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Marseille Club de Baseball 12, Barquisimeto Grocery 11       2046-04-21 · #950
at Cele Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Marseille              12   12    8    0
Barquisimeto           11   11    8    0

MARSEILLE CLUB DE BASEBALL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Talaslahti  lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Wattel  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Jnopierre   2b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Yépez       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Adix-Zins   p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Liriano ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Escobar     ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Craw        3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Uberoi      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Olivera     cf ......    2   3   1   0   0   1   4   1   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Donarsk ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
  d-Villaco ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Rojas       j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Nyhus       j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Guerra      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24  12   8   2   0   1  10   6   8   0   0  0.333
  2B: Donarski (2), Jnopierre (8).
  HR: Olivera (1), off Faga.
  HBP: Adix-Zins (1).
  GIDP: Craw (1), Guerra (2).
  a-Ran for Talaslahti in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out for Adix-Zins in the 5th.
  c-Entered at SS in the 7th.
  d-Walked for Guerra in the 6th.

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Solano      1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Warneke     cf ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.667
Sandoval    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Bautista    2b ......    4   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Salas       rf ......    1   3   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
O'Meara     c  ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  1.000
Echternach  lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hulbert     3b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Faga        p  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Heslip      j  ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.250
Concepción  j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28  11   8   4   1   1   9   7  10   0   0  0.286
  2B: Warneke (5), O'Meara (5), Hulbert (4), Faga (1).
  3B: Bautista (1).
  HR: Heslip (1), off Adix-Zins.
  HBP: Solano (2), Sandoval (4), Hulbert (2).


MARSEILLE CLUB DE BASEBALL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Adix-Zins ...........     5    3  11%    1    2    2    1    3    1   24    -
Woolery .............    10    7  26%    4    3    2    3    2    0   36  1-1
Caballero (W, 2-0) ..    17   11  41%    3    5    5    2    4    0   83  1-1
Gurney ..............     6    6  22%    0    1    1    1    1    0   20  2-1

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Faga (L, 3-1) .......     9    4  15%    2    5    5    3    1    1   37    -
Brunnberg ...........     8    5  19%    3    3    2    0    3    0   31  1-1
Santamaria ..........    11    8  30%    2    2    2    2    4    0   45  1-1
Montero .............     3    2   7%    1    2    2    1    0    0    6  2-2

  Batting order: Barquisimeto Grocery (home) batted first; Marseille Club de Baseball batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 84°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 246930.
  Walk-Back runs: off Woolery 1, off Brunnberg 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Tally Heslip Levar Warneke (1B) 0–1
B 3 Tally Heslip Tally Heslip (HR) 0–2
B 3 Darwin O'Meara Tally Heslip (3B) 0–3
B 5 Donny Hulbert Yangervis Salas (2B) 0–4
B 10 Juan Bautista Levar Warneke (1B) 0–5
B 10 Tally Heslip Juan Bautista (3B) 0–6
B 11 Darwin O'Meara Yangervis Salas (1B) 0–7
B 15 Levar Warneke Darwin O'Meara (2B) 0–8
B 15 Levar Warneke Yandy Solano (1B) 0–9
B 20 Sean Faga Yangervis Salas (3B) 0–10
B 22 Yandy Solano Darwin O'Meara (3B) 0–11
T 2 Forest Craw Pyry Talaslahti (3B) 1–11
T 4 Derlis Olivera Misun Jnopierre (3B) 2–11
T 4 Derlis Olivera Freddy Escobar (2B) 3–11
T 4 Derlis Olivera Forest Craw (1B) 4–11
T 4 Derlis Olivera Derlis Olivera (HR) 5–11
T 5 Misun Jnopierre Derlis Olivera (3B) 6–11
T 9 Richie Donarski Harold Adix-Zins (3B) 7–11
T 9 Richie Donarski Ferdi Uberoi (1B) 8–11
T 13 Freddy Escobar Richie Donarski (3B) 9–11
T 17 Ketel Rojas Roger Wattel (3B) 10–11
T 17 Wilbur Guerra Derlis Olivera (3B) 11–11
T 19 Krishnan Venkatesan Ketel Rojas (3B) 12–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cele Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 419' · RF 347' · 12' wall). Balanced.
Marseille Club de Baseball — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
350' 419' 347' Misun Jnopierre — double · EV 90 mph · LA +38° · 315 ft Derlis Olivera — hr · EV 99 mph · LA +35° · 370 ft Pyry Talaslahti — single · EV 81 mph · LA +18° · 152 ft Ketel Rojas — single · EV 69 mph · LA +12° · 79 ft Erick Nyhus — single · EV 84 mph · LA -10° · 80 ft Wilbur Guerra — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA +21° · 159 ft Misun Jnopierre — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +51° · 294 ft Ferdi Uberoi — single · EV 56 mph · LA -15° · 54 ft Richie Donarski — double · EV 105 mph · LA +24° · 327 ft Freddy Escobar — single · EV 59 mph · LA +17° · 79 ft Forest Craw — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA -11° · 55 ft Misun Jnopierre — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +17° · 122 ft
Barquisimeto Grocery — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 2 1B · 5 XBH · 1 HR
350' 419' 347' Tally Heslip — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +30° · 396 ft Donny Hulbert — double · EV 107 mph · LA +29° · 383 ft Heissler Concepción — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA +7° · 84 ft Sean Faga — double · EV 100 mph · LA +27° · 327 ft Levar Warneke — single · EV 91 mph · LA -8° · 87 ft Yangervis Salas — single · EV 88 mph · LA -12° · 83 ft Darwin O'Meara — double · EV 103 mph · LA +23° · 307 ft Juan Bautista — triple · EV 115 mph · LA +22° · 363 ft Tally Heslip — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +30° · 276 ft Xadavien Echternach — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +7° · 82 ft Levar Warneke — double · EV 89 mph · LA +24° · 235 ft Yandy Solano — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +33° · 283 ft Xadavien Echternach — fly_out · EV 103 mph · LA +30° · 365 ft Juan Bautista — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 113 ft Tally Heslip — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -1° · 68 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Marseille Club de Baseball
21% deserve-to-win  ·  5.9 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  +6.1 vs expected
contact: 7.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+5.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Derlis Olivera 99 / +35° Oppo Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.48
Misun Jnopierre 90 / +38° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Ferdi Uberoi 56 / -15° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.83
Erick Nyhus 84 / -10° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.65
Misun Jnopierre 74 / +17° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Barquisimeto Grocery
79% deserve-to-win  ·  11.6 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 14.8 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+2.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tally Heslip 107 / +30° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.93
Xadavien Echternach 103 / +30° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Juan Bautista 115 / +22° Oppo Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.28
Levar Warneke 89 / +24° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Tally Heslip 89 / +30° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
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