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Pyongyang Central Spartans 10, Sapporo Sentinels 9           2046-04-19 · #871
at Adams Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Pyongyang Central      10   10   14    0
Sapporo                 9    9    7    0

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Schnack     2b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Lombardi    ss ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Donkoh      cf ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   2   1   0  0.500
Cabalceta   lf ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Heinzen pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Estes       p  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Vahaly      3b ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Richards    rf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Mthembu     1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Santana c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Griffith    j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Onyedika    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Tippmann    j  ......    2   1   2   0   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  31  10  14   4   0   1  10   3   9   1   0  0.452
  2B: Griffith (4), Lombardi (7), Donkoh (3), Vahaly (4).
  HR: Tippmann (1), off Escobar.
  CS: Schnack (3), Santana (1), Tippmann (1).
  HBP: Santana (1).
  a-Ran for Cabalceta in the 8th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.

SAPPORO SENTINELS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kinsler     3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Amrouche    ss ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Barros      2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
López       1b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Shelburne   cf ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Harbour     lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Germán      c  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Waite       rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Jimenez     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Arias       j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Ludloff     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Yu          j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   9   7   3   0   1   7   5   6   0   1  0.241
  2B: Kinsler (3), Amrouche (1), Germán (1).
  HR: Shelburne (1), off Steinmetz.
  SB: Arias (2), Amrouche (1).
  CS: Waite (1).
  GIDP: Germán (2).


PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Estes ...............    14   11  41%    4    5    5    3    1    0   38    -
Steinmetz (W, 1-0) ..    15   13  48%    3    3    3    2    3    1   60  1-1
Luzhanska ...........     3    3  11%    0    1    1    0    2    0   12  1-1

SAPPORO SENTINELS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jimenez (L, 2-2) ....    29   20  74%   11    6    6    3    8    0  107    -
Escobar .............     6    3  11%    3    4    4    0    1    1   16  1-1

  Batting order: Sapporo Sentinels (home) batted first; Pyongyang Central Spartans batted second.
  First pitch 7:15 PM YAKT. Weather: 69°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Dry. seed 113229.
  Walk-Back runs: off Luzhanska 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Vladimir Germán Yunior López (2B) 0–1
B 7 Vladimir Germán Song Yu (1B) 0–2
B 8 Damion Ludloff Vladimir Germán (3B) 0–3
B 11 Ryan Kinsler Basil Arias (3B) 0–4
B 11 Augustine Amrouche Ryan Kinsler (2B) 0–5
B 18 Basil Arias Augustine Amrouche (3B) 0–6
B 23 Ben Shelburne Augustine Amrouche (2B) 0–7
B 23 Ben Shelburne Ben Shelburne (HR) 0–8
B 24 Norman Harbour Ben Shelburne (3B) 0–9
T 1 Kaylan Schnack Omarian Lombardi (2B) 1–9
T 7 Nick Donkoh Mantle Vahaly (3B) 2–9
T 7 Nick Donkoh Glen Richards (2B) 3–9
T 19 Cory Tippmann Jacques Estes (3B) 4–9
T 19 Cory Tippmann Mantle Vahaly (2B) 5–9
T 20 Francisco Griffith Mthokozisi Mthembu (1B) 6–9
T 20 Eulis Cabalceta Francisco Griffith (2B) 7–9
T 23 Cory Tippmann Roger Heinzen (3B) 8–9
T 23 Cory Tippmann Damon Onyedika (1B) 9–9
T 23 Cory Tippmann Cory Tippmann (HR) 10–9
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Adams Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 357' · CF 412' · RF 308' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Pyongyang Central Spartans — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 9 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
357' 412' 308' Omarian Lombardi — double · EV 85 mph · LA +18° · 169 ft Kaylan Schnack — single · EV 78 mph · LA +7° · 75 ft Nick Donkoh — infield_single · EV 67 mph · LA +0° · 63 ft Jacques Estes — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +8° · 79 ft Mantle Vahaly — single · EV 97 mph · LA +25° · 287 ft Glen Richards — single · EV 75 mph · LA +4° · 71 ft Cory Tippmann — single · EV 79 mph · LA +16° · 136 ft Francisco Griffith — double · EV 108 mph · LA +34° · 431 ft Damon Onyedika — single · EV 110 mph · LA +6° · 104 ft Eulis Cabalceta — single · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 139 ft Nick Donkoh — double · EV 88 mph · LA +31° · 276 ft Mthokozisi Mthembu — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +7° · 71 ft Mantle Vahaly — double · EV 96 mph · LA +16° · 196 ft Cory Tippmann — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +35° · 446 ft Omarian Lombardi — single · EV 87 mph · LA -7° · 83 ft Jacques Estes — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Eulis Cabalceta — single · EV 94 mph · LA +20° · 225 ft Omarian Lombardi — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +12° · 151 ft Kaylan Schnack — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 142 ft
Sapporo Sentinels — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
357' 412' 308' Remington Barros — single · EV 86 mph · LA +8° · 82 ft Damion Ludloff — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -12° · 69 ft Norman Harbour — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +31° · 243 ft Vladimir Germán — double · EV 90 mph · LA +41° · 324 ft Song Yu — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +2° · 76 ft Ryan Kinsler — double · EV 111 mph · LA +21° · 325 ft Collin Waite — single · EV 80 mph · LA +23° · 183 ft Damion Ludloff — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -16° · 93 ft Augustine Amrouche — double · EV 108 mph · LA +25° · 358 ft Vladimir Germán — double_play · EV 101 mph · LA +4° · 96 ft Song Yu — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +12° · 97 ft Basil Arias — single · EV 91 mph · LA -9° · 87 ft Damion Ludloff — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -24° · 94 ft Yunior López — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -7° · 77 ft Ben Shelburne — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Vladimir Germán — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +57° · 312 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pyongyang Central Spartans
53% deserve-to-win  ·  8.6 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 18.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 20.0 (+1.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 3 CS (-2.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Omarian Lombardi 85 / +18° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.28
Kaylan Schnack 100 / +10° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Omarian Lombardi 96 / +12° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Francisco Griffith 108 / +34° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.01
Nick Donkoh 67 / +0° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Sapporo Sentinels
47% deserve-to-win  ·  8.1 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 14.3 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-1.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Vladimir Germán 90 / +41° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Remington Barros 86 / +8° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.60
Vladimir Germán 101 / +4° Center Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Basil Arias 91 / -9° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.55
Song Yu 78 / +12° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
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