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Verkhnegrad Imperials 13, Manpo Yagu Club 12                 2046-04-17 · #772
at Coffin Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Manpo                  12   12   18    0
Verkhnegrad            13   13   10    0

MANPO YAGU CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sambissa    lf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Bedrane     ss ......    4   3   3   1   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.750
Murenga     3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Demehin pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Merga       c  ......    4   1   2   0   0   1   3   0   2   1   0  0.500
Taarabt     rf ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Sherif  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Dias        cf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Maina       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ndlovu      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Jilcha  ph ......    4   1   3   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.750
  d-Atal    ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Kramer      j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Cunha       j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  35  12  18   5   0   2  11   5   8   1   0  0.514
  2B: Bedrane (9), Jilcha (8), Taarabt (7), Dias (4), Cunha (7).
  HR: Bedrane (4), off Polanco; Merga (5), off Petrova.
  SB: Dias (4), Atal (2).
  CS: Demehin (1), Jilcha (3).
  HBP: Maina (3).
  a-Ran for Murenga in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Taarabt in the 4th.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Trubin      cf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Medvedev    rf ......    2   3   1   0   0   1   4   1   1   0   0  0.500
Fomina-Klot ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Granat      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Buchina     1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Iakovlev    lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Tejada      3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Vasylenko   p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  a-Chernov ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Asano   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Yeom    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Bobrov  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tsybysheva  j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Fokina      j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Savinykh    j  ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Totals                  26  13  10   3   0   3  12   5   5   0   0  0.385
  2B: Trubin (5), Chernov (7), Iakovlev (3).
  HR: Medvedev (2), off Ndlovu; Fomina-Klotz (1), off Ndlovu; Savinykh (1), off Sinisterra.
  SB: Savinykh (3), Iakovlev (1).
  HBP: Vasylenko (1).
  a-Doubled for Vasylenko in the 6th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.
  c-Walked for Savinykh in the 6th.
  d-Grounded out in the 7th.

MANPO YAGU CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ndlovu (L, 1-2) .....    15   11  41%    3    5    5    1    3    2   60    -
Sinisterra ..........     5    2   7%    3    4    2    1    0    1   17  1-1
Gunn ................     5    2   7%    4    3    3    0    0    0   18  1-1
Oudsemin ............     7    5  19%    0    1    1    3    2    0   20  1-0

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Vasylenko ...........     8    6  22%    5    1    1    0    0    0   31    -
Polanco .............    13    5  19%    8    8    7    2    4    1   58  1-1
Brown-Murray (W, 1-0)     15   13  48%    3    1    1    2    4    0   59  1-0
Petrova .............     5    3  11%    2    2    2    1    0    1   16  2-1

