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Esso BK 14, Gannibal Stevedores 13                           2046-04-19 · #859
at Simakin Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Esso                   14   14   18    0
Gannibal               13   13   16    0

ESSO BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bardina     c  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Trubin      p  ......    3   2   3   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  1.000
Bezecny     3b ......    4   3   3   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.750
Chappell    ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sastry      1b ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Canıtez     2b ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Agafonov    cf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Kulikova    lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Tchernenko  rf ......    3   1   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fomin       j  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Twedtov     j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Totals                  37  14  18   5   0   0  11   3  11   0   1  0.486
  2B: Bezecny (2), Fomin (4), Canıtez (2), Kulikova (3), Tchernenko (1).
  SB: Bezecny (1), Tchernenko (1).
  CS: Sastry (1).
  HBP: Agafonov (1).
  GIDP: Bardina (2), Chappell (1), Twedtov (1).
  Squeeze: Canıtez (1 RBI).


GANNIBAL STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hydrickov   2b ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Abasirin    ss ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Young       lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Hodgson     1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Shaffer pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Robertsov   p  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   1  0.333
Keenumov    c  ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
  b-Dementi ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Townsendov  cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Cissé       3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  c-Lukusov c  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Trapp       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0  0.333
Zaytseva    j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Ornstein    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  34  13  16   5   0   0  13   8  10   1   1  0.471
  2B: Hydrickov (5), Abasirin (5), Young (8), Keenumov 2 (2).
  SB: Lukusov (1).
  CS: Abasirin (3).
  a-Ran for Hodgson in the 9th.
  b-Singled for Keenumov in the 9th.
  c-Entered at C in the 7th.

ESSO BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Trubin ..............    15   11  41%    7    4    4    3    2    0   65    -
McKinnin (W, 0-1) ...    13    9  33%    5    5    5    3    3    0   53  1-1
Wittenov ............    11    6  22%    3    4    4    2    5    0   38  1-0
Semyonov ............     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    0    0    6  2-0

GANNIBAL STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Robertsov ...........     4    1   4%    3    3    3    0    1    0   12    -
Alenitsyn ...........    10    6  22%    5    4    4    1    3    0   40  1-0
Tienov (L, 0-2) .....    12    8  30%    4    6    6    1    3    0   49  2-2
Scheinmanov .........    13   12  44%    4    1    1    1    4    0   52  1-0

  Batting order: Gannibal Stevedores (home) batted second; Esso BK batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM YAKT. Weather: 60°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 183630.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Ronald Bezecny Lev Bardina (2B) 1–0
T 0 Joey Chappell Borys Trubin (3B) 2–0
T 1 Vadim Fomin Ronald Bezecny (3B) 3–0
T 5 Valeri Tchernenko Shawn Twedtov (3B) 4–0
T 5 Lev Bardina Karthik Sastry (3B) 5–0
T 5 Borys Trubin Valeri Tchernenko (3B) 6–0
T 7 Vadim Fomin Lev Bardina (3B) 7–0
T 8 Ozan Canıtez Ronald Bezecny (3B) 8–0
T 8 Karen Agafonov Vadim Fomin (3B) 9–0
T 10 Valeri Tchernenko Karen Agafonov (2B) 10–0
T 12 Joey Chappell Aslan Kulikova (3B) 11–0
T 12 Joey Chappell Borys Trubin (2B) 12–0
T 15 Karthik Sastry Ronald Bezecny (3B) 13–0
T 26 Ozan Canıtez Karthik Sastry (1B) 14–0
B 5 Morris Abasirin Davyd Robertsov (2B) 14–1
B 8 Hunter Lukusov Aleksei Zaytseva (3B) 14–2
B 8 Hunter Lukusov Kevon Ornstein (2B) 14–3
B 9 Davyd Robertsov Hunter Lukusov (3B) 14–4
B 11 Donni Keenumov Davyd Robertsov (2B) 14–5
B 13 Rostya Townsendov Donni Keenumov (2B) 14–6
B 13 Bruce Cissé Morris Abasirin (2B) 14–7
B 17 Davyd Robertsov Hunter Lukusov (3B) 14–8
B 20 Morris Abasirin Donni Keenumov (2B) 14–9
B 25 Andres Young Bruce Cissé (1B) 14–10
B 25 Tommy Hydrickov Andres Young (2B) 14–11
B 26 Vasili Dementieva Tommy Hydrickov (3B) 14–12
B 26 Vasili Dementieva Javain Shaffer (2B) 14–13
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Simakin Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 376' · CF 457' · RF 360' · 9' wall). Cavernous.
Crow's Nest Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Esso BK — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 11 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
376' 457' 360' Lev Bardina — single · EV 80 mph · LA +10° · 88 ft Ronald Bezecny — single · EV 104 mph · LA +10° · 150 ft Vadim Fomin — single · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Shawn Twedtov — single · EV 99 mph · LA +5° · 94 ft Karthik Sastry — single · EV 84 mph · LA +2° · 80 ft Ozan Canıtez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 75 ft Valeri Tchernenko — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 199 ft Ronald Bezecny — double · EV 98 mph · LA +36° · 365 ft Vadim Fomin — double · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 314 ft Aslan Kulikova — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 74 ft Valeri Tchernenko — single · EV 85 mph · LA +21° · 195 ft Lev Bardina — double_play · EV 78 mph · LA -6° · 74 ft Borys Trubin — single · EV 86 mph · LA +8° · 82 ft Karthik Sastry — single · EV 86 mph · LA +12° · 124 ft Ronald Bezecny — single · EV 84 mph · LA +20° · 181 ft Joey Chappell — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -23° · 66 ft Aslan Kulikova — double · EV 85 mph · LA +49° · 284 ft Valeri Tchernenko — single · EV 73 mph · LA +2° · 69 ft Borys Trubin — single · EV 98 mph · LA +9° · 117 ft Karen Agafonov — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +3° · 87 ft Joey Chappell — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA +0° · 77 ft Vadim Fomin — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +23° · 300 ft Shawn Twedtov — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA -14° · 60 ft Ozan Canıtez — double · EV 92 mph · LA +44° · 338 ft
Gannibal Stevedores — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 9 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
376' 457' 360' Andres Young — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +11° · 207 ft Tommy Hydrickov — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Tanook Hodgson — single · EV 98 mph · LA -4° · 93 ft Donni Keenumov — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -11° · 94 ft Morris Abasirin — double · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 264 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — single · EV 88 mph · LA -16° · 84 ft Kevon Ornstein — single · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 181 ft Hunter Lukusov — single · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Rostya Townsendov — single · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 223 ft Vasili Dementieva — single · EV 100 mph · LA +3° · 95 ft Tommy Hydrickov — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +39° · 392 ft Daniel Trapp — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -7° · 84 ft Donni Keenumov — double · EV 116 mph · LA +20° · 353 ft Bruce Cissé — single · EV 81 mph · LA -0° · 77 ft Morris Abasirin — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Tommy Hydrickov — ground_out · EV 119 mph · LA +4° · 113 ft Donni Keenumov — double · EV 115 mph · LA +20° · 336 ft Bruce Cissé — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -16° · 84 ft Andres Young — double · EV 119 mph · LA +22° · 388 ft Tommy Hydrickov — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 228 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Esso BK
28% deserve-to-win  ·  8.6 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +5.4 vs expected
contact: 16.2 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (+4.8 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Aslan Kulikova 85 / +49° Pull Double 0.2 → 2 +1.80
Vadim Fomin 102 / +23° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Valeri Tchernenko 92 / +18° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Vadim Fomin 92 / +33° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Ozan Canıtez 92 / +44° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Gannibal Stevedores
72% deserve-to-win  ·  13.7 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 20.2 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 20.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tommy Hydrickov 100 / +39° Center Out 2.0 → 0 -2.02
Andres Young 119 / +11° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Tommy Hydrickov 119 / +4° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.72
Bruce Cissé 81 / +0° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
Aleksei Zaytseva 88 / -16° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
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