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Quezon City Baseball Club 9, Casablanca Elk 6                2046-04-20 · #886
at Meadow Svendsen Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Casablanca              6    6    6    1
Quezon City             9    9    6    0

CASABLANCA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moukoko     cf ......    1   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  2.000
Strydom     rf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Mezui       lf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Maritz      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Menon       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Mthembu     2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Randria ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Stoll       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Ratsimb pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Benseba rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Inkoom  c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Toit    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Martíne ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Adeleye ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mpasi       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  0.000
Russo       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Demissie    j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   6   6   1   0   0   6   9   5   1   0  0.250
  2B: Moukoko (2).
  CS: Demissie (2).
  E: Moukoko (1).
  HBP: Moukoko (3), Demissie (1), Toit (2).
  GIDP: Bensebaini (1), Inkoom (1), Stoll (1), Randrianomenjanahary (1).
  a-Batted for Mthembu in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Stoll in the 6th.
  c-Entered at RF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at C in the 7th.
  e-Ran in the 7th.
  f-Struck out in the 7th.
  g-Struck out in the 9th.

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bouanga     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Bouazizi    cf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bartzen     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Gouet   ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Swart       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Metwall ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Moucketou-M ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Vilakaz ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Tawfik      rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Biteghé     lf ......    3   0   1   0   1   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Girma       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Sissako pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Mezui   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Ndlovu      j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Estes       j  ......    3   3   3   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mvala       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   9   6   0   1   0   8   5  10   0   0  0.194
  3B: Biteghé (1).
  SB: Tawfik (1).
  HBP: Ndlovu (2).
  a-Batted for Bartzen in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Swart in the 5th.
  c-Batted for Moucketou-Moussounda in the 5th.
  d-Ran for Girma in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 4th.

CASABLANCA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Stoll ...............     8    7  26%    1    1    1    0    3    0   26    -
Martínez ............     7    4  15%    1    2    2    2    2    0   31  1-1
Magull ..............     5    2   7%    1    3    3    1    1    0   20  2-1
Tekle (L, 0-2) ......    14   12  44%    2    3    3    2    3    0   53  2-2
Olivier .............     2    2   7%    0    0    0    0    1    0   13  1-0

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bartzen (W, 2-1) ....    25   17  63%    6    5    5    7    1    0   87    -
Atal (F, 10) ........    11   10  37%    0    1    1    2    4    0   44  3-0

  Batting order: Quezon City Baseball Club (home) batted first; Casablanca Elk batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 78°F · Wind in · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 934446.
  Powerplays: Casablanca Elk — Martínez NF (O13)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Serge Mvala Nkosana Ndlovu (2B) 0–1
B 8 Gizaw Girma Manasse Estes (3B) 0–2
B 11 Manasse Estes Islam Tawfik (3B) 0–3
B 13 Khaled Metwally Manasse Estes (3B) 0–4
B 13 Sipho Vilakazi Abdelkader Bouazizi (3B) 0–5
B 13 Sipho Vilakazi Eddie Gouet (3B) 0–6
B 14 Olumide Biteghé Khaled Metwally (3B) 0–7
B 14 Olumide Biteghé Sipho Vilakazi (2B) 0–8
B 22 Sipho Vilakazi Manasse Estes (2B) 0–9
T 3 Maodo Moukoko Wynand Strydom (3B) 1–9
T 3 Leonardo Russo Mike Inkoom (3B) 2–9
T 3 Hamari Mpasi Maodo Moukoko (3B) 3–9
T 8 Aksel Bensebaini Lemma Demissie (3B) 4–9
T 17 Lemma Demissie Adeola Mezui (3B) 5–9
T 18 Hamari Mpasi Aubrey du Toit (3B) 6–9
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Meadow Svendsen Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 458' · RF 313' · 16' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Casablanca Elk — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
315' 458' 313' Wall 16' Aksel Bensebaini — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +6° · 49 ft Wynand Strydom — single · EV 87 mph · LA +12° · 120 ft Adeola Mezui — single · EV 61 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Reeza Maritz — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 94 ft Maodo Moukoko — error · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 135 ft Hamari Mpasi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 175 ft Jasprit Menon — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +43° · 231 ft Melville Stoll — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Mike Inkoom — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA -1° · 55 ft Leonardo Russo — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 189 ft Jean Randrianomenjanahary — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Maodo Moukoko — double · EV 92 mph · LA +45° · 339 ft Aksel Bensebaini — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Wynand Strydom — single · EV 83 mph · LA -0° · 79 ft Adeola Mezui — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Leonardo Russo — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +54° · 328 ft Wynand Strydom — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 218 ft Adeola Mezui — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 299 ft
Quezon City Baseball Club — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
315' 458' 313' Wall 16' Manasse Estes — single · EV 80 mph · LA +17° · 142 ft Abdelkader Bouazizi — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 88 ft Serge Mvala — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -14° · 76 ft Hamed Moucketou-Moussounda — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +13° · 101 ft Gizaw Girma — error · EV 77 mph · LA +16° · 129 ft Walieldin Mezui — fly_out · EV 70 mph · LA +28° · 163 ft Khaled Metwally — error · EV 78 mph · LA +7° · 74 ft Sipho Vilakazi — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 219 ft Islam Tawfik — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +2° · 71 ft Mesud Sissako — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -17° · 63 ft Eddie Gouet — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +10° · 94 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +44° · 378 ft Manasse Estes — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 191 ft Abdelkader Bouazizi — fielders_choice · EV 54 mph · LA +2° · 51 ft Olumide Biteghé — triple · EV 98 mph · LA +32° · 346 ft Kamou Bouanga — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +36° · 373 ft Sipho Vilakazi — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +2° · 89 ft Manasse Estes — single · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 239 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Casablanca Elk
40% deserve-to-win  ·  7.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -1.0 vs expected
contact: 7.4 est bases + 12 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Reeza Maritz 92 / +8° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Maodo Moukoko 92 / +45° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Adeola Mezui 92 / +31° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Adeola Mezui 76 / +2° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Wynand Strydom 83 / +0° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
Quezon City Baseball Club
60% deserve-to-win  ·  8.5 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 12.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-5.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Nkosana Ndlovu 97 / +44° Center Out 2.0 → 0 -1.96
Kamou Bouanga 99 / +36° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Olumide Biteghé 98 / +32° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.48
Eddie Gouet 81 / +10° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Gizaw Girma 77 / +16° Center Reached on Error 0.6 → 0 -0.61
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