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Brasília Stevedores 10, Pan Am Mountaineers 0                2046-04-18 · #829
at Barquisimeto Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Brasília               10   10    8    0
Barquisimeto            0    0    3    0

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cabrera     3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Geraldo     lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.333
Aránguiz    rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Trauco      cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Marx    pr ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Marchetti   p  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0  0.500
  b-Zardo   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Lawrick pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Ramírez ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Sosa    ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Guerra  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Encarna pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Polanco     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   .000
Cabrera     j  ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.667
Saprissa    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29  10   8   3   0   0  10  10   8   1   0  0.276
  2B: Geraldo (1), Sosa (1), Marx (2).
  SB: Cabrera (5).
  CS: Polanco (4), Lawrick (1).
  GIDP: Aránguiz (1).
  Squeeze: Cabrera (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Trauco in the 3rd.
  b-Walked in the 1st.
  c-Ran in the 1st.
  d-Batted in the 2nd.
  e-Doubled in the 3rd.
  f-Batted in the 3rd.
  g-Ran in the 3rd.

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bautista    3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Heredia     cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Riccobono   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Vargas      2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Feliz       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cruz        1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Tomita-Alme ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Santos      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Ward    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Melo        j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Sampaio     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   0   3   0   0   0   0   1  11   0   0  0.115
  SB: Vargas (5).
  GIDP: Tomita-Almeida (4).
  a-Entered at RF in the 7th.

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Marchetti (W, 2-0) ..    26   27 100%    3    0    0    1   11    0   89    -

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Santos (L, 0-2) .....    22   15  56%    7    6    6    5    4    0  103    -
Tanaka-Costa ........    15   11  41%    0    4    4    5    3    0   63  2-2
Reyes ...............     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    1    0    5  2-0

  Batting order: Pan Am Mountaineers (home) batted second; Brasília Stevedores batted first.
  First pitch 8:10 PM. Weather: 72°F · Wind out · Overcast · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 835546.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 8 Vinicius Trauco Junior Cabrera (3B) 1–0
T 11 Manny Geraldo Roberto Marchetti (2B) 2–0
T 11 Junior Cabrera Nat Lawrick (3B) 3–0
T 15 Jorge Aránguiz Manny Geraldo (3B) 4–0
T 15 Eugene Marx Robinson Polanco (3B) 5–0
T 15 Eugene Marx Jorge Aránguiz (1B) 6–0
T 16 Nat Lawrick Junior Cabrera (3B) 7–0
T 16 Manny Geraldo Eugene Marx (3B) 8–0
T 16 Robinson Polanco Roberto Marchetti (3B) 9–0
T 19 Albert Encarnación Nat Lawrick (3B) 10–0
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Barquisimeto Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 445' · RF 354' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Brasília Stevedores — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
347' 445' 354' Carlos Cabrera — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Manny Geraldo — fly_out · EV 64 mph · LA +51° · 162 ft Junior Cabrera — single · EV 56 mph · LA +18° · 77 ft Joaquín Saprissa — fly_out · EV 55 mph · LA +29° · 104 ft Carlos Sosa — double · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 317 ft Wilmer Guerra — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +30° · 94 ft Vinicius Trauco — single · EV 57 mph · LA -9° · 54 ft Roberto Marchetti — single · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Nat Lawrick — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 143 ft Eugene Marx — double · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 322 ft Roberto Marchetti — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -23° · 72 ft Carlos Cabrera — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +37° · 324 ft Manny Geraldo — double · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 172 ft Wilmer Guerra — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 149 ft Jorge Aránguiz — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft Roberto Marchetti — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +47° · 231 ft Nat Lawrick — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 311 ft Carlos Cabrera — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +20° · 250 ft Junior Cabrera — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Wilmer Guerra — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 197 ft Carlos Cabrera — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +33° · 218 ft
Pan Am Mountaineers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
347' 445' 354' Francisco Melo — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 92 ft Víctor Vargas — single · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Karl-Anthony Cruz — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +53° · 251 ft Jeimer Bautista — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -10° · 49 ft Yefri De los Santos — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Aymeric Riccobono — fielders_choice · EV 54 mph · LA -6° · 51 ft Francisco Melo — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +6° · 74 ft Sandy Heredia — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Víctor Vargas — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Karl-Anthony Cruz — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 119 ft Marcelo Tomita-Almeida — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Yefri De los Santos — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -8° · 54 ft Eloy Feliz — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Francisco Melo — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +39° · 235 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brasília Stevedores
97% deserve-to-win  ·  7.6 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 10.7 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-0.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Carlos Cabrera 98 / +20° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.31
Manny Geraldo 92 / +15° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Carlos Cabrera 92 / +37° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Nat Lawrick 92 / +33° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Carlos Sosa 92 / +35° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Pan Am Mountaineers
3% deserve-to-win  ·  1.4 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 4.1 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-1.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Víctor Vargas 76 / -10° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Francisco Melo 76 / +12° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
Karl-Anthony Cruz 76 / +16° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
Yefri De los Santos 52 / +10° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.45
Marcelo Tomita-Almeida 52 / +12° Center Double Play 0.4 → 0 -0.45
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