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Graz Broncos 26, Kitay-Torg Leopards 6                       2046-04-19 · #870
at Edwards Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Kitay-Torg              6    6    7    3
Graz                   26   26   18    0

KITAY-TORG LEOPARDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Campbell    3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Hallov      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Amente      rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Taylor      ss ......    3   4   3   0   0   2   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Karatsev    1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Endo        cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Quiglin     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Entringer   p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Jonesov c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Maggs       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Schlotterbe j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Harrisov    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   6   7   1   0   2   6   1   7   0   2  0.259
  2B: Schlotterbeck (4).
  HR: Taylor 2 (2), off Mthembu, Bounedjah.
  CS: Jonesov (3).
  E: Campbell 3 (3).
  GIDP: Harrisov (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

GRAZ BRONCOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Schiffman   ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Javed   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Webó        lf ......    4   3   3   2   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  0.750
Jones       rf ......    4   3   2   1   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Kebede      3b ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Gueye       1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Abebe   pr ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Ngculu      cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Covilhã     c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Banda       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Ndour   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mthembu     p  ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Hakimi  ph ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Collins     j  ......    5   5   4   1   0   2   6   0   0   0   0  0.800
Bothma      j  ......    4   3   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mazarura    j  ......    5   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.200
Totals                  45  26  18   6   0   6  26   4   9   0   0  0.400
  2B: Webó 2 (8), Collins (10), Jones (3), Mthembu (1), Hakimi (4).
  HR: Webó (4), off Bakerov; Collins 2 (4), off Entringer, Bakerov; Jones (2), off Paul; Kebede (2), off Campbell; Abebe (3), off Bakerov.
  SB: Mthembu (1), Abebe (1).
  a-Ran for Schiffman in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Gueye in the 3rd.
  c-Replaced Banda at 2B in the 9th.
  d-Batted for Javed in the 4th.

KITAY-TORG LEOPARDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Entringer ...........    14    9  33%    3    5    3    2    3    1   54    -
Bakerov (L, 0-3) ....    13    9  33%    5    7    6    1    1    3   42  1-1
Paul ................    10    4  15%    5    7    7    0    2    1   41  1-1
Campbell ............     6    0   0%    5    7    7    0    0    1   11  1-1
Rogers ..............     5    5  19%    0    0    0    1    3    0   23  1-0

GRAZ BRONCOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mthembu (W, 2-1) ....    16   14  52%    5    4    3    0    4    1   53    -
Bounedjah (F, 18) ...    13   13  48%    2    2    2    1    5    1   44  1-0

