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Hamburg BK 3, Prague Boars 2                                 2046-04-22 · #986
at Morrison Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Hamburg                 3    3    3    0
Prague                  2    2    4    0

HAMBURG BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Marchisio   c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Johannes    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Natale      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Beccari     p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Bleckin ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  b-Abajian cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Ramadan ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Coney   c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Huard   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mandi       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Krueger     j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Bos         j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  11   3   3   2   0   0   3   1   3   0   1  0.273
  2B: Krueger (1), Abajian (2).
  GIDP: Huard (1).
  a-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 7th.
  c-Walked in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at C in the 9th.
  e-Grounded out in the 3rd.

PRAGUE BOARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fagioli     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Barišić     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gülich      ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mejia       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Calathes    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Kanouté pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Féliz       1b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Longo       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Anyomi  ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Charist ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Buffon  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Hines   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Silva   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Zelem   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Jenyat      j  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Bella-Kotch j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   2   4   0   0   0   2   3  10   0   0  0.154
  CS: Gülich (2).
  HBP: Gülich (2).
  a-Ran for Calathes in the 6th.
  b-Batted in the 3rd.
  c-Singled in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Charisteas in the 4th.
  e-Batted in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Anyomi in the 6th.
  g-Ran in the 8th.

HAMBURG BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Beccari .............    13   10  37%    3    2    2    1    2    0   40    -
Baturina (W, 1-0) ...    16   16  59%    1    0    0    1    8    0   58  1-0
Song ................     1    1   4%    0    0    0    1    0    0    1  1-0

PRAGUE BOARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bobadilla (L, 0-3) ..     7    6  22%    2    2    2    0    2    0   25    -
Boudaoui ............     5    3  11%    1    1    1    1    1    0   13    -

  Batting order: Prague Boars (home) batted first; Hamburg BK batted second.
  First pitch 1:00 PM CET. Weather: 72°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain. seed 471298.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 9 Otto Charisteas Néstor Féliz (2B) 0–1
B 10 Wajdi Jenyat Benedetto Buffon (2B) 0–2
T 4 Rhyne Abajian Philip Bos (2B) 1–2
T 5 Kevin Johannes Rhyne Abajian (3B) 2–2
T 9 Mesut Krueger Vittorio Beccari (1B) 3–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Morrison Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 397' · CF 469' · RF 364' · 10' wall). Cavernous.
Hamburg BK — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
397' 469' 364' Mesut Krueger — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -17° · 74 ft Philip Bos — single · EV 73 mph · LA +19° · 131 ft Mehdi Mandi — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 160 ft Rhyne Abajian — double · EV 98 mph · LA +13° · 170 ft Kevin Johannes — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +8° · 93 ft Frank Huard — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA +8° · 78 ft Vittorio Beccari — fielders_choice · EV 99 mph · LA +5° · 94 ft Mesut Krueger — double · EV 94 mph · LA +20° · 225 ft
Prague Boars — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
397' 469' 364' Wajdi Jenyat — single · EV 88 mph · LA +5° · 83 ft Niclas Bella-Kotchap — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -0° · 53 ft Keldric Mejia — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +11° · 94 ft Sokratis Calathes — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -2° · 69 ft Edoardo Longo — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Otto Charisteas — single · EV 100 mph · LA +0° · 95 ft Néstor Féliz — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -15° · 84 ft Christopher Kanouté — ground_out · EV 101 mph · LA -0° · 96 ft Carlo Fagioli — ground_out · EV 112 mph · LA -0° · 106 ft Wajdi Jenyat — single · EV 119 mph · LA +8° · 156 ft Sokratis Calathes — fielders_choice · EV 75 mph · LA -18° · 71 ft Danilo Anyomi — single · EV 70 mph · LA -5° · 67 ft Niclas Bella-Kotchap — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -12° · 95 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Hamburg BK
58% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 5.9 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mesut Krueger 94 / +20° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Mehdi Mandi 88 / +16° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Kevin Johannes 91 / +8° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Rhyne Abajian 98 / +13° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Frank Huard 82 / +8° Oppo Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Prague Boars
42% deserve-to-win  ·  3.1 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 6.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Carlo Fagioli 112 / +0° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Danilo Anyomi 70 / -5° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Wajdi Jenyat 88 / +5° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Christopher Kanouté 101 / +0° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Wajdi Jenyat 119 / +8° Center Single 1.5 → 1 -0.52
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