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BHP Wolves 33, Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd 8    2046-04-20 · #883
at Same Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Brisbane               33      -   33   27    2
Wellington              8      0    8    5    0

BHP WOLVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Murphy      rf ......    4   5   3   1   0   1   5   2   0   0   0  0.750
Marsh       2b ......    6   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.167
Maley       1b ......    5   5   4   3   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.800
Goorjian    p  ......    5   2   2   1   1   0   2   0   3   0   1  0.400
Calhoun     lf ......    5   5   5   2   1   1   6   0   0   1   0  1.000
Vukovic     ss ......    5   4   3   1   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.600
Henry       c  ......    5   3   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.400
Gregorius   cf ......    6   4   4   1   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.667
Goodwin     3b ......    5   5   3   0   0   1   5   1   0   0   0  0.600
Hassett     j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   .000
Neill       j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  46  33  27  11   2   5  32   6   4   1   1  0.587
  2B: Murphy (1), Marsh (7), Maley 3 (15), Goorjian (3), Calhoun 2 (14), Vukovic (6), Henry (6), Gregorius (10).
  3B: Goorjian (1), Calhoun (2).
  HR: Murphy (1), off Grella; Maley (5), off Walker; Calhoun (8), off Walker; Vukovic (7), off Grella; Goodwin (2), off Holman.
  SB: Goodwin (1).
  CS: Neill (2).
  E: Marsh (2), Hassett (2).
  HBP: Hassett (2).


WELLINGTON NORTHERN SHIPPING CO. PTY LTD
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ban         lf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.250
Mitchell    cf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.500
Spiranovic  rf ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Catley      3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Mitchel nf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Makin       c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Shalimova   2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Irvine      1b ......    1   3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Campbell    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Walker      p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Hakala      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Moore       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   8   5   2   0   0   6   7   8   0   0  0.172
  2B: Mitchell (8), Irvine (3).
  HBP: Catley (2).
  GIDP: Ban (2), Moore (1), Makin (1).
  a-Replaced Catley at NF in the 7th.

BHP WOLVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Goorjian ............    13    7  26%    0    4    2    4    3    0   53    -
Baker (W, 2-0) ......    14   12  44%    2    3    3    2    3    0   52  2-1
Risdon ..............    10    8  30%    3    1    1    1    2    0   44  1-0

WELLINGTON NORTHERN SHIPPING CO. PTY LTD PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Walker ..............    10    4  15%    7    7    5    0    0    2   39    -
Morris ..............    13    8  30%    3    5    5    3    2    0   50  1-1
Grella (L, 0-1) .....    10    2   7%    9   10    9    0    0    2   31  1-0
Brown ...............    14    7  26%    6    8    7    3    1    0   53  1-1
Holman ..............     6    5  19%    2    3    2    0    1    1   25  1-1