  Batting order: Verkhnegrad Imperials (home) batted second; Manpo Yagu Club batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM YAKT. Weather: 72°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 523905.
  Walk-Back runs: off Sinisterra 2, off Polanco 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Chidi Dias Youssef Taarabt (2B) 1–0
T 9 Chidi Dias Chidi Dias (3B) 2–0
T 9 Bikila Jilcha Chidi Dias (2B) 3–0
T 9 Abel Merga Simão Kramer (3B) 4–0
T 10 Fernandy Cunha Karim Sherif (3B) 5–0
T 10 Fernandy Cunha Bikila Jilcha (2B) 6–0
T 11 Massinissa Bedrane Namori Demehin (1B) 7–0
T 11 Massinissa Bedrane Massinissa Bedrane (HR) 8–0
T 11 Senou Sambissa Massinissa Bedrane (3B) 9–0
T 23 Simão Kramer Massinissa Bedrane (3B) 10–0
T 26 Abel Merga Simão Kramer (3B) 11–0
T 26 Abel Merga Abel Merga (HR) 12–0
B 1 Andrey Fomina-Klotz Andrey Fomina-Klotz (HR) 12–1
B 11 Daniil Medvedev Philipp Savinykh (3B) 12–2
B 11 Daniil Medvedev Konstantin Iakovlev (2B) 12–3
B 11 Daniil Medvedev Taras Vasylenko (1B) 12–4
B 11 Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev (HR) 12–5
B 11 Lev Fokina Daniil Medvedev (3B) 12–6
B 12 Philipp Savinykh Lev Fokina (1B) 12–7
B 12 Philipp Savinykh Philipp Savinykh (HR) 12–8
B 13 Alan Buchina Philipp Savinykh (3B) 12–9
B 13 Konstantin Iakovlev Alan Buchina (1B) 12–10
B 15 Marat Chernov Hanley Tejada (2B) 12–11
B 15 Heorhiy Trubin Marat Chernov (2B) 12–12
B 20 Daler Gureva Daniil Medvedev (3B) 12–13
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Coffin Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 301' · CF 355' · RF 281' · 9' wall). The Bandbox.
Ivy Wall Hand-Operated Scoreboard The Spite Fence
Manpo Yagu Club — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 10 1B · 5 XBH · 2 HR
301' 355' 281' Senou Sambissa — single · EV 110 mph · LA +25° · 369 ft Massinissa Bedrane — single · EV 108 mph · LA +7° · 103 ft Tonderai Murenga — single · EV 96 mph · LA +25° · 279 ft Abel Merga — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +29° · 320 ft Youssef Taarabt — double · EV 102 mph · LA +22° · 291 ft Chidi Dias — double · EV 103 mph · LA +20° · 268 ft Fernandy Cunha — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 230 ft Namori Demehin — single · EV 77 mph · LA +9° · 76 ft Simão Kramer — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +37° · 281 ft Youssef Taarabt — single · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 118 ft Bikila Jilcha — single · EV 100 mph · LA +38° · 387 ft Abel Merga — error · EV 75 mph · LA -10° · 71 ft Massinissa Bedrane — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Senou Sambissa — infield_single · EV 82 mph · LA +18° · 158 ft Aymen Atal — single · EV 88 mph · LA +7° · 84 ft Chidi Dias — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +46° · 294 ft Simão Kramer — single · EV 82 mph · LA +11° · 101 ft Fernandy Cunha — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +10° · 83 ft Karim Sherif — fielders_choice · EV 75 mph · LA +1° · 71 ft Bikila Jilcha — double · EV 98 mph · LA +12° · 158 ft Massinissa Bedrane — double · EV 102 mph · LA +20° · 261 ft Senou Sambissa — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +32° · 282 ft Bikila Jilcha — infield_single · EV 62 mph · LA +16° · 84 ft Abel Merga — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +49° · 429 ft Massinissa Bedrane — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +35° · 268 ft
Verkhnegrad Imperials — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 3 HR
301' 355' 281' Andrey Fomina-Klotz — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +33° · 480 ft Marat Tsybysheva — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +11° · 214 ft Lev Fokina — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Philipp Savinykh — single · EV 94 mph · LA +7° · 90 ft Richard Granat — line_out · EV 119 mph · LA +24° · 417 ft Hanley Tejada — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +28° · 255 ft Konstantin Iakovlev — double · EV 113 mph · LA +15° · 260 ft Marat Chernov — double · EV 98 mph · LA +20° · 249 ft Rifat Bobrov — fielders_choice · EV 114 mph · LA +8° · 151 ft Daniil Medvedev — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +41° · 442 ft Lev Fokina — single · EV 99 mph · LA +7° · 94 ft Philipp Savinykh — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 455 ft Alan Buchina — single · EV 100 mph · LA -8° · 95 ft Masato Asano — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +16° · 209 ft Hanley Tejada — single · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Heorhiy Trubin — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 282 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Manpo Yagu Club
50% deserve-to-win  ·  14.9 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  -2.9 vs expected
contact: 27.4 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 29.0 (+1.6 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Abel Merga 104 / +49° Center Home Run 1.3 → 4 +2.74
Senou Sambissa 110 / +25° Center Single 2.4 → 1 -1.37
Abel Merga 97 / +29° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Bikila Jilcha 100 / +38° Center Single 2.0 → 1 -1.02
Bikila Jilcha 98 / +12° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Verkhnegrad Imperials
50% deserve-to-win  ·  14.9 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  -1.9 vs expected
contact: 24.3 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 22.0 (-2.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Richard Granat 119 / +24° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.72
Marat Tsybysheva 119 / +11° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Rifat Bobrov 114 / +8° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Masato Asano 99 / +16° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.31
Philipp Savinykh 119 / +27° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +1.03
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