  Batting order: Graz Broncos (home) batted first; Kitay-Torg Leopards batted second.
  First pitch 1:05 PM. Weather: 76°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 850779.
  Walk-Back runs: off Entringer 1, off Bakerov 1, off Paul 2, off Campbell 1, off Mthembu 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Garang Collins Arshad Javed (2B) 0–1
B 1 Garang Collins Garang Collins (HR) 0–2
B 4 Chimezie Gueye Garang Collins (3B) 0–3
B 8 Garang Collins Bezabeh Abebe (2B) 0–4
B 8 Peter Bothma Athenkosi Mthembu (2B) 0–5
B 10 Hugo Webó Peter Bothma (2B) 0–6
B 10 Hugo Webó Wellington Mazarura (1B) 0–7
B 13 Bezabeh Abebe Bezabeh Abebe (HR) 0–8
B 18 Hugo Webó Sofiane Hakimi (1B) 0–9
B 18 Hugo Webó Hugo Webó (HR) 0–10
B 18 Garang Collins Hugo Webó (3B) 0–11
B 18 Garang Collins Garang Collins (HR) 0–12
B 18 Peter Bothma Garang Collins (3B) 0–13
B 18 Jordan Jones Peter Bothma (1B) 0–14
B 18 Jordan Jones Jordan Jones (HR) 0–15
B 18 Shimeket Kebede Jordan Jones (3B) 0–16
B 19 Percy Ngculu Shimeket Kebede (3B) 0–17
B 22 Athenkosi Mthembu Bezabeh Abebe (3B) 0–18
B 22 Garang Collins Athenkosi Mthembu (3B) 0–19
B 22 Peter Bothma Garang Collins (2B) 0–20
B 22 Sofiane Hakimi Peter Bothma (1B) 0–21
B 22 Hugo Webó Sofiane Hakimi (2B) 0–22
B 22 Jordan Jones Hugo Webó (2B) 0–23
B 22 Shimeket Kebede Jordan Jones (2B) 0–24
B 22 Shimeket Kebede Shimeket Kebede (HR) 0–25
B 22 Bezabeh Abebe Shimeket Kebede (3B) 0–26
T 4 Karle Taylor Mohammed Amente (1B) 1–26
T 4 Karle Taylor Karle Taylor (HR) 2–26
T 4 Jarvis Jonesov Karle Taylor (3B) 3–26
T 10 Traylon Maggs Mariyon Entringer (3B) 4–26
T 22 Karle Taylor Karle Taylor (2B) 5–26
T 22 Karle Taylor Karle Taylor (—) 6–26
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Edwards Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 358' · RF 290' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Kitay-Torg Leopards — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 2 HR
278' 358' 290' Traylon Maggs — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA -11° · 91 ft Anthony Harrisov — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -25° · 94 ft Mohammed Amente — fielders_choice · EV 72 mph · LA -11° · 68 ft Karle Taylor — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 371 ft Jarvis Jonesov — single · EV 89 mph · LA +1° · 85 ft Mariyon Entringer — single · EV 73 mph · LA -6° · 69 ft Justice Campbell — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 154 ft Stepan Karatsev — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +14° · 139 ft Traylon Maggs — ground_out · EV 108 mph · LA +8° · 103 ft Anthony Harrisov — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA +3° · 67 ft Michael Schlotterbeck — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -7° · 95 ft Karle Taylor — single · EV 88 mph · LA -16° · 83 ft Stepan Karatsev — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +14° · 141 ft Karle Taylor — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +37° · 382 ft Anthony Harrisov — double_play · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 83 ft Michael Schlotterbeck — double · EV 96 mph · LA +34° · 341 ft
Graz Broncos — Batted Balls
31 BIP· 6 1B · 6 XBH · 6 HR
278' 358' 290' Garang Collins — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +32° · 469 ft Peter Bothma — line_out · EV 118 mph · LA +17° · 307 ft Chimezie Gueye — single · EV 119 mph · LA +13° · 248 ft Nelson Covilhã — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA -6° · 91 ft Bezabeh Abebe — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +28° · 364 ft Athenkosi Mthembu — double · EV 111 mph · LA +16° · 265 ft Garang Collins — single · EV 100 mph · LA +0° · 95 ft Peter Bothma — error · EV 104 mph · LA +2° · 99 ft Wellington Mazarura — single · EV 84 mph · LA +17° · 159 ft Hugo Webó — double · EV 104 mph · LA +26° · 341 ft Jordan Jones — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Shimeket Kebede — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +30° · 237 ft Percy Ngculu — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +7° · 84 ft Nelson Covilhã — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -4° · 67 ft Jeffry Banda — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA +14° · 183 ft Sofiane Hakimi — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA -6° · 76 ft Bezabeh Abebe — error · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 244 ft Hugo Webó — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +35° · 480 ft Garang Collins — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 461 ft Peter Bothma — error · EV 67 mph · LA -5° · 64 ft Jordan Jones — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +34° · 439 ft Shimeket Kebede — single · EV 86 mph · LA +4° · 82 ft Percy Ngculu — single · EV 97 mph · LA +8° · 105 ft Sofiane Hakimi — double · EV 95 mph · LA +15° · 181 ft Bezabeh Abebe — single · EV 94 mph · LA +6° · 89 ft Garang Collins — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 201 ft Peter Bothma — error · EV 99 mph · LA +5° · 94 ft Hugo Webó — double · EV 94 mph · LA +38° · 342 ft Jordan Jones — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 223 ft Shimeket Kebede — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +27° · 398 ft Garang Collins — fly_out · EV 67 mph · LA +38° · 172 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Kitay-Torg Leopards
5% deserve-to-win  ·  4.6 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 11.1 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+2.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Karle Taylor 100 / +37° Oppo Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.48
Karle Taylor 100 / +34° Center Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.98
Mariyon Entringer 73 / -6° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Traylon Maggs 108 / +8° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.65
Karle Taylor 88 / -16° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.65
Graz Broncos
95% deserve-to-win  ·  19.6 expected runs
actual 26 runs  ·  +6.4 vs expected
contact: 39.5 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 42.0 (+2.5 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bezabeh Abebe 105 / +28° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.93
Peter Bothma 118 / +17° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.72
Shimeket Kebede 111 / +27° Center Home Run 2.4 → 4 +1.63
Jeffry Banda 97 / +14° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Sofiane Hakimi 95 / +15° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
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