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Belgrade Beisbol Klub 9, Valencia Pacific Print Shop 7       2046-04-20 · #878
at Crooked Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Belgrade                9    9    8    3
Valencia                7    7    4    0

BELGRADE BEISBOL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Nzonzi      3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bryan       p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Fetfatzidis 2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Pellegrini  ss ......    2   0   1   0   1   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bhatti      lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Schwarz     rf ......    2   3   2   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Popp        cf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Dupont      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
  a-Zdovc   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gaye        j  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Magee       j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Vukojević   j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  21   9   8   4   1   1   8   4   9   0   1  0.381
  2B: Gaye (7), Nzonzi (2), Fetfatzidis (3), Magee (3).
  3B: Pellegrini (1).
  HR: Schwarz (2), off Larkin.
  SB: Bhatti (1).
  CS: Bhatti (2), Vukojević (2).
  E: Gaye (1), Bryan (1), Fetfatzidis (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Toit        lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mueller     2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kimpembe    3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Evans       c  ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Behrens     ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Benedetti   1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pašalić     rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  1.000
Simon       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Larkin      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Giuliani    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Baldasso    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Lehmann     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   7   4   0   0   0   4   5   9   0   1  0.143
  HBP: Toit (2).
  GIDP: Toit (2), Evans (3), Simon (1).
  Squeeze: Pašalić (1 RBI), Simon (1 RBI).


BELGRADE BEISBOL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bryan (W, 0-3) ......    20   14  52%    2    5    5    3    4    0   75    -
Chadli ..............    13   13  48%    1    2    2    2    5    0   50  3-2

VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Larkin ..............     7    4  15%    3    3    3    1    1    1   26    -
Volland .............    13   12  44%    3    2    1    1    8    0   52  1-1
Lauvergne (L, 1-1) ..     4    1   4%    2    4    4    2    0    0    6  1-1

  Batting order: Valencia Pacific Print Shop (home) batted first; Belgrade Beisbol Klub batted second.
  First pitch 7:10 PM GMT. Weather: 68°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 35619.
  Walk-Back runs: off Volland 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 6 Dario Pašalić Karim Mueller (3B) 0–1
B 6 Šime Simon Matteo Baldasso (3B) 0–2
B 8 Karim Mueller Tomás Evans (3B) 0–3
B 8 Riccardo Giuliani Dario Pašalić (3B) 0–4
B 14 Dario Pašalić Atticus Kimpembe (3B) 0–5
B 14 Šime Simon Tomás Evans (3B) 0–6
B 18 Riccardo Giuliani Mario Behrens (3B) 0–7
T 2 Danilo Pellegrini Victor Gaye (3B) 1–7
T 2 Danilo Pellegrini Bruno Magee (2B) 2–7
T 4 Benedikt Schwarz Benedikt Schwarz (HR) 3–7
T 4 Djimy Nzonzi Benedikt Schwarz (3B) 4–7
T 16 Djimy Nzonzi Benedikt Schwarz (1B) 5–7
T 17 Victor Gaye Djimy Nzonzi (3B) 6–7
T 17 Victor Gaye Niklas Popp (2B) 7–7
T 17 Antonis Fetfatzidis Bertram Bryan (3B) 8–7
T 17 Antonis Fetfatzidis Victor Gaye (2B) 9–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Crooked Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 358' · CF 373' · RF 333' · 14' wall). The Crescent — Inverted.
Belgrade Beisbol Klub — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 2 1B · 5 XBH · 1 HR
358' 373' 333' Wall 14' Bruno Magee — double · EV 91 mph · LA +15° · 167 ft Danilo Pellegrini — triple · EV 104 mph · LA +21° · 297 ft Azam Bhatti — fielders_choice · EV 74 mph · LA -2° · 70 ft Benedikt Schwarz — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +33° · 410 ft Suad Vukojević — single · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 141 ft Bruno Magee — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +4° · 70 ft Benedikt Schwarz — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 150 ft Djimy Nzonzi — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 157 ft Victor Gaye — double · EV 79 mph · LA +36° · 239 ft Antonis Fetfatzidis — double · EV 99 mph · LA +18° · 232 ft
Valencia Pacific Print Shop — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
358' 373' 333' Wall 14' Karim Mueller — error · EV 63 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Riccardo Giuliani — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Matteo Baldasso — single · EV 58 mph · LA +16° · 71 ft Timo Lehmann — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -16° · 49 ft Pat Larkin — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Tomás Evans — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -15° · 49 ft Karim Mueller — error · EV 55 mph · LA -2° · 53 ft Riccardo Giuliani — error · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Atticus Kimpembe — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Emerson Benedetti — fly_out · EV 62 mph · LA +48° · 154 ft Hugo du Toit — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -1° · 57 ft Tomás Evans — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Šime Simon — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Riccardo Giuliani — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 82 ft Atticus Kimpembe — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 170 ft Emerson Benedetti — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +19° · 148 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Belgrade Beisbol Klub
65% deserve-to-win  ·  4.5 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +4.5 vs expected
contact: 9.5 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+7.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Victor Gaye 79 / +36° Center Double 0.1 → 2 +1.88
Danilo Pellegrini 104 / +21° Pull Triple 1.6 → 3 +1.42
Bruno Magee 91 / +15° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Djimy Nzonzi 92 / +14° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Benedikt Schwarz 106 / +33° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.99
Valencia Pacific Print Shop
35% deserve-to-win  ·  3.3 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +3.7 vs expected
contact: 5.3 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-2.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Atticus Kimpembe 76 / +24° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Emerson Benedetti 78 / +19° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Matteo Baldasso 58 / +16° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
Atticus Kimpembe 76 / +12° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
Riccardo Giuliani 76 / +10° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
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