==============================================================================
Esso BK 9, Maracay Auto Body 4                               2046-04-20 · #918
at Coffin Coliseum
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Esso                    9    9   11    0
Maracay                 4    4    6    0

ESSO BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Azzopardi   cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Bardina     c  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.667
Bezecny     3b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Rangi       lf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Chappell    ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Allen       1b ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Sastry      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Canıtez     rf ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Gerardin    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Agafