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Matanzas Tornados 44, Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths 11      2046-04-21 · #936
at The Funnel
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Matanzas               44      0   44   30    0
Cienfuegos             11      0   11   12    0

MATANZAS TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Suero       lf ......    5   5   2   0   0   2   5   1   1   0   0  0.400
Castillo    1b ......    5   4   3   2   0   1   4   0   1   1   0  0.600
Liriano     c  ......    6   5   5   2   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  0.833
Bareiro     rf ......    5   4   2   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.400
Renner      cf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   2   2   0   0  0.250
Mthembu     2b ......    5   3   3   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.600
Arce        3b ......    6   5   4   2   0   1   5   0   1   0   0  0.667
Liriano     ss ......    4   5   3   1   1   1   5   1   1   0   0  0.750
Adames      p  ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   2   1   1   0   1  0.333
Mendes      j  ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    3   4   3   2   0   1   6   1   0   0   0  1.000
Park        j  ......    4   3   3   2   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.750
Totals                  52  44  30  13   1  10  41   9  10   1   1  0.577
  2B: Castillo 2 (11), Liriano 2 (11), Renner (1), Mthembu (6), Arce 2 (6), Liriano (2), Paniagua 2 (10), Park 2 (10).
  3B: Liriano (1).
  HR: Suero 2 (4), off Frías, Núñez; Castillo (4), off Delgado; Liriano (7), off Delgado; Bareiro (2), off Delgado; Arce (2), off Villanueva; Liriano (1), off Paniagua; Adames (1), off Frías; Paniagua (3), off Aedo; Park (4), off Difo.
  SB: Liriano 3 (8), Bareiro (3), Mthembu (2), Paniagua (4).
  CS: Paniagua (1).
  HBP: Castillo (4), Mendes (3).


CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Carusa      rf ......    3   3   3   1   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Severin pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Firmino     2b ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Yamamoto-Si lf ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.500
Encarnación c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Coronad ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Fazio       ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Arce    pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Soto        1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Pérez       cf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Delgado     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   1  0.000
  d-Valenci j→3b ....    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Rodríguez   j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Anderson    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  30  11  12   4   0   2  10   6  10   0   1  0.400
  2B: Carusa (5), Firmino (3), Encarnación (3), Pérez (2).
  HR: Carusa (1), off Adames; Anderson (3), off Adames.
  SB: Yamamoto-Silva (1).
  CS: Yamamoto-Silva (3).
  HBP: Rodríguez (1), Anderson (2).
  a-Ran for Carusa in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Encarnación in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Fazio in the 6th.
  d-Entered at J→3B (joker to field) in the 9th.

MATANZAS TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Adames ..............    13    9  33%    6    5    4    2    0    2   55    -
Luz .................    12    8  30%    5    4    4    1    3    0   37  2-1
Delgado (W) .........    12   10  37%    1    2    2    3    7    0   54  2-1

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Delgado .............     7    2   7%    5    5    3    0    0    3   31    -
Aedo ................    10    6  22%    5    5    3    0    4    1   32  1-1
Villanueva ..........     8    3  11%    4    6    5    2    0    1   31  1-1
Frías ...............    12    8  30%    3    6    4    1    3    2   42  1-0
Núñez (L) ...........     7    2   7%    3    7    6    2    1    1   28  2-2
Paniagua ............     8    3  11%    4    6    5    1    1    1   28  1-1
Difo ................     6    1   4%    4    6    6    1    1    1   18  1-1
Freitas .............     5    2   7%    2    3    2    2    0    0   15  1-1

  Batting order: Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths (home) batted second; Matanzas Tornados batted first.
  Seconds: MT o26 (44-0), CNG o25 (11-44).
  First pitch 8:10 PM. Weather: 62°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 850914.
  Walk-Back runs: off Adames 1, off Delgado 2, off Aedo 2, off Villanueva 1, off Frías 2, off Núñez 1, off Paniagua 1, off Freitas 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Tony Castillo Tony Castillo (HR) 1–0
T 1 James Liriano Tony Castillo (3B) 2–0
T 1 James Liriano James Liriano (HR) 3–0
T 1 Cesar Bareiro James Liriano (3B) 4–0
T 1 Cesar Bareiro Cesar Bareiro (HR) 5–0
T 2 Kagisho Mthembu Cesar Bareiro (3B) 6–0
T 4 Andrés Paniagua Kagisho Mthembu (3B) 7–0
T 4 Andrés Paniagua Exequiel Arce (1B) 8–0
T 4 Andrés Paniagua Andrés Paniagua (HR) 9–0
T 4 Ji-sung Park Andrés Paniagua (3B) 10–0
T 7 James Liriano Tony Castillo (2B) 11–0
T 8 Kagisho Mthembu James Liriano (3B) 12–0
T 9 Exequiel Arce Kagisho Mthembu (2B) 13–0
T 9 Exequiel Arce Exequiel Arce (HR) 14–0
T 9 Luís Mendes Exequiel Arce (3B) 15–0
T 10 Andrés Paniagua Orlando Liriano (2B) 16–0
T 12 Andrés Adames Andrés Adames (HR) 17–0
T 12 Vladimir Suero Andrés Adames (3B) 18–0
T 12 Vladimir Suero Vladimir Suero (HR) 19–0
T 12 Tony Castillo Vladimir Suero (3B) 20–0
T 17 Orlando Liriano Tony Castillo (2B) 21–0
T 17 Andrés Adames Orlando Liriano (3B) 22–0
T 18 Vladimir Suero Luís Mendes (3B) 23–0
T 18 Vladimir Suero Andrés Paniagua (2B) 24–0
T 18 Vladimir Suero Vladimir Suero (HR) 25–0
T 19 James Liriano Vladimir Suero (3B) 26–0
T 19 Chris Renner James Liriano (3B) 27–0
T 20 Exequiel Arce Cesar Bareiro (3B) 28–0
T 20 Exequiel Arce Kagisho Mthembu (1B) 29–0
T 20 Orlando Liriano Exequiel Arce (2B) 30–0
T 20 Orlando Liriano Orlando Liriano (HR) 31–0
T 20 Ji-sung Park Orlando Liriano (3B) 32–0
T 20 Andrés Paniagua Ji-sung Park (2B) 33–0
T 20 Andrés Paniagua Luís Mendes (1B) 34–0
T 23 James Liriano Andrés Paniagua (3B) 35–0
T 23 Cesar Bareiro James Liriano (2B) 36–0
T 24 Exequiel Arce Chris Renner (1B) 37–0
T 24 Orlando Liriano Cesar Bareiro (3B) 38–0
T 24 Orlando Liriano Exequiel Arce (2B) 39–0
T 24 Ji-sung Park Orlando Liriano (2B) 40–0
T 24 Ji-sung Park Ji-sung Park (HR) 41–0
T 24 Tony Castillo Ji-sung Park (3B) 42–0
T 24 Tony Castillo Andrés Adames (2B) 43–0
T 24 Tony Castillo Vladimir Suero (1B) 44–0
B 0 Ronan Carusa Kenji Yamamoto-Silva (1B) 44–1
B 0 Ronan Carusa Ronan Carusa (HR) 44–2
B 0 Rory Anderson Ronan Carusa (3B) 44–3
B 0 Rory Anderson Rory Anderson (HR) 44–4
B 6 Francisco Delgado Marco Fazio (3B) 44–5
B 8 Ronan Carusa Moisés Valencia (3B) 44–6
B 10 Yefri Encarnación Ronan Carusa (2B) 44–7
B 12 Otávio Firmino Yefri Encarnación (3B) 44–8
B 15 Ronan Carusa Welington Pérez (2B) 44–9
B 17 Marco Fazio Kenji Yamamoto-Silva (3B) 44–10
B 17 Wandy Soto Fernando Severino (3B) 44–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Funnel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 418' · RF 348' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Ivy Wall
Matanzas Tornados — Batted Balls
39 BIP· 6 1B · 14 XBH · 10 HR
346' 418' 348' Tony Castillo — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft James Liriano — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Cesar Bareiro — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Kagisho Mthembu — single · EV 99 mph · LA +15° · 197 ft Exequiel Arce — single · EV 111 mph · LA +1° · 105 ft Andrés Paniagua — hr · EV 96 mph · LA +45° · 370 ft Ji-sung Park — double · EV 97 mph · LA +31° · 329 ft Vladimir Suero — ground_out · EV 117 mph · LA +6° · 111 ft Tony Castillo — double · EV 109 mph · LA +17° · 269 ft James Liriano — double · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 339 ft Kagisho Mthembu — double · EV 119 mph · LA +24° · 420 ft Exequiel Arce — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +37° · 385 ft Luís Mendes — fly_out · EV 107 mph · LA +53° · 441 ft Andrés Paniagua — double · EV 108 mph · LA +15° · 232 ft Ji-sung Park — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +10° · 91 ft Andrés Adames — hr · EV 98 mph · LA +36° · 368 ft Orlando Liriano — triple · EV 104 mph · LA +15° · 218 ft Vladimir Suero — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +31° · 448 ft Kagisho Mthembu — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 141 ft Chris Renner — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 332 ft Orlando Liriano — hr · EV 103 mph · LA +42° · 425 ft Ji-sung Park — double · EV 98 mph · LA +34° · 358 ft Andrés Paniagua — double · EV 112 mph · LA +23° · 365 ft Andrés Adames — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 142 ft Vladimir Suero — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +40° · 480 ft James Liriano — single · EV 112 mph · LA +11° · 183 ft Exequiel Arce — double · EV 108 mph · LA +26° · 368 ft Cesar Bareiro — single · EV 109 mph · LA +20° · 298 ft Orlando Liriano — double · EV 107 mph · LA +16° · 244 ft Ji-sung Park — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Chris Renner — double · EV 92 mph · LA +46° · 338 ft James Liriano — double · EV 112 mph · LA +16° · 262 ft Exequiel Arce — double · EV 91 mph · LA +16° · 180 ft Tony Castillo — double · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 265 ft Cesar Bareiro — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +18° · 205 ft Kagisho Mthembu — single · EV 80 mph · LA +22° · 176 ft Tony Castillo — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +53° · 359 ft James Liriano — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA +4° · 66 ft Exequiel Arce — fly_out · EV 54 mph · LA +27° · 94 ft
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 6 1B · 4 XBH · 2 HR
346' 418' 348' Ronan Carusa — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +31° · 402 ft Rory Anderson — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +30° · 403 ft Yefri Encarnación — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +4° · 50 ft Wandy Soto — single · EV 80 mph · LA +24° · 191 ft Otávio Firmino — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 110 ft Moisés Valencia — single · EV 73 mph · LA +18° · 123 ft Kenji Yamamoto-Silva — single · EV 87 mph · LA +8° · 85 ft Juan Rodríguez — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -11° · 62 ft Fernando Severino — fly_out · EV 114 mph · LA +22° · 361 ft Ronan Carusa — double · EV 89 mph · LA +22° · 225 ft Yefri Encarnación — double · EV 86 mph · LA +13° · 127 ft Otávio Firmino — single · EV 90 mph · LA +22° · 221 ft Welington Pérez — double · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 141 ft Moisés Valencia — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +18° · 153 ft James Coronado — single · EV 98 mph · LA -1° · 93 ft Ronan Carusa — single · EV 91 mph · LA -11° · 86 ft Wandy Soto — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -5° · 82 ft Otávio Firmino — double · EV 105 mph · LA +22° · 301 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Matanzas Tornados
90% deserve-to-win  ·  35.7 expected runs
actual 44 runs  ·  +8.3 vs expected
contact: 65.9 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 74.0 (+8.1 on contact)
running: 6 SB · 1 CS
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Andrés Adames 98 / +36° Pull Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.48
Andrés Paniagua 96 / +45° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.04
Exequiel Arce 100 / +37° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.98
Orlando Liriano 104 / +15° Oppo Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.76
Orlando Liriano 103 / +42° Center Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.51
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths
10% deserve-to-win  ·  12.0 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -1.0 vs expected
contact: 16.0 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 22.0 (+6.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ronan Carusa 107 / +31° Oppo Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.93
Rory Anderson 108 / +30° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.93
Fernando Severino 114 / +22° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.72
Yefri Encarnación 86 / +13° Center Double 0.6 → 2 +1.38
Ronan Carusa 89 / +22° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
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