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Ussuri Police 7, Sydney Universal Tile Works 5               2046-04-19 · #860
at Lane Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Ussuri                  7    7    6    0
Sydney                  5    5    5    0

USSURI POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Taylorov    c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Millender   1b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ishikawa    lf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Anshba      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kulikovskay 3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Garay   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Bychkov cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Yahya       j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   8   7   6   2   0   3   7   0   1   0   0  0.750
  2B: Millender (2), Bychkova (2).
  HR: Taylorov (4), off Dowdy; Ishikawa (3), off Dowdy; Yahya (6), off Benatia.
  SB: Kulikovskaya (3).
  a-Entered at CF in the 8th.
  b-Entered at CF in the 9th.

SYDNEY UNIVERSAL TILE WORKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Suhail      lf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Lavrusky    cf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Toumi   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Correia     2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Mahfouz pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Hassan      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tapsoba     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Antoine 3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Trivedi     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Dowdy       p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Ati-Zig pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Nuamah  ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
  f-Behardi ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Sané    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Stewart ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  i-Sambiss cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  j-Rao     ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  k-Habte   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Mwaikenda   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Patel       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Popp        j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   5   5   3   0   1   4   4   9   0   0  0.179
  2B: Suhail (7), Nuamah (3), Dowdy (1).
  HR: Lavrusky (4), off Andreeva.
  HBP: Correia (2).
  GIDP: Behardien (3), Trivedi (2).
  a-Batted for Lavrusky in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Correia in the 1st.
  c-Replaced Tapsoba at 3B in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Dowdy in the 4th.
  e-Batted in the 1st.
  f-Batted in the 3rd.
  g-Replaced Popp at SS in the 4th.
  h-Batted in the 5th.
  i-Entered at CF in the 7th.
  j-Struck out in the 8th.
  k-Ran in the 8th.

USSURI POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Andreeva ............     5    2   7%    2    3    2    0    1    1   12    -
Rudnev ..............    14   11  41%    1    2    2    2    4    0   53  1-1
Gasso (W, 2-0) ......    14   14  52%    2    0    0    2    4    0   40  2-0

SYDNEY UNIVERSAL TILE WORKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Dowdy (L, 1-0) ......     6    3  11%    4    4    3    0    1    2   18    -
Benatia .............     2    0   0%    2    3    3    0    0    1    5  1-1

  Batting order: Sydney Universal Tile Works (home) batted first; Ussuri Police batted second.
  First pitch 7:05 PM VLAT. Weather: 78°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 725152.
  Walk-Back runs: off Andreeva 1, off Dowdy 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Ellsworth Lavrusky Ellsworth Lavrusky (HR) 0–1
B 2 Kibu Nuamah Ellsworth Lavrusky (3B) 0–2
B 2 Kibu Nuamah Amr Mahfouz (1B) 0–3
B 6 Vinay Behardien Kibu Nuamah (3B) 0–4
B 11 Jan Sané Marcelo Ati-Zigi (3B) 0–5
T 1 Kenta Ishikawa Kenta Ishikawa (HR) 1–5
T 1 Wylie Taylorov Kenta Ishikawa (3B) 2–5
T 1 Wylie Taylorov Wylie Taylorov (HR) 3–5
T 3 Igor Kulikovskaya Oscar Millender (3B) 4–5
T 3 Artemi Bychkova Igor Kulikovskaya (2B) 5–5
T 3 Benjamin Yahya Artemi Bychkova (2B) 6–5
T 3 Benjamin Yahya Benjamin Yahya (HR) 7–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Lane Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 395' · CF 407' · RF 369' · 13' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Wire Basket Crescent Grandstand
Ussuri Police — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 3 HR
395' 407' 369' Kenta Ishikawa — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +38° · 473 ft Wylie Taylorov — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +26° · 431 ft Evgueni Anshba — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 93 ft Oscar Millender — double · EV 119 mph · LA +26° · 441 ft Igor Kulikovskaya — single · EV 119 mph · LA +9° · 175 ft Artemi Bychkova — double · EV 88 mph · LA +33° · 288 ft Benjamin Yahya — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +43° · 480 ft
Sydney Universal Tile Works — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 1 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
395' 407' 369' Moussa Suhail — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +30° · 259 ft Ellsworth Lavrusky — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +44° · 428 ft Kibu Nuamah — double · EV 101 mph · LA +39° · 401 ft Tarek Hassan — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -19° · 55 ft James Patel — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -7° · 62 ft Celton Tapsoba — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +12° · 123 ft Malachi Dowdy — double · EV 86 mph · LA +30° · 261 ft Abdelkader Toumi — line_out · EV 65 mph · LA +17° · 95 ft Jan Sané — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Marnus Stewart — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +31° · 228 ft Marcelo Ati-Zigi — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -13° · 61 ft Serge-Junior Sambissa — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +39° · 275 ft James Patel — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 215 ft Vinay Behardien — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA -3° · 55 ft Brandon Trivedi — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -22° · 57 ft Grant Popp — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +25° · 260 ft Marnus Stewart — single · EV 90 mph · LA -4° · 85 ft Moussa Suhail — double · EV 95 mph · LA +18° · 210 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Ussuri Police
43% deserve-to-win  ·  5.8 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 16.6 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+0.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wylie Taylorov 117 / +26° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +1.03
Oscar Millender 119 / +26° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -0.97
Artemi Bychkova 88 / +33° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Evgueni Anshba 92 / +8° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Kenta Ishikawa 110 / +38° Pull Home Run 3.4 → 4 +0.55
Sydney Universal Tile Works
57% deserve-to-win  ·  6.6 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 11.1 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-0.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Malachi Dowdy 86 / +30° Center Double 0.4 → 2 +1.61
Ellsworth Lavrusky 104 / +44° Oppo Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.51
Grant Popp 92 / +25° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Moussa Suhail 95 / +18° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.69
Celton Tapsoba 87 / +12° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
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