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Mbarara Hounds 34, Kaechon Tornados 4                       2046-04-26 · #1164
at Budiman Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Mbarara                33      1   34   27    0
Kaechon                 3      1    4    8    0

MBARARA HOUNDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Eledge      cf ......    6   2   3   0   0   1   5   0   2   0   0  0.500
Torreira    1b ......    3   4   3   1   0   1   4   2   0   0   0  1.000
Lindsay     2b ......    4   4   3   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.750
Kennedy     c  ......    5   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.200
Robinette   ss ......    3   5   2   0   0   2   3   1   1   0   0  0.667
Christenson lf ......    4   6   3   0   0   2   4   1   1   0   0  0.750
Kagawa      rf ......    5   3   4   4   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.800
Chisom      3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Stearns c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Colangelo   p  ......    5   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.200
Eaton       j  ......    5   5   4   1   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.800
Jones       j  ......    5   3   3   1   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.600
Totals                  49  34  27   8   0   9  32   5  11   0   0  0.551
  2B: Eaton (16), Torreira (2), Jones (13), Kagawa 4 (5), Colangelo (1).
  HR: Eledge (5), off Cody; Eaton (6), off Cody; Torreira (2), off Cody; Jones (7), off Schlecht; Lindsay (3), off Cody; Robinette 2 (2), off Cako; Christenson 2 (4), off Cako, Schlecht.
  SB: Robinette (2).
  CS: Eledge (2).
  HBP: Robinette (2), Stearns (2).
  a-Replaced Chisom at C in the 7th.

KAECHON TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chapman     cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kallman     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Stiglic     ss ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Arráez      lf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ahmed       1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Torres      c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Coffel      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cody        p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Frías   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Lakshman    j  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Howell      j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Scola       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32   4   8   3   0   1   3   1  10   0   0  0.250
  2B: Lakshman (3), Stiglic (1), Arráez (3).
  HR: Ahmed (2), off Colangelo.
  GIDP: Howell (2).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

MBARARA HOUNDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Colangelo (W, 1-0) ..    33   27 100%    8    4    4    1   10    1  131    -

KAECHON TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cody (L, 2-3) .......    21   10  37%   11   12    9    0    5    4   68    -
Cako ................    13    6  22%    7   10    7    1    2    3   49  1-1
Schlecht ............    15    7  26%    7   10    7    2    3    2   54  1-1
Elder ...............     6    4  15%    2    2    2    2    1    0   26  2-1

