seconds_second 1 Cesar Rosas Edwin Difo (2B) 6–6
seconds_second 1 Cesar Rosas Cesar Rosas (HR) 6–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Funnel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 418' · RF 348' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Ivy Wall
Matanzas Tornados — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 12 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
346' 418' 348' Welington García — single · EV 104 mph · LA +8° · 99 ft James Liriano — double · EV 93 mph · LA +32° · 311 ft Cesar Bareiro — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +28° · 214 ft Karl-Anthony Núñez — single · EV 77 mph · LA +23° · 170 ft Andy Falcao — single · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 84 ft Luís Mendes — fly_out · EV 63 mph · LA +27° · 129 ft Ji-sung Park — fly_out · EV 71 mph · LA +30° · 175 ft Vladimir Suero — single · EV 74 mph · LA -15° · 70 ft Chris Renner — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 156 ft Lisandro Werner — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Andrés Paniagua — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 235 ft Nicolaas Smit — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 194 ft Tony Castillo — single · EV 81 mph · LA +3° · 77 ft James Liriano — single · EV 70 mph · LA -2° · 66 ft Luís Mendes — double_play · EV 85 mph · LA +8° · 81 ft Exequiel Arce — single · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 107 ft Vladimir Suero — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Ji-sung Park — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Luís Mendes — single · EV 61 mph · LA +16° · 77 ft James Liriano — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +28° · 220 ft Cesar Bareiro — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft Luís Mendes — single · EV 88 mph · LA +30° · 268 ft
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 7 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
346' 418' 348' Juan Ramos — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Rory Anderson — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +37° · 104 ft Juan Rodríguez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 218 ft Moisés Valencia — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Yefri Encarnación — single · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Marco Fazio — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Edwin Difo — single · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Cesar Rosas — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +3° · 87 ft Andrés Quiñones — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +18° · 140 ft James Coronado — error · EV 52 mph · LA -7° · 49 ft Daniel Flores — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 212 ft Carlos Arce — error · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 157 ft Rory Anderson — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 190 ft Juan Rodríguez — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 281 ft Cesar Rosas — single · EV 68 mph · LA +14° · 86 ft Moisés Valencia — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 194 ft Daniel Flores — single · EV 107 mph · LA +10° · 151 ft Bruno Akiyama — single · EV 88 mph · LA -16° · 84 ft Rory Anderson — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 198 ft Juan Rodríguez — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Sandro Zanetti — single · EV 97 mph · LA -5° · 92 ft Edwin Difo — single · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 285 ft Cesar Rosas — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +40° · 463 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Matanzas Tornados
57% deserve-to-win  ·  7.4 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 10.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+3.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Andrés Paniagua 92 / +22° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Nicolaas Smit 92 / +18° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
James Liriano 93 / +32° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
James Liriano 70 / -2° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Vladimir Suero 74 / -15° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths
43% deserve-to-win  ·  6.5 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 14.7 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-1.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rory Anderson 92 / +17° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Carlos Arce 92 / +14° Pull Reached on Error 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Juan Rodríguez 92 / +28° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Yefri Encarnación 76 / -12° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Edwin Difo 76 / -8° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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