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Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers 4, Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub 3       2046-04-18 · #799
at Crescent Genia Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Zaporizhzhia            4    4    3    0
Itelka                  3    3    4    2

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goodling    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Reyes       lf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Li          rf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Graysonov   1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Bartkowicz  3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Smith       2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ferry       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
  a-Peña    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cota        j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Belcher     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Soeda       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Totals                  15   4   3   1   0   0   3   1   4   0   2  0.200
  2B: Reyes (3).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

ITELKA BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Belov       3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kukushkin   1b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Zheng       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   1  0.000
Vlasov      cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-McKinzi pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Santana     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Matsukevich ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Kovalev ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
Sorokin     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Jonesov     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Klubnik     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Pepelya ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fitzgibbon  j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Chalova     j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Difo        j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   3   4   1   0   0   2   4  10   0   2  0.167
  2B: Kukushkin (3).
  SB: Kukushkin (3).
  CS: Klubnik (1).
  E: Jonesov (2), Pepelyaeva (3).
  HBP: Chalova (1).
  a-Ran for Vlasov in the 8th.
  b-Grounded out for Matsukevich in the 6th.
  c-Struck out for Difo in the 8th.

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ferry (W, 1-2) ......    28   27 100%    4    3    3    4   10    0   97    -

ITELKA BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Klubnik (L) .........     9    6  22%    3    2    1    0    1    0   36    -
Rodina ..............     7    7  26%    0    2    1    1    3    0   34  2-2

  Batting order: Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub (home) batted first; Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM PETT. Weather: 54°F · Wind out · Overcast · Dry. seed 901087.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Sergei Kukushkin Brian Belov (1B) 0–1
B 17 Yury Kovalev Sergei Kukushkin (3B) 0–2
B 24 Sergei Kukushkin Kamron McKinzin (3B) 0–3
T 3 Kareem Bartkowicz Paul Li (2B) 1–3
T 6 Jam Smith Harry Graysonov (3B) 2–3
T 6 Miles Ferry Kareem Bartkowicz (3B) 3–3
T 13 Kareem Bartkowicz Jam Smith (3B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Crescent Genia Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 330' · CF 433' · RF 307' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Flag Pole in Play Knothole Gates
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
330' 433' 307' Manny Reyes — double · EV 99 mph · LA +22° · 271 ft Paul Li — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 178 ft Harry Graysonov — fielders_choice · EV 70 mph · LA -25° · 67 ft Owen Goodling — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +23° · 283 ft Kareem Bartkowicz — single · EV 71 mph · LA +12° · 84 ft Alex Belcher — line_out · EV 60 mph · LA +14° · 68 ft Jam Smith — error · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 127 ft Alex Belcher — line_out · EV 102 mph · LA +25° · 323 ft Owen Goodling — error · EV 83 mph · LA +0° · 79 ft
Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
330' 433' 307' Semyon Chalova — single · EV 80 mph · LA -8° · 76 ft Brian Belov — fielders_choice · EV 84 mph · LA -24° · 80 ft Sergei Kukushkin — double · EV 102 mph · LA +14° · 198 ft Victor Santana — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -1° · 76 ft Kamron McKinzin — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -1° · 86 ft Brian Belov — single · EV 89 mph · LA +21° · 216 ft Geraldo Difo — line_out · EV 72 mph · LA +11° · 77 ft Gleb Vlasov — single · EV 83 mph · LA +20° · 179 ft Geraldo Difo — ground_out · EV 103 mph · LA -2° · 97 ft Sergei Kukushkin — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -10° · 82 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers
53% deserve-to-win  ·  3.3 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 6.7 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alex Belcher 102 / +25° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Owen Goodling 99 / +23° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.31
Jam Smith 92 / +11° Center Reached on Error 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Paul Li 76 / +25° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.78
Manny Reyes 99 / +22° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.69
Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub
47% deserve-to-win  ·  3.1 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.1 vs expected
contact: 5.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sergei Kukushkin 102 / +14° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Semyon Chalova 80 / -8° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Geraldo Difo 103 / -2° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Geraldo Difo 72 / +11° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Kamron McKinzin 91 / -1° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.45
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