  Batting order: Kaechon Tornados (home) batted second; Mbarara Hounds batted first.
  Seconds: MH o25 (33-0), KT o25 (3-33).
  First pitch 8:10 PM. Weather: 69°F · Wind out · Overcast · Dry. seed 280560.
  Walk-Back runs: off Cody 3, off Cako 3, off Schlecht 3.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Armando Torreira Sion Jones (1B) 1–0
T 2 Everett Lindsay Armando Torreira (2B) 2–0
T 5 Hajime Kagawa Derrick Robinette (2B) 3–0
T 7 Steve Eledge Hajime Kagawa (2B) 4–0
T 7 Steve Eledge Steve Eledge (HR) 5–0
T 7 Armando Torreira Steve Eledge (3B) 6–0
T 7 Armando Torreira Armando Torreira (HR) 7–0
T 7 Everett Lindsay Armando Torreira (3B) 8–0
T 7 Everett Lindsay Everett Lindsay (HR) 9–0
T 8 Hal Eaton Everett Lindsay (3B) 10–0
T 8 Hal Eaton Hal Eaton (HR) 11–0
T 8 Sion Jones Hal Eaton (3B) 12–0
T 9 Derrick Robinette Derrick Robinette (HR) 13–0
T 9 Diehl Christenson Derrick Robinette (3B) 14–0
T 9 Diehl Christenson Diehl Christenson (HR) 15–0
T 9 Hajime Kagawa Diehl Christenson (3B) 16–0
T 9 Alafia Chisom Hajime Kagawa (3B) 17–0
T 11 Hal Eaton Bryson Colangelo (2B) 18–0
T 12 Everett Lindsay Hal Eaton (2B) 19–0
T 14 Derrick Robinette Everett Lindsay (1B) 20–0
T 14 Derrick Robinette Derrick Robinette (HR) 21–0
T 14 Diehl Christenson Derrick Robinette (3B) 22–0
T 14 Diehl Christenson Diehl Christenson (HR) 23–0
T 14 Hajime Kagawa Diehl Christenson (3B) 24–0
T 16 Steve Eledge Hajime Kagawa (3B) 25–0
T 17 Sion Jones Hal Eaton (1B) 26–0
T 17 Sion Jones Sion Jones (HR) 27–0
T 17 Armando Torreira Sion Jones (3B) 28–0
T 17 Sven Kennedy Armando Torreira (2B) 29–0
T 21 Steve Eledge Everett Lindsay (3B) 30–0
T 21 Steve Eledge Sven Kennedy (2B) 31–0
T 22 Hal Eaton Diehl Christenson (3B) 32–0
T 22 Sion Jones Hal Eaton (1B) 33–0
B 3 Sandesh Lakshman Ramonz Howell (1B) 33–1
B 18 Jasper Coffel Quinton Stiglic (3B) 33–2
B 25 Quinton Stiglic Sandesh Lakshman (3B) 33–3
seconds_first 0 Hajime Kagawa Diehl Christenson (2B) 34–3
seconds_second 1 Turner Ahmed Turner Ahmed (HR) 34–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Budiman Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 321' · CF 391' · RF 342' · 31' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Mbarara Hounds — Batted Balls
30 BIP· 10 1B · 8 XBH · 9 HR
321' 391' 342' Wall 31' Steve Eledge — single · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Hal Eaton — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +35° · 292 ft Sion Jones — single · EV 119 mph · LA +9° · 181 ft Armando Torreira — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 240 ft Everett Lindsay — single · EV 96 mph · LA -8° · 91 ft Hajime Kagawa — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 248 ft Derrick Robinette — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Steve Eledge — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +36° · 480 ft Armando Torreira — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +31° · 480 ft Everett Lindsay — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +39° · 392 ft Hal Eaton — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Diehl Christenson — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +27° · 383 ft Hajime Kagawa — double · EV 99 mph · LA +13° · 168 ft Alafia Chisom — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA -4° · 92 ft Bryson Colangelo — double · EV 90 mph · LA +37° · 309 ft Derrick Robinette — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft Hal Eaton — double · EV 119 mph · LA +13° · 241 ft Everett Lindsay — single · EV 100 mph · LA -14° · 95 ft Diehl Christenson — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +41° · 476 ft Hajime Kagawa — double · EV 93 mph · LA +38° · 338 ft Armando Torreira — single · EV 119 mph · LA +23° · 402 ft Steve Eledge — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 84 ft Hal Eaton — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 125 ft Sion Jones — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Sven Kennedy — single · EV 82 mph · LA -5° · 78 ft Diehl Christenson — single · EV 97 mph · LA +15° · 190 ft Steve Eledge — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 154 ft Hal Eaton — single · EV 100 mph · LA +33° · 366 ft Sion Jones — double · EV 119 mph · LA +23° · 407 ft Hajime Kagawa — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 165 ft
Kaechon Tornados — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
321' 391' 342' Wall 31' James Chapman — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +1° · 49 ft Ramonz Howell — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 142 ft Sandesh Lakshman — double · EV 92 mph · LA +41° · 335 ft Turner Ahmed — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +48° · 229 ft Enrique Torres — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Jasper Coffel — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft James Chapman — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 131 ft Ramonz Howell — double_play · EV 55 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Quinton Stiglic — single · EV 81 mph · LA +10° · 90 ft Michael Arráez — double · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Sandesh Lakshman — single · EV 77 mph · LA +24° · 176 ft Enrique Torres — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 130 ft Jasper Coffel — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Carl Kallman — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft James Chapman — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +1° · 49 ft Ramonz Howell — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 192 ft Quinton Stiglic — double · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Michael Arráez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 218 ft Turner Ahmed — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +42° · 453 ft Sandesh Lakshman — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 211 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Mbarara Hounds
95% deserve-to-win  ·  24.6 expected runs
actual 34 runs  ·  +9.4 vs expected
contact: 53.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 62.0 (+8.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Everett Lindsay 100 / +39° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Diehl Christenson 109 / +27° Center Home Run 2.3 → 4 +1.66
Hal Eaton 100 / +33° Center Single 2.1 → 1 -1.09
Hal Eaton 88 / +35° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Armando Torreira 116 / +31° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.97
Kaechon Tornados
5% deserve-to-win  ·  5.5 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.5 vs expected
contact: 12.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+1.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sandesh Lakshman 77 / +24° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Sandesh Lakshman 92 / +41° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Michael Arráez 92 / +42° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Quinton Stiglic 92 / +42° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
James Chapman 76 / +17° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
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