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Zagreb Miners 21, Valencia Pacific Print Shop 9             2046-04-29 · #1289
at The Pavilion
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                        1    R    H    E
Valencia                9    9    8    1
Zagreb                 21   21   18    1

VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Romano      lf ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Williams    rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Bagüí       1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0  0.333
O'Donnell   2b ......    3   2   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sivka       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Simon       cf ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Benedetti   ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Greinacher  p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  a-Evans   c  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lehmann     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Baldasso    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Giuliani    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Totals                  32   9   8   2   0   0   6   5  12   1   0  0.250
  2B: Romano (16), O'Donnell (2).
  E: Giuliani (3).
  HBP: Romano (6).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

ZAGREB MINERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Larentzakis lf ......    4   4   3   0   1   2   4   0   1   0   0  0.750
Fitzgerald  cf ......    4   2   4   0   0   0   3   0   0   1   0  1.000
Ambri       ss ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Mazza       3b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
Diouf       rf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Lovren      1b ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Fagioli     2b ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.667
Hakimi      c  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Jelavić     p  ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Schulz      j  ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Burley      j  ......    4   2   3   1   0   0   5   0   0   0   0  0.750
Totals                  37  21  18   8   1   2  20   4   5   1   0  0.486
  2B: Diouf (7), Schulz 2 (7), Fagioli (3), Burley (16), Hakimi (1), Jelavić 2 (2).
  3B: Larentzakis (5).
  HR: Larentzakis 2 (9), off Greinacher, Fall.
  SB: Hakimi (2).
  E: Burley (2).
  HBP: Larentzakis (2), Fitzgerald (3), Ambri 2 (3).


VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Greinacher ..........     4    1   4%    2    2    1    1    0    1   16    -
Ševčík (L, 0-3) .....     4    0   0%    3    5    5    1    0    0    8  2-2
Fall ................     7    2   7%    3    5    5    0    1    1   26  1-1
Boudaoui ............    17   15  56%    4    3    3    2    3    0   62  2-0
Žorić ...............    10    5  19%    4    5    1    0    1    0   38  1-0
Benedetti ...........     4    4  15%    2    1    1    0    1    0   18  1-0

ZAGREB MINERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jelavić (W, 1-1) ....    18   17  63%    1    1    1    1    6    0   66    -
Saiss ...............    15    8  30%    6    4    4    2    4    0   60    -
Benatia .............     5    2   7%    1    4    4    2    2    0   21  3-3

  Batting order: Zagreb Miners (home) batted first; Valencia Pacific Print Shop batted second.
  First pitch 5:00 PM. Weather: 76°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 81083.
  Walk-Back runs: off Greinacher 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Panagiotis Larentzakis Panagiotis Larentzakis (HR) 0–1
B 0 Toni Fitzgerald Panagiotis Larentzakis (3B) 0–2
B 1 Vincenzo Diouf Toni Fitzgerald (2B) 0–3
B 1 Vincenzo Diouf Hélio Ambri (1B) 0–4
B 1 Danilo Schulz Vincenzo Diouf (2B) 0–5
B 1 Geoff Burley Mateo Lovren (3B) 0–6
B 1 Geoff Burley Danilo Schulz (2B) 0–7
B 1 Rachid Hakimi Geoff Burley (3B) 0–8
B 2 Dejan Jelavić Michele Fagioli (3B) 0–9
B 2 Panagiotis Larentzakis Dejan Jelavić (2B) 0–10
B 2 Panagiotis Larentzakis Panagiotis Larentzakis (HR) 0–11
B 2 Gianluca Mazza Panagiotis Larentzakis (3B) 0–12
B 10 Toni Fitzgerald Michele Fagioli (3B) 0–13
B 16 Danilo Schulz Mateo Lovren (1B) 0–14
B 18 Geoff Burley Danilo Schulz (2B) 0–15
B 19 Panagiotis Larentzakis Dejan Jelavić (1B) 0–16
B 20 Gianluca Mazza Toni Fitzgerald (2B) 0–17
B 21 Geoff Burley Hélio Ambri (2B) 0–18
B 21 Geoff Burley Gianluca Mazza (1B) 0–19
B 23 Michele Fagioli Geoff Burley (2B) 0–20
B 26 Toni Fitzgerald Rachid Hakimi (3B) 0–21
T 4 Cathal O'Donnell Michele Romano (3B) 1–21
T 18 David Sivka Cathal O'Donnell (3B) 2–21
T 21 Riccardo Giuliani Šime Simon (3B) 3–21
T 22 Micah Williams Michele Romano (3B) 4–21
T 24 Cathal O'Donnell Riccardo Giuliani (3B) 5–21
T 25 Šime Simon Micah Williams (3B) 6–21
T 25 Emerson Benedetti Cathal O'Donnell (3B) 7–21
T 26 Michele Romano Tomás Evans (3B) 8–21
T 26 Michele Romano Šime Simon (2B) 9–21
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Pavilion's actual outfield dimensions (LF 396' · CF 403' · RF 258' · 50' wall). Coffin Corner.
Trolley Shed
Valencia Pacific Print Shop — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
396' 403' 258' Wall 50' Matteo Baldasso — line_out · EV 68 mph · LA +22° · 131 ft Timo Lehmann — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Cathal O'Donnell — single · EV 78 mph · LA +13° · 110 ft David Sivka — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -24° · 72 ft Emerson Benedetti — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +6° · 74 ft Michele Romano — ground_out · EV 101 mph · LA +9° · 124 ft Micah Williams — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -4° · 55 ft Cathal O'Donnell — double · EV 97 mph · LA +17° · 214 ft Tomás Evans — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft David Sivka — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 117 ft Michele Romano — single · EV 79 mph · LA +18° · 149 ft Riccardo Giuliani — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Matteo Baldasso — single · EV 81 mph · LA +11° · 98 ft Lisandro Bagüí — single · EV 85 mph · LA +11° · 110 ft Cathal O'Donnell — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Tomás Evans — error · EV 68 mph · LA -17° · 64 ft Michele Romano — double · EV 98 mph · LA +33° · 350 ft Lisandro Bagüí — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 270 ft
Zagreb Miners — Batted Balls
27 BIP· 7 1B · 9 XBH · 2 HR
396' 403' 258' Wall 50' Panagiotis Larentzakis — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +36° · 463 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 177 ft Vincenzo Diouf — double · EV 103 mph · LA +41° · 419 ft Danilo Schulz — double · EV 109 mph · LA +25° · 366 ft Geoff Burley — single · EV 101 mph · LA +11° · 154 ft Michele Fagioli — double · EV 102 mph · LA +22° · 288 ft Dejan Jelavić — double · EV 101 mph · LA +18° · 241 ft Hélio Ambri — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -5° · 78 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Gianluca Mazza — fielders_choice · EV 84 mph · LA -7° · 80 ft Danilo Schulz — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 303 ft Geoff Burley — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -2° · 71 ft Dejan Jelavić — double · EV 104 mph · LA +15° · 215 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 82 mph · LA +13° · 115 ft Toni Fitzgerald — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +18° · 233 ft Gianluca Mazza — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -6° · 68 ft Vincenzo Diouf — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA +6° · 69 ft Danilo Schulz — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 259 ft Geoff Burley — single · EV 118 mph · LA +21° · 367 ft Dejan Jelavić — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 84 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 289 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 96 mph · LA +7° · 91 ft Michele Fagioli — single · EV 84 mph · LA -0° · 79 ft Gianluca Mazza — error · EV 94 mph · LA -3° · 89 ft Geoff Burley — double · EV 100 mph · LA +44° · 400 ft Rachid Hakimi — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 188 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 164 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Valencia Pacific Print Shop
9% deserve-to-win  ·  6.8 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +2.2 vs expected
contact: 10.4 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-0.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Michele Romano 101 / +9° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Lisandro Bagüí 92 / +26° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Riccardo Giuliani 76 / +2° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Cathal O'Donnell 97 / +17° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Matteo Baldasso 68 / +22° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Zagreb Miners
91% deserve-to-win  ·  21.0 expected runs
actual 21 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 34.4 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 34.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Panagiotis Larentzakis 100 / +23° Oppo Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.46
Toni Fitzgerald 98 / +18° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Danilo Schulz 92 / +32° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Rachid Hakimi 92 / +17° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Geoff Burley 118 / +21° Oppo Single 1.7 → 1 -0.74
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