Box Score — OK @ YS — Super Innings

============================================================================== Ola Knights 1, Yagodnoye Sharks 0 2046-04-20 · #875 at Yagodnoye Yards ============================================================================== 1 R H E Ola 1 1 1 0 Yagodnoye 0 0 2 0 OLA KNIGHTS AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K 2C SH H/AB Marchenko j ...... 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1.000 Totals 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1.000 HR: Marchenko (2), off Shunin. YAGODNOYE SHARKS AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K 2C SH H/AB Tkacheva 2b ...... 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.000 Nembhardov 1b ...... 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 Safina 3b ...... 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.000 Chalova lf ...... 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 Goloviznina ss ...... 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 DeMelo cf ...... 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.000 Panova rf ...... 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 Bautista c ...... 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 a-Grebeny ph ...... 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 Shunin p ...... 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.000 b-Isaeva ph ...... 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 c-Parker rf ...... 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 Lapushchenk j ...... 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.000 Fedorov j ...... 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.000 Aalto j ...... 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.333 Totals 27 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0.074 SB: Isaeva (1). CS: Lapushchenkova 2 (3). GIDP: Bautista (1). a-Grounded out for Bautista in the 8th. b-Grounded out for Shunin in the 8th. c-Replaced Aalto at RF in the 7th. OLA KNIGHTS PITCHING BF OUT OS% H R ER BB K HR P IR Biryukov (W, 1-0) ... 26 27 100% 2 0 0 0 6 0 101 - YAGODNOYE SHARKS PITCHING BF OUT OS% H R ER BB K HR P IR Shunin (L, 0-3) ..... 1 0 0% 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 - Batting order: Yagodnoye Sharks (home) batted first; Ola Knights batted second. First pitch 6:30 PM MAGT. Weather: 45°F · Wind out · Overcast · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 413531. ==============================================================================

Half	Outs	Batter	Runner (from)	Score
T	0	Mykhailo Marchenko	Mykhailo Marchenko (HR)	1–0

Half

Outs

Batter

Runner (from)

Score

Mykhailo Marchenko

Mykhailo Marchenko (HR)

1–0

Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.

Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error

Charts drawn to Yagodnoye Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 422' · RF 340' · 8' wall). Balanced.

Ola Knights — Batted Balls

1 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR

Yagodnoye Sharks — Batted Balls

17 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR

Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.

Ola Knights

96% deserve-to-win · 1.0 expected runs

actual 1 run · as expected

contact: 3.7 est bases + 0 walks/HBP · actual batted 4.0 (+0.3 on contact)

Player	EV/LA	Spray	Result	Est→Act	Luck
Mykhailo Marchenko	109 / +46°	Oppo	Home Run	3.7 → 4	+0.30

Yagodnoye Sharks

4% deserve-to-win · 0.2 expected runs

actual 0 runs · -0.2 vs expected

contact: 5.3 est bases + 0 walks/HBP · actual batted 2.0 (-3.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)

Player	EV/LA	Spray	Result	Est→Act	Luck
Ilia Fedorov	92 / +30°	Oppo	Out	0.8 → 0	-0.80
Jon Parker	82 / -11°	Oppo	Single	0.4 → 1	+0.65
Mikhail Lapushchenkova	64 / +20°	Center	Reached on Error	0.5 → 0	-0.52
Petr Panova	76 / +13°	Oppo	Out	0.5 → 0	-0.51
Avery Nembhardov	76 / +7°	Pull	Out	0.3 → 0	-0.28