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Pyongyang Central Spartans 11, Sapporo Sentinels 3           2046-04-21 · #941
at Adams Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Pyongyang Central      11   11   17    0
Sapporo                 3    3    5    0

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cabalceta   lf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Pfister     cf ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  0.500
Zingaro     1b ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Vahaly      ss ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Richards    rf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Pandya      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Schnack     2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Dunne       c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Gipson      p  ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Tippmann    j  ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Griffith    j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Onyedika    j  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Totals                  36  11  17   7   0   0  11   4   6   0   0  0.472
  2B: Cabalceta (2), Pfister (2), Zingaro (1), Vahaly (6), Richards (4), Tippmann (4), Onyedika (8).
  SB: Gipson (1).
  CS: Dunne (2).
  HBP: Zingaro (1).


SAPPORO SENTINELS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Harbour     ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   2   1   0  0.333
Waite       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Limar       lf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Newman      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Kinsler     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bricka      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1  0.000
López       1b ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.667
Shelburne   cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Hofer   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Yu          j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ludloff     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Arias       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   3   5   0   0   0   3   2  11   2   1  0.192
  HBP: Yu (1), Shelburne (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gipson (W, 2-1) .....    30   27 100%    5    3    3    2   11    0  129    -

SAPPORO SENTINELS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bricka (L, 1-2) .....    26   17  63%   13    7    7    2    1    0   88    -
Givens ..............    15   10  37%    4    4    4    2    5    0   56  1-1

  Batting order: Sapporo Sentinels (home) batted second; Pyongyang Central Spartans batted first.
  First pitch 1:10 PM YAKT. Weather: 40°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 843693.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Javon Zingaro Eulis Cabalceta (2B) 1–0
T 0 Javon Zingaro Mekhi Pfister (1B) 2–0
T 1 Axar Pandya Javon Zingaro (3B) 3–0
T 5 Damon Onyedika Francisco Griffith (1B) 4–0
T 12 Gavin Dunne Javon Zingaro (3B) 5–0
T 17 Mekhi Pfister Zach Gipson (3B) 6–0
T 17 Mekhi Pfister Eulis Cabalceta (1B) 7–0
T 18 Mantle Vahaly Mekhi Pfister (2B) 8–0
T 25 Cory Tippmann Francisco Griffith (3B) 9–0
T 25 Cory Tippmann Damon Onyedika (2B) 10–0
T 25 Javon Zingaro Zach Gipson (3B) 11–0
B 4 Yunior López Maciek Limar (3B) 11–1
B 14 Norman Harbour Yunior López (3B) 11–2
B 14 Norman Harbour Ben Shelburne (2B) 11–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Adams Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 357' · CF 412' · RF 308' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Pyongyang Central Spartans — Batted Balls
28 BIP· 10 1B · 7 XBH · 0 HR
357' 412' 308' Eulis Cabalceta — double · EV 110 mph · LA +26° · 386 ft Javon Zingaro — double · EV 96 mph · LA +18° · 218 ft Glen Richards — double · EV 104 mph · LA +22° · 300 ft Axar Pandya — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -12° · 66 ft Kaylan Schnack — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +30° · 243 ft Cory Tippmann — single · EV 91 mph · LA +16° · 178 ft Gavin Dunne — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -1° · 77 ft Francisco Griffith — single · EV 90 mph · LA +26° · 250 ft Damon Onyedika — double · EV 94 mph · LA +38° · 346 ft Zach Gipson — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +3° · 74 ft Mekhi Pfister — fly_out · EV 106 mph · LA +34° · 415 ft Eulis Cabalceta — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +38° · 278 ft Javon Zingaro — single · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 291 ft Mantle Vahaly — double · EV 94 mph · LA +46° · 355 ft Axar Pandya — line_out · EV 72 mph · LA +12° · 82 ft Kaylan Schnack — single · EV 86 mph · LA -4° · 82 ft Gavin Dunne — single · EV 96 mph · LA +10° · 129 ft Cory Tippmann — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -13° · 61 ft Damon Onyedika — fly_out · EV 110 mph · LA +23° · 351 ft Zach Gipson — single · EV 75 mph · LA +11° · 85 ft Mekhi Pfister — double · EV 116 mph · LA +19° · 335 ft Javon Zingaro — fly_out · EV 72 mph · LA +27° · 170 ft Mantle Vahaly — single · EV 95 mph · LA +1° · 90 ft Damon Onyedika — single · EV 91 mph · LA +14° · 153 ft Zach Gipson — single · EV 82 mph · LA +10° · 87 ft Eulis Cabalceta — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +10° · 134 ft Cory Tippmann — double · EV 105 mph · LA +15° · 225 ft Mantle Vahaly — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +42° · 304 ft
Sapporo Sentinels — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
357' 412' 308' Maciek Limar — single · EV 85 mph · LA +20° · 190 ft Yunior López — single · EV 78 mph · LA +24° · 181 ft Ben Shelburne — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +45° · 231 ft Norman Harbour — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +32° · 159 ft Collin Waite — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -18° · 66 ft Sidney Bricka — fielders_choice · EV 77 mph · LA -3° · 73 ft Yunior López — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Maciek Limar — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -9° · 63 ft Ryan Kinsler — fly_out · EV 58 mph · LA +34° · 124 ft Yunior López — single · EV 82 mph · LA -0° · 77 ft Norman Harbour — single · EV 85 mph · LA +19° · 182 ft Basil Arias — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 332 ft Ben Shelburne — fielders_choice · EV 70 mph · LA -2° · 66 ft Maciek Limar — single · EV 83 mph · LA -5° · 79 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pyongyang Central Spartans
98% deserve-to-win  ·  14.9 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -3.9 vs expected
contact: 26.8 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 24.0 (-2.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mekhi Pfister 106 / +34° Pull Out 3.0 → 0 -3.01
Damon Onyedika 110 / +23° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.68
Eulis Cabalceta 97 / +10° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Damon Onyedika 94 / +38° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Mantle Vahaly 94 / +46° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Sapporo Sentinels
2% deserve-to-win  ·  2.3 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 4.6 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+0.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Basil Arias 92 / +39° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Yunior López 78 / +24° Center Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.78
Yunior López 82 / +0° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
Maciek Limar 83 / -5° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
Maciek Limar 85 / +20° Pull Single 0.7 → 1 +0.28
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