  Batting order: Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd (home) batted first; BHP Wolves batted second.
  Seconds: BW o26 (33-8), WNS o26 (8-0).
  First pitch 6:00 PM PETT. Weather: 56°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 704166.
  Powerplays: Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd — Mitchell NF (O6)
  Walk-Back runs: off Walker 2, off Grella 1, off Brown 1, off Holman 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Hillel Makin Shane Mitchell (3B) 0–1
B 3 Richard Shalimova James Catley (3B) 0–2
B 6 Dong-gun Ban Hillel Makin (3B) 0–3
B 6 Dong-gun Ban Richard Shalimova (2B) 0–4
B 8 Vince Spiranovic Joshua Irvine (3B) 0–5
B 9 Hamish Moore Vince Spiranovic (3B) 0–6
B 17 James Catley Joshua Irvine (2B) 0–7
B 25 Shane Mitchell Joshua Irvine (3B) 0–8
T 0 Damien Maley Damien Maley (HR) 1–8
T 0 Fred Calhoun Damien Maley (3B) 2–8
T 0 Fred Calhoun Fred Calhoun (HR) 3–8
T 2 Nathan Gregorius Fred Calhoun (3B) 4–8
T 3 Greg Murphy Nathan Gregorius (3B) 5–8
T 4 Ashton Goorjian Greg Murphy (2B) 6–8
T 4 Damien Maley Ashton Goorjian (2B) 7–8
T 4 Fred Calhoun Damien Maley (2B) 8–8
T 4 Cam Vukovic Fred Calhoun (1B) 9–8
T 4 Lindsay Henry Cam Vukovic (2B) 10–8
T 8 Pita Hassett Lindsay Henry (3B) 11–8
T 11 Fred Calhoun Greg Murphy (3B) 12–8
T 13 Nathan Gregorius Cam Vukovic (3B) 13–8
T 14 Greg Murphy Lindsay Henry (2B) 14–8
T 14 Greg Murphy Nathan Gregorius (1B) 15–8
T 14 Greg Murphy Greg Murphy (HR) 16–8
T 14 Aron Goodwin Greg Murphy (3B) 17–8
T 14 Ashton Goorjian Aron Goodwin (1B) 18–8
T 14 Damien Maley Ashton Goorjian (3B) 19–8
T 14 Fred Calhoun Damien Maley (2B) 20–8
T 14 Cam Vukovic Fred Calhoun (2B) 21–8
T 14 Cam Vukovic Cam Vukovic (HR) 22–8
T 14 Nathan Gregorius Cam Vukovic (3B) 23–8
T 15 Aron Goodwin Lindsay Henry (3B) 24–8
T 15 Aron Goodwin Nathan Gregorius (2B) 25–8
T 18 Greg Murphy Aron Goodwin (3B) 26–8
T 19 Nathan Gregorius Aron Goodwin (3B) 27–8
T 19 Nathan Gregorius Greg Murphy (2B) 28–8
T 21 Fred Calhoun Nathan Gregorius (2B) 29–8
T 21 Damien Maley Fred Calhoun (3B) 30–8
T 22 Aron Goodwin Damien Maley (2B) 31–8
T 22 Aron Goodwin Aron Goodwin (HR) 32–8
T 23 Jack Marsh Aron Goodwin (3B) 33–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Same Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 339' · CF 409' · RF 327' · 18' wall). Balanced.
Ivy Wall Scoreboard Clock
BHP Wolves — Batted Balls
36 BIP· 9 1B · 13 XBH · 5 HR
339' 409' 327' Wall 18' Damien Maley — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +28° · 475 ft Fred Calhoun — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 288 ft Nathan Gregorius — double · EV 104 mph · LA +25° · 339 ft Jack Marsh — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +7° · 89 ft Greg Murphy — double · EV 100 mph · LA +28° · 334 ft Ashton Goorjian — double · EV 119 mph · LA +19° · 344 ft Fred Calhoun — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 461 ft Damien Maley — double · EV 99 mph · LA +28° · 323 ft Fred Calhoun — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Cam Vukovic — double · EV 118 mph · LA +19° · 344 ft Lindsay Henry — double · EV 97 mph · LA +42° · 374 ft Nathan Gregorius — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +53° · 480 ft Aron Goodwin — fly_out · EV 110 mph · LA +52° · 471 ft Greg Murphy — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft Fred Calhoun — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 457 ft Cam Vukovic — single · EV 119 mph · LA +8° · 158 ft Lindsay Henry — single · EV 100 mph · LA -16° · 95 ft Nathan Gregorius — single · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Jack Marsh — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 290 ft Aron Goodwin — single · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Ashton Goorjian — triple · EV 111 mph · LA +18° · 287 ft Greg Murphy — single · EV 100 mph · LA +32° · 361 ft Damien Maley — double · EV 95 mph · LA +12° · 146 ft Fred Calhoun — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 200 ft Cam Vukovic — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +28° · 451 ft Nathan Gregorius — single · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 133 ft Jack Marsh — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 243 ft Aron Goodwin — single · EV 119 mph · LA +4° · 113 ft Lindsay Henry — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -10° · 94 ft Nathan Gregorius — single · EV 100 mph · LA +27° · 323 ft Cam Vukovic — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 380 ft Fred Calhoun — triple · EV 119 mph · LA +22° · 398 ft Damien Maley — double · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 346 ft Aron Goodwin — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +30° · 480 ft Lindsay Henry — ground_out · EV 114 mph · LA +8° · 146 ft Jack Marsh — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 219 ft
Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
339' 409' 327' Wall 18' Dong-gun Ban — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -10° · 74 ft Richard Shalimova — fielders_choice · EV 53 mph · LA +4° · 50 ft Shane Mitchell — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -16° · 50 ft James Catley — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 145 ft Hillel Makin — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +48° · 230 ft Joshua Irvine — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 163 ft Dong-gun Ban — error · EV 52 mph · LA -9° · 49 ft Niko Hakala — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 165 ft Vince Spiranovic — error · EV 56 mph · LA -23° · 53 ft Dyson Campbell — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 205 ft Nyngarra Walker — single · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 99 ft James Catley — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +3° · 49 ft Hamish Moore — double_play · EV 55 mph · LA -6° · 52 ft Hillel Makin — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Shane Mitchell — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 307 ft Dong-gun Ban — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +4° · 49 ft Dyson Campbell — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Dong-gun Ban — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
BHP Wolves
97% deserve-to-win  ·  29.3 expected runs
actual 33 runs  ·  +3.7 vs expected
contact: 57.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 56.0 (-1.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Fred Calhoun 119 / +27° Center Out 3.0 → 0 -2.97
Cam Vukovic 100 / +36° Center Out 2.0 → 0 -2.02
Nathan Gregorius 119 / +53° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.59
Jack Marsh 100 / +19° Oppo Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Aron Goodwin 110 / +52° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd
3% deserve-to-win  ·  4.7 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +3.3 vs expected
contact: 6.5 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+0.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Joshua Irvine 92 / +14° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Shane Mitchell 92 / +32° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Dong-gun Ban 76 / +2° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Niko Hakala 76 / +23° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
James Catley 76 / +19° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.39
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