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Cologne Glassworks & Söhne 8, Bonn Outfitters 4              2046-04-19 · #830
at Léon Park
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Bonn                    4      0    4    3    2
Cologne                 8      0    8    4    1

BONN OUTFITTERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Salo        lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hegering    1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Frias       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Raum        c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Daniels ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Huth        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Alho    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Heikkil ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Csipkay 3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Rautio  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Erdeneb nf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Ahonen  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Kroos   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Honka   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Fisk        j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Podolski    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kantonen    j  ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   4   3   1   0   0   4   3  13   0   0  0.100
  2B: Fisk (5).
  E: Heikkilä 2 (4).
  HBP: Salo (1).
  a-Batted for Raum in the 6th.
  b-Walked for Huth in the 6th.
  c-Struck out for Csipkay in the 7th.
  d-Entered at 3B in the 4th.
  e-Entered at C in the 7th.
  f-Entered at NF in the 8th.
  g-Ran for Rautio in the 5th.
  h-Batted in the 6th.
  i-Walked for Erdenebat in the 6th.

COLOGNE GLASSWORKS & SÖHNE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Öling       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Joronen     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Scrubbov    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Koponen pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lehtinen    cf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Wood        1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hughton     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   1  0.000
Kumpulainen p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
  b-Lennart ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Partane ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Korpela pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Özil    pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Markota ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rannikko    j  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Kuikka      j  ......    4   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Lampinen    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32   8   4   2   0   0   6   3  12   0   1  0.125
  2B: Lehtinen (4), Rannikko (4).
  SB: Özil (2).
  E: Scrubbov (1).
  HBP: Scrubbov (1), Lennartsson (2).
  GIDP: Lampinen (1).
  a-Ran for Scrubbov in the 5th.
  b-Was hit by a pitch in the 2nd.
  c-Grounded out in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Lennartsson in the 2nd.
  e-Ran for Partanen in the 3rd.
  f-Replaced Lampinen at SS in the 4th.

BONN OUTFITTERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Huth ................    14   11  41%    1    2    2    0    5    0   48    -
Salin ...............    10    8  30%    1    3    3    0    1    0   40  1-1
Wilke (L, 0-1) ......    13    8  30%    2    3    3    3    6    0   44  1-1

COLOGNE GLASSWORKS & SÖHNE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kumpulainen (W, 1-0)     23   19  70%    1    4    1    3   11    0   83    -
Vainio (F, 8) .......     8    8  30%    1    0    0    0    2    0   27  3-0

  Batting order: Cologne Glassworks & Söhne (home) batted first; Bonn Outfitters batted second.
  Seconds: BO o25 (4-8), CGS o25 (8-0).
  First pitch 6:00 PM GMT. Weather: 80°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 554408.
  Powerplays: Bonn Outfitters — Erdenebat NF (O6), Honka NF
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 6 Vilho Partanen Aarne Rannikko (3B) 0–1
B 8 Antero Kumpulainen Eino Kuikka (3B) 0–2
B 12 Asmir Markota Gustav Özil (3B) 0–3
B 13 Tarmo Lehtinen Eino Kuikka (2B) 0–4
B 16 Axel Hughton Leevi Koponen (3B) 0–5
B 23 Leevi Koponen Gustav Özil (3B) 0–6
B 23 Gustav Özil Leevi Koponen (3B) 0–7
B 25 Antero Kumpulainen Tarmo Lehtinen (3B) 0–8
T 12 Sidney Fisk Joel Salo (2B) 1–8
T 13 Olavi Rautio Sidney Fisk (3B) 2–8
T 17 Kaarlo Honka İsmet Podolski (3B) 3–8
T 17 Arttu Alho Marcus Kantonen (3B) 4–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Léon Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 416' · RF 295' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Scoreboard Clock
Bonn Outfitters — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
341' 416' 295' Sidney Fisk — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +4° · 91 ft Joachim Kroos — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +24° · 180 ft Marcus Kantonen — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Sidney Fisk — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 192 ft İsmet Podolski — fielders_choice · EV 53 mph · LA -8° · 50 ft Bernd Hegering — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 185 ft Joel Salo — fly_out · EV 58 mph · LA +35° · 125 ft Joachim Kroos — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 201 ft Marcus Kantonen — error · EV 70 mph · LA +10° · 65 ft Bernd Hegering — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +11° · 80 ft Jack Frias — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +28° · 201 ft İsmet Podolski — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft
Cologne Glassworks & Söhne — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
341' 416' 295' Thomas Öling — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -1° · 49 ft Jayson Scrubbov — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -10° · 49 ft Aarne Rannikko — double · EV 93 mph · LA +11° · 130 ft Eino Kuikka — error · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 64 ft Arttu Lampinen — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +37° · 230 ft Vilho Partanen — error · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 108 ft Asmir Markota — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft Ville Korpela — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Gustav Özil — single · EV 52 mph · LA -10° · 49 ft Leevi Koponen — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +7° · 49 ft Eino Kuikka — error · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 209 ft Arttu Lampinen — ground_out · EV 55 mph · LA -11° · 53 ft Tarmo Lehtinen — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Arttu Lampinen — double_play · EV 55 mph · LA +5° · 52 ft Tarmo Lehtinen — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 145 ft Antero Kumpulainen — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 166 ft Aarne Rannikko — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +5° · 73 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Bonn Outfitters
27% deserve-to-win  ·  2.2 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.8 vs expected
contact: 4.7 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-1.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sidney Fisk 92 / +17° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
İsmet Podolski 76 / +7° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Joachim Kroos 78 / +24° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Marcus Kantonen 70 / +10° Oppo Reached on Error 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Bernd Hegering 74 / +11° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Cologne Glassworks & Söhne
73% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +4.3 vs expected
contact: 6.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Aarne Rannikko 93 / +11° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Tarmo Lehtinen 92 / +13° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Eino Kuikka 92 / +19° Pull Reached on Error 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Gustav Özil 52 / -10° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.83
Eino Kuikka 76 / +8° Center Reached on Error 0.5 → 0 -0.51
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