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Zagreb Miners 7, Prague Boars 6                              2046-04-18 · #798
at Morrison Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Zagreb                  7    7    5    0
Prague                  6    6    7    0

ZAGREB MINERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Khelifi     2b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fitzgerald  cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Diouf       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sobhi       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
Larentzakis lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Earls       1b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mazza       3b ......    1   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Hakimi      c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  a-Hartman c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Burley      j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   7   7   5   4   1   0   7   2   1   0   1  0.714
  2B: Khelifi (1), Fitzgerald (5), Larentzakis (8), Burley (9).
  3B: Mazza (1).
  HBP: Hakimi (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

PRAGUE BOARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Barišić     rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Gülich      ss ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Kanouté     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Féliz       2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Buffon  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Longo       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Mejia   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Moukoko     lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Silva   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Rami        p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Fagioli ph ......    3   0   2   2   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
  e-Charist ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
  f-Führich ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Hines   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Jenyat      j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   1   0  0.500
Bella-Kotch j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  26   6   7   3   0   0   6   7   8   1   0  0.269
  2B: Fagioli 2 (4), Charisteas (2).
  GIDP: Mejia (2).
  a-Ran for Féliz in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Longo in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Moukoko in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 1st.
  e-Batted in the 2nd.
  f-Replaced Jenyat at SS in the 6th.
  g-Struck out for Bella-Kotchap in the 7th.

ZAGREB MINERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Sobhi (W, 1-0) ......    25   19  70%    6    6    6    6    4    0  104    -
Žorić ...............     7    8  30%    1    0    0    1    4    0   22  1-0

PRAGUE BOARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rami (L, 1-1) .......     5    1   4%    2    3    3    2    1    0   15    -
Boudaoui ............     4    1   4%    2    2    2    0    0    0    8  1-1
Bobadilla ...........     1    1   4%    1    2    2    0    0    0    1  2-2

  Batting order: Prague Boars (home) batted first; Zagreb Miners batted second.
  First pitch 7:15 PM CET. Weather: 85°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 556858.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 4 Otto Charisteas Niclas Bella-Kotchap (3B) 0–1
B 4 Otto Charisteas Benedetto Buffon (1B) 0–2
B 5 Julien Rami Peter Gülich (3B) 0–3
B 6 Wajdi Jenyat Otto Charisteas (3B) 0–4
B 7 Wajdi Jenyat Eljero Silva (3B) 0–5
B 19 Carlo Fagioli Wajdi Jenyat (1B) 0–6
T 0 Toni Fitzgerald Panagiotis Larentzakis (1B) 1–6
T 1 Geoff Burley Toni Fitzgerald (2B) 2–6
T 1 Geoff Burley Peter Earls (1B) 3–6
T 2 Ilyes Khelifi Geoff Burley (2B) 4–6
T 2 Gianluca Mazza Ilyes Khelifi (2B) 5–6
T 2 Magdy Sobhi Gianluca Mazza (3B) 6–6
T 3 Panagiotis Larentzakis Rachid Hakimi (2B) 7–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Morrison Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 397' · CF 469' · RF 364' · 10' wall). Cavernous.
Zagreb Miners — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 0 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
397' 469' 364' Toni Fitzgerald — double · EV 117 mph · LA +32° · 480 ft Geoff Burley — double · EV 112 mph · LA +45° · 480 ft André Hartmann — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +14° · 137 ft Ilyes Khelifi — double · EV 96 mph · LA +15° · 183 ft Gianluca Mazza — triple · EV 106 mph · LA +22° · 315 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — double · EV 115 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft
Prague Boars — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
397' 469' 364' Ivica Barišić — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 67 ft Christopher Kanouté — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +41° · 284 ft Néstor Féliz — single · EV 82 mph · LA +24° · 200 ft Otto Charisteas — double · EV 98 mph · LA +32° · 343 ft Julien Rami — fly_out · EV 72 mph · LA +29° · 177 ft Gustav Führich — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +31° · 245 ft Keldric Mejia — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Ivica Barišić — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +11° · 145 ft Wajdi Jenyat — single · EV 91 mph · LA +22° · 231 ft Carlo Fagioli — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 230 ft Otto Charisteas — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +44° · 231 ft Wajdi Jenyat — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +30° · 320 ft Ivica Barišić — single · EV 85 mph · LA +21° · 191 ft Carlo Fagioli — double · EV 106 mph · LA +42° · 446 ft Niclas Bella-Kotchap — single · EV 76 mph · LA -19° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Zagreb Miners
40% deserve-to-win  ·  7.7 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 14.7 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-3.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Toni Fitzgerald 117 / +32° Center Double 3.8 → 2 -1.81
Panagiotis Larentzakis 115 / +38° Center Double 3.8 → 2 -1.81
Geoff Burley 112 / +45° Center Double 3.7 → 2 -1.75
Gianluca Mazza 106 / +22° Pull Triple 1.6 → 3 +1.42
Ilyes Khelifi 96 / +15° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Prague Boars
60% deserve-to-win  ·  9.5 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -3.5 vs expected
contact: 13.3 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-3.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Carlo Fagioli 106 / +42° Center Double 3.6 → 2 -1.60
Wajdi Jenyat 96 / +30° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Ivica Barišić 99 / +11° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Otto Charisteas 98 / +32° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
Niclas Bella-Kotchap 76 / -19° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
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