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Hermosillo Royals 11, Balambay Beysbol'nyy Klub 10           2046-04-21 · #963
at Léon Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Balambay               10   10    9    1
Hermosillo             11   11   11    2

BALAMBAY BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
DiLeva      lf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.250
Zolotareva  cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Shevche pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Manegin     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Molodov ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Prozorova   2b ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Lunyov  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Muwanguzi   3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Rakhimova   p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
  d-Akinshi ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mendoza     c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Popov       rf ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Belov   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Kulikov ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Mandlik pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Petrov  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Masuda      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Biryukov    j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Edmonson    j  ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  30  10   9   1   0   1  10   4   8   0   1  0.300
  2B: Edmonson (4).
  HR: Prozorova (1), off Navarro.
  SB: Mendoza (2), Shevchenko (1).
  CS: Lunyov (2), Mandlik (1).
  E: Prozorova (2).
  HBP: Zolotareva (3), Kulikov (1).
  GIDP: Popov (1).
  a-Ran for Zolotareva in the 8th.
  b-Walked for Manegin in the 8th.
  c-Ran for Prozorova in the 7th.
  d-Singled for Rakhimova in the 7th.
  e-Entered at C in the 7th.
  f-Was hit by a pitch for Belov in the 7th.
  g-Ran for Kulikov in the 7th.
  h-Ran for Molodov in the 8th.

HERMOSILLO ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bensebaini  lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Nyom        c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Vettori     1b ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.500
Chadli      2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Ndzengue    cf ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.667
Navarro     p  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Korita      3b ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   3   1   1   1   0  0.667
Ziani       rf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Selemani    ss ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   2   1   1   0  1.000
Kruger      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Agarwal     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0  1.000
Abreha      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30  11  11   3   0   0  10   8   6   3   0  0.367
  2B: Korita (1), Ziani (6), Selemani (15).
  E: Ziani (1), Selemani (4).
  HBP: Navarro (1).
  GIDP: Vettori (1).


BALAMBAY BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rakhimova (L, 0-1) ..    17   12  44%    5    4    4    5    1    0   56    -
McEnrin .............    16   11  41%    5    6    3    2    4    0   66  2-2
Gabulov .............     5    4  15%    1    1    1    1    1    0   20  1-1

HERMOSILLO ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Navarro (W, 3-1) ....    25   18  67%    5    7    7    3    6    1   90    -
Nelson (F, 9) .......    11    9  33%    4    3    3    1    2    0   45  2-1

