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Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers 2, Yagodnoye Sharks 1             2046-04-26 · #1146
at Starc Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Yagodnoye               1    1    4    1
Zaporizhzhia            2    2    1    0

YAGODNOYE SHARKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hasegawa    lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Valiev      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Grebenyuk   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Nembhardov  1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Parker      cf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-William pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Terrell     2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Mukhin      3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Danilin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Panova      ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Samedov     p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Motovil ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Tkachev ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Lapushchenk j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Fedorov     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Aalto       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   1   4   2   0   0   1   2  17   0   0  0.148
  2B: Parker (1), Samedov (3).
  CS: Terrell (4).
  E: Danilina (1).
  a-Ran for Parker in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Mukhin in the 8th.
  c-Struck out in the 8th.
  d-Walked in the 8th.

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goodling    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ferry       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Li          lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Meza        3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Figueroa    cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Smith       1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bartkowicz  2b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Quiñones    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Pound   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Belcher     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Cota        j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Soeda       j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                   9   2   1   1   0   0   2   4   4   0   1  0.111
  2B: Figueroa (3).
  SB: Goodling (5).
  CS: Goodling (2).
  HBP: Goodling (2).
  a-Entered at SS in the 7th.

YAGODNOYE SHARKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Samedov (L, 0-3) ....    15   11  41%    1    2    2    4    5    0   46    -

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ferry (W, 3-2) ......    28   27 100%    3    1    1    2   17    0  110    -

  Batting order: Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers (home) batted second; Yagodnoye Sharks batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 65°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 326687.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 26 Ilia Fedorov Magomed Danilina (2B) 1–0
B 11 Owen Goodling Jeyland Figueroa (3B) 1–1
B 11 Alex Belcher Kareem Bartkowicz (3B) 1–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Starc Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 377' · CF 443' · RF 351' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Yagodnoye Sharks — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
377' 443' 351' Ilia Fedorov — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +15° · 125 ft Eemil Aalto — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +17° · 157 ft Dmitri Samedov — double · EV 104 mph · LA +35° · 403 ft Magomed Valiev — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +29° · 256 ft Jon Parker — double · EV 100 mph · LA +28° · 335 ft Evgeny Mukhin — single · EV 90 mph · LA -5° · 86 ft Hidehiko Hasegawa — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +20° · 239 ft Ilia Fedorov — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +8° · 71 ft
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 0 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
377' 443' 351' Miles Ferry — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +3° · 93 ft Gerardo Cota — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 299 ft Lawrence Pound — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +13° · 117 ft Jeyland Figueroa — double · EV 93 mph · LA +11° · 131 ft Owen Goodling — error · EV 82 mph · LA +4° · 78 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Yagodnoye Sharks
31% deserve-to-win  ·  2.2 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -1.2 vs expected
contact: 7.2 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-2.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hidehiko Hasegawa 96 / +20° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Eemil Aalto 84 / +17° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Evgeny Mukhin 90 / -5° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Jon Parker 100 / +28° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.56
Ilia Fedorov 78 / +15° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers
69% deserve-to-win  ·  3.3 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -1.3 vs expected
contact: 3.1 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jeyland Figueroa 93 / +11° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Gerardo Cota 92 / +31° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Lawrence Pound 81 / +13° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Miles Ferry 98 / +3° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.49
Owen Goodling 82 / +4° Oppo Reached on Error 0.4 → 0 -0.39
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