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Curepipe Cab Co. 8, Aleksandrovsk Hawks 4                   2046-04-29 · #1288
at Álvarez Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Curepipe                8    8   11    0
Aleksandrovsk           4    4    4    0

CUREPIPE CAB CO.
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Lin         lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Date    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Zakhchin    rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Chou    pr ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Palepalin   3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Keita       c  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Mandell     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Grewal  ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Cele        2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Ioanin  2b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Morisak ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Dwivedi ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Moriwak ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  h-Kapoor  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Asano   ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  j-Liao    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  k-Yeo     ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  l-Naito   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  m-Garcia  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  n-Hyok    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Roy         j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.500
Schneider-P j  ......    3   2   3   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Motovilov   j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   8  11   6   0   0   7   6  11   0   0  0.367
  2B: Keita (2), Roy (13), Schneider-Pereira 2 (14), Chou (5), Ioanin (1).
  CS: Chou (3).
  HBP: Yeo (1).
  GIDP: Palepalin (1).
  a-Ran for Lin in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Zakhchin in the 4th.
  c-Replaced Mandell at SS in the 5th.
  d-Replaced Cele at 2B in the 7th.
  e-Grounded out in the 1st.
  f-Walked in the 4th.
  g-Walked in the 4th.
  h-Ran for Dwivedi in the 4th.
  i-Batted for Morisaki in the 4th.
  j-Ran for Grewal in the 6th.
  k-Was hit by a pitch for Kapoor in the 6th.
  l-Batted in the 6th.
  m-Struck out for Date in the 7th.
  n-Ran in the 7th.

ALEKSANDROVSK HAWKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Zotov       c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Carnell     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Kasatki ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Rudnev      3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
McAteerov   p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Pogrebn cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Strelko 3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Nkosi   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Cao     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Mondevi c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Tatís   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Madrigal    j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Kravchuk    j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  25   4   4   1   0   0   2   6   5   0   0  0.160
  2B: Kravchuk (9).
  SB: Kravchuk (2), Tatís (8).
  CS: Pogrebnyak (3), Strelkov (3).
  HBP: Kravchuk (1).
  a-Grounded out for Carnell in the 7th.
  b-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at SS in the 4th.
  f-Entered at C in the 7th.
  g-Ran for Cao in the 5th.

CUREPIPE CAB CO. PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Pung (W, 3-1) .......    24   20  74%    4    3    3    5    3    0   92    -
Solwoldov (F, 16) ...     7    7  26%    0    1    1    1    2    0   17  2-1

ALEKSANDROVSK HAWKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
McAteerov ...........    14   10  37%    4    2    2    4    2    0   51    -
Pepelyaeva (L, 0-1) .    14   10  37%    4    5    5    2    5    0   57  2-1
Eiselov .............     9    7  26%    3    1    1    0    4    0   24  1-1

  Batting order: Aleksandrovsk Hawks (home) batted second; Curepipe Cab Co. batted first.
  First pitch 5:00 PM VLAT. Weather: 50°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 513882.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 10 Sheng-feng Lin Renato Schneider-Pereira (3B) 1–0
T 10 Sukhochir Zakhchin Arjun Kapoor (3B) 2–0
T 10 Masato Asano Keisei Date (3B) 3–0
T 15 Renato Schneider-Pereira Chia-hong Liao (2B) 4–0
T 20 Hsuan-yen Chou Renato Schneider-Pereira (3B) 5–0
T 20 Hsuan-yen Chou Dok-su Hyok (3B) 6–0
T 20 Hsuan-yen Chou Hubertus Roy (2B) 7–0
T 20 Masato Asano Hsuan-yen Chou (2B) 8–0
B 8 Valeriy Zotov Sergey Pogrebnyak (3B) 8–1
B 8 Valeriy Zotov Fyodor Strelkov (3B) 8–2
B 8 Valeriy Zotov Ostap Rudnev (3B) 8–3
B 20 Pyotr Kasatkina Valeriy Zotov (3B) 8–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Álvarez Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 328' · CF 440' · RF 326' · 18' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Curepipe Cab Co. — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 5 1B · 6 XBH · 0 HR
328' 440' 326' Wall 18' Reese Palepalin — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -12° · 58 ft Keontez Keita — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +28° · 263 ft Hubertus Roy — double · EV 102 mph · LA +17° · 234 ft Renato Schneider-Pereira — double · EV 112 mph · LA +20° · 326 ft Egor Motovilov — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +28° · 305 ft Sheng-feng Lin — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 244 ft Sukhochir Zakhchin — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 205 ft Masato Asano — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +50° · 373 ft Sachin Grewal — single · EV 86 mph · LA +18° · 168 ft Hsuan-yen Chou — double · EV 107 mph · LA +19° · 284 ft Chia-hong Liao — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 201 ft Kelly Ioanin — double · EV 95 mph · LA +26° · 282 ft Keontez Keita — double · EV 87 mph · LA +39° · 295 ft Renato Schneider-Pereira — single · EV 86 mph · LA +19° · 184 ft Egor Motovilov — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +29° · 318 ft Masato Asano — single · EV 93 mph · LA +19° · 211 ft Hubertus Roy — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 65 ft Renato Schneider-Pereira — double · EV 100 mph · LA +41° · 399 ft
Aleksandrovsk Hawks — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
328' 440' 326' Wall 18' Valeriy Zotov — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +8° · 71 ft Mel Mondevillin — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Kevin Madrigal — single · EV 82 mph · LA +22° · 187 ft Hugh Carnell — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA +1° · 61 ft Fyodor Strelkov — single · EV 95 mph · LA +5° · 91 ft Ostap Rudnev — single · EV 74 mph · LA +36° · 210 ft Petr Kravchuk — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -11° · 77 ft Sergey Pogrebnyak — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +3° · 50 ft Pyotr Kasatkina — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 213 ft Valeriy Zotov — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +28° · 303 ft Mel Mondevillin — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +3° · 49 ft Ostap Rudnev — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +9° · 108 ft Knox Nkosi — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA +12° · 63 ft Kevin Madrigal — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +52° · 330 ft Petr Kravchuk — double · EV 96 mph · LA +43° · 366 ft Fyodor Strelkov — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +28° · 202 ft Ostap Rudnev — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +21° · 173 ft Knox Nkosi — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA +4° · 58 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Curepipe Cab Co.
80% deserve-to-win  ·  12.1 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -4.1 vs expected
contact: 19.1 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (-2.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Keontez Keita 87 / +39° Pull Double 0.5 → 2 +1.48
Egor Motovilov 96 / +28° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Egor Motovilov 97 / +29° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Chia-hong Liao 92 / +18° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Kelly Ioanin 95 / +26° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Aleksandrovsk Hawks
20% deserve-to-win  ·  6.0 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -2.0 vs expected
contact: 8.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-3.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Valeriy Zotov 95 / +28° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Ostap Rudnev 74 / +36° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.88
Ostap Rudnev 94 / +9° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Ostap Rudnev 81 / +21° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Fyodor Strelkov 95 / +5° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.51
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