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Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers 14, Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub 11     2046-04-17 · #781
at Crescent Genia Park
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Zaporizhzhia           14      -   14   10    1
Itelka                 11      0   11   12    0

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goodling    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Reyes       lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Peña        3b ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.667
Graysonov   1b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Bartkowicz  2b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Aulakh      cf ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.500
Quiñones    rf ......    2   3   2   0   0   0   3   2   0   0   0  1.000
Suharto     p  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Macdona ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Belcher     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cota        j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   3   0   1   1   0  0.500
Soeda       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31  14  10   3   0   0  12  11  15   1   0  0.323
  2B: Macdonald (3), Reyes (2), Bartkowicz (4).
  E: Cota (3).
  HBP: Belcher (1).
  GIDP: Aulakh (1).
  a-Entered at SS in the 7th.

ITELKA BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kovalev     lf ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.667
Belov       3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Khachanov   c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Zheng       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Vlasov      cf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Santana     ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.500
Matsukevich 1b ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Jonesov     2b ......    3   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Davletshin  p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Fitzgibbon  j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.000
Chalova     j  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.667
Difo        j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  32  11  12   4   1   0  11   5   9   0   1  0.375
  2B: Kovalev (4), Chalova (3), Difo (2), Matsukevich (1).
  3B: Jonesov (1).
  SB: Belov (3).
  HBP: Difo (2), Vlasov (1).


ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Suharto .............    14   10  37%    6    5    5    1    3    0   48    -
Meagher .............    16   10  37%    6    5    5    1    4    0   50    -
Fields (W) ..........     9    7  26%    0    1    1    3    2    0   39  1-1

ITELKA BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Davletshin (L, 0-1) .    14    8  30%    5    4    4    1    7    0   55    -
Fomin ...............     5    3  11%    1    3    3    1    3    0   24  2-2
Smolina .............     4    2   7%    1    2    2    2    1    0   17  2-2
Legrand .............     6    3  11%    2    2    2    3    1    0   19  2-0
Cummings-Coleman ....     6    5  19%    0    2    2    2    1    0   21  3-1
Iakovlev ............     6    5  19%    0    1    1    2    2    0   23  3-1

  Batting order: Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub (home) batted first; Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers batted second.
  Seconds: ZB o26 (14-11), IBK o26 (11-0).
  First pitch 5:45 PM PETT. Weather: 49°F · Wind out · Overcast · Humid. seed 722625.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Brian Belov Semyon Chalova (2B) 0–1
B 5 Victor Santana Brian Belov (3B) 0–2
B 6 Evgenii Matsukevich Gleb Vlasov (2B) 0–3
B 6 Chase Jonesov Evgenii Matsukevich (1B) 0–4
B 8 Rick Fitzgibbon Chase Jonesov (3B) 0–5
B 17 Yury Kovalev Victor Santana (3B) 0–6
B 17 Yury Kovalev Evgenii Matsukevich (2B) 0–7
B 18 Geraldo Difo Grigori Davletshin (3B) 0–8
B 18 Geraldo Difo Yury Kovalev (2B) 0–9
B 19 Alan Khachanov Geraldo Difo (3B) 0–10
B 24 Rick Fitzgibbon Alan Khachanov (3B) 0–11
T 0 Manny Reyes Jakob Macdonald (2B) 1–11
T 5 Tony Quiñones Manny Reyes (3B) 2–11
T 5 Jakob Macdonald Vikram Aulakh (3B) 3–11
T 8 Tony Peña Tony Quiñones (3B) 4–11
T 11 Tony Quiñones Asnawi Suharto (3B) 5–11
T 11 Tony Quiñones Tony Peña (2B) 6–11
T 11 Asnawi Suharto Vikram Aulakh (3B) 7–11
T 11 Gerardo Cota Tony Quiñones (3B) 8–11
T 11 Gerardo Cota Asnawi Suharto (2B) 9–11
T 15 Kareem Bartkowicz Tony Peña (2B) 10–11
T 16 Vikram Aulakh Harry Graysonov (3B) 11–11
T 19 Gerardo Cota Kareem Bartkowicz (3B) 12–11
T 21 Alex Belcher Tony Quiñones (3B) 13–11
T 21 Tony Peña Gerardo Cota (3B) 14–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Crescent Genia Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 330' · CF 433' · RF 307' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Flag Pole in Play Knothole Gates
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
330' 433' 307' Jakob Macdonald — double · EV 103 mph · LA +38° · 414 ft Manny Reyes — double · EV 100 mph · LA +42° · 401 ft Vikram Aulakh — single · EV 81 mph · LA +9° · 79 ft Tony Quiñones — single · EV 78 mph · LA +22° · 168 ft Gerardo Cota — single · EV 74 mph · LA +25° · 168 ft Manny Reyes — line_out · EV 75 mph · LA +16° · 118 ft Tony Peña — single · EV 96 mph · LA +14° · 175 ft Tony Quiñones — single · EV 81 mph · LA +20° · 166 ft Gerardo Cota — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA -1° · 76 ft Vikram Aulakh — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA -10° · 55 ft Manny Reyes — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA -13° · 78 ft Tony Peña — single · EV 84 mph · LA +20° · 177 ft Kareem Bartkowicz — double · EV 101 mph · LA +30° · 355 ft Jakob Macdonald — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 232 ft
Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 7 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
330' 433' 307' Yury Kovalev — single · EV 92 mph · LA -0° · 87 ft Semyon Chalova — single · EV 91 mph · LA -0° · 86 ft Brian Belov — single · EV 85 mph · LA +17° · 165 ft Alan Khachanov — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -1° · 86 ft Gleb Vlasov — single · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 82 ft Evgenii Matsukevich — single · EV 94 mph · LA +13° · 151 ft Chase Jonesov — triple · EV 107 mph · LA +13° · 202 ft Rick Fitzgibbon — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +2° · 78 ft Victor Santana — single · EV 87 mph · LA +1° · 83 ft Semyon Chalova — double · EV 105 mph · LA +22° · 312 ft Alan Khachanov — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +39° · 262 ft Zhiyuan Zheng — ground_out · EV 104 mph · LA +1° · 99 ft Evgenii Matsukevich — double · EV 98 mph · LA +28° · 314 ft Geraldo Difo — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 195 ft Victor Santana — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +4° · 80 ft Yury Kovalev — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 147 ft Brian Belov — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +11° · 111 ft Alan Khachanov — single · EV 94 mph · LA +16° · 188 ft Zhiyuan Zheng — error · EV 77 mph · LA -5° · 73 ft Evgenii Matsukevich — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +10° · 94 ft Rick Fitzgibbon — ground_out · EV 103 mph · LA -15° · 98 ft Geraldo Difo — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers
46% deserve-to-win  ·  10.9 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +3.1 vs expected
contact: 12.3 est bases + 12 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-0.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jakob Macdonald 92 / +21° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Gerardo Cota 74 / +25° Oppo Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.78
Kareem Bartkowicz 101 / +30° Oppo Double 1.4 → 2 +0.62
Manny Reyes 75 / +16° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Manny Reyes 100 / +42° Center Double 2.5 → 2 -0.49
Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub
54% deserve-to-win  ·  11.8 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -0.8 vs expected
contact: 15.4 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 18.0 (+2.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Chase Jonesov 107 / +13° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.59
Yury Kovalev 92 / +13° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Evgenii Matsukevich 98 / +28° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
Geraldo Difo 100 / +15° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Brian Belov 85 / +11° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
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