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Thessaloniki Police 2, Provideniya-Reid BK 1                 2046-04-17 · #773
at Iron Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Provideniya-Reid        1    1    2    0
Thessaloniki            2    2    2    0

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Poole       2b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Taylor      ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Long        rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tymoshenko  1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rudnev      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Korolyov    lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Anin        3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
King        c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hallov      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Brunnbe ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Stepanov    j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  25   1   2   1   0   0   1   3   9   0   0  0.080
  2B: Poole (4).
  CS: Long (1).
  HBP: Rudnev (1).
  GIDP: King (4).
  a-Grounded out for Hallov in the 9th.

THESSALONIKI POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bautista    cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Levering    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Barron      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Langenfeld  lf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Flanaga c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Alarcón c  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   5   2   2   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.400
  2B: Alarcón (5).
  SB: Alarcón (3).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.
  b-Entered at C in the 8th.

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hallov (L, 1-3) .....     6    3  11%    2    2    2    1    1    0   22    -

THESSALONIKI POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Marston (W, 3-2) ....    29   27 100%    2    1    1    3    9    0  103    -

  Batting order: Thessaloniki Police (home) batted second; Provideniya-Reid BK batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 68°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 90344.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 10 Kostiantyn Tymoshenko Chase Poole (2B) 1–0
B 3 Leonys Alarcón Anthony Langenfeld (1B) 1–1
B 3 Ángel Bautista Leonys Alarcón (3B) 1–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Iron Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 370' · CF 477' · RF 365' · 11' wall). Cavernous.
Crow's Nest Death Valley The Crater
Provideniya-Reid BK — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
370' 477' 365' Chase Poole — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +16° · 191 ft Dexter Taylor — fly_out · EV 109 mph · LA +29° · 400 ft Piao Long — error · EV 86 mph · LA +18° · 176 ft Kostiantyn Tymoshenko — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +16° · 165 ft Marc Brunnbergov — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +38° · 398 ft Chase Poole — double · EV 106 mph · LA +21° · 294 ft Kostiantyn Tymoshenko — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Diehl Anin — single · EV 70 mph · LA -17° · 67 ft Evan King — double_play · EV 93 mph · LA +10° · 122 ft Pat Hallov — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +22° · 209 ft Chase Poole — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +30° · 292 ft Piao Long — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -9° · 80 ft
Thessaloniki Police — Batted Balls
4 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
370' 477' 365' Jacob Levering — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 285 ft Kevin Barron — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +52° · 480 ft Leonys Alarcón — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 292 ft Ángel Bautista — single · EV 112 mph · LA +22° · 345 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Provideniya-Reid BK
75% deserve-to-win  ·  6.2 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -5.2 vs expected
contact: 11.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-8.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dexter Taylor 109 / +29° Center Out 2.4 → 0 -2.37
Marc Brunnbergov 101 / +38° Center Out 2.0 → 0 -2.02
Chase Poole 94 / +16° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Kostiantyn Tymoshenko 89 / +16° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Evan King 93 / +10° Oppo Double Play 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Thessaloniki Police
25% deserve-to-win  ·  3.5 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -1.5 vs expected
contact: 6.4 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-3.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kevin Barron 119 / +52° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.59
Jacob Levering 100 / +23° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Ángel Bautista 112 / +22° Pull Single 1.7 → 1 -0.68
Leonys Alarcón 100 / +23° Oppo Double 1.6 → 2 +0.44
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