  Batting order: Hermosillo Royals (home) batted first; Balambay Beysbol'nyy Klub batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 64°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 846193.
  Walk-Back runs: off Navarro 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Pramod Korita Georges Nyom (3B) 0–1
B 5 Fredrick Selemani Kane Vettori (3B) 0–2
B 6 Bilal Ziani Ananias Ndzengue (3B) 0–3
B 6 Pramod Korita Fredrick Selemani (3B) 0–4
B 12 Georges Nyom Bilal Ziani (3B) 0–5
B 13 Gaya Bensebaini Ananias Ndzengue (3B) 0–6
B 13 Fredrick Selemani Kane Vettori (3B) 0–7
B 17 Kane Vettori Gaya Bensebaini (3B) 0–8
B 21 Bilal Ziani Owen Navarro (3B) 0–9
B 21 Pramod Korita Mustapha Chadli (3B) 0–10
B 24 Ananias Ndzengue Kane Vettori (3B) 0–11
T 5 Evgeni Rakhimova Timofey Zolotareva (3B) 1–11
T 9 Sekou DiLeva Eli Edmonson (2B) 2–11
T 15 Teymuraz Prozorova Cary Mendoza (1B) 3–11
T 15 Teymuraz Prozorova Teymuraz Prozorova (HR) 4–11
T 15 Viktor Popov Teymuraz Prozorova (3B) 5–11
T 16 Sekou DiLeva Viktor Popov (2B) 6–11
T 18 Artemi Biryukov Sekou DiLeva (3B) 7–11
T 19 Eli Edmonson Artemi Biryukov (1B) 8–11
T 19 Cary Mendoza Eli Edmonson (2B) 9–11
T 22 Denis Muwanguzi Aleksandr Shevchenko (2B) 10–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Léon Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 342' · CF 411' · RF 287' · 11' wall). Short Porch (Right).
The Crater Trolley Shed
Balambay Beysbol'nyy Klub — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 7 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
342' 411' 287' Denis Muwanguzi — line_out · EV 102 mph · LA +15° · 214 ft Go Masuda — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +1° · 84 ft Timofey Zolotareva — single · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Eli Edmonson — single · EV 87 mph · LA +9° · 92 ft Cary Mendoza — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -18° · 81 ft Sekou DiLeva — error · EV 91 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Ron Akinshilin — single · EV 82 mph · LA +4° · 78 ft Pyotr Lunyov — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -9° · 79 ft Vladislav Manegin — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +8° · 85 ft Cary Mendoza — fielders_choice · EV 72 mph · LA +1° · 68 ft Teymuraz Prozorova — hr · EV 103 mph · LA +41° · 421 ft Viktor Popov — error · EV 96 mph · LA +21° · 253 ft Sekou DiLeva — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -15° · 70 ft Artemi Biryukov — single · EV 63 mph · LA +15° · 79 ft Eli Edmonson — double · EV 105 mph · LA +11° · 168 ft Timofey Zolotareva — fielders_choice · EV 84 mph · LA -5° · 79 ft Denis Muwanguzi — single · EV 106 mph · LA +8° · 129 ft Sekou DiLeva — single · EV 84 mph · LA +16° · 154 ft Viktor Popov — double_play · EV 80 mph · LA -13° · 76 ft Cary Mendoza — single · EV 77 mph · LA +5° · 73 ft
Hermosillo Royals — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 8 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
342' 411' 287' Georges Nyom — single · EV 78 mph · LA +11° · 94 ft Mustapha Chadli — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +36° · 333 ft Ananias Ndzengue — single · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 170 ft Bilal Ziani — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 207 ft Pramod Korita — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 201 ft Ivan Kruger — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 193 ft Sourav Agarwal — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 126 ft Sintayehu Abreha — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +48° · 230 ft Fredrick Selemani — single · EV 52 mph · LA +20° · 68 ft Kane Vettori — single · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 236 ft Fredrick Selemani — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 221 ft Bilal Ziani — double · EV 92 mph · LA +44° · 338 ft Owen Navarro — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -19° · 72 ft Mustapha Chadli — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 114 ft Georges Nyom — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +35° · 222 ft Gaya Bensebaini — single · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 180 ft Pramod Korita — fielders_choice · EV 54 mph · LA -5° · 52 ft Kane Vettori — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Bilal Ziani — fly_out · EV 69 mph · LA +30° · 166 ft Mustapha Chadli — error · EV 54 mph · LA +4° · 52 ft Georges Nyom — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 162 ft Pramod Korita — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 120 ft Ananias Ndzengue — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 107 ft Georges Nyom — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Balambay Beysbol'nyy Klub
41% deserve-to-win  ·  8.6 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 14.1 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-1.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Teymuraz Prozorova 103 / +41° Pull Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.51
Viktor Popov 96 / +21° Center Reached on Error 1.3 → 0 -1.31
Denis Muwanguzi 102 / +15° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Cary Mendoza 77 / +5° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Ron Akinshilin 82 / +4° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.60
Hermosillo Royals
59% deserve-to-win  ·  10.3 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 12.4 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+1.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mustapha Chadli 94 / +36° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Pramod Korita 92 / +18° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Fredrick Selemani 92 / +20° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Mustapha Chadli 92 / +10° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Bilal Ziani 92 / +44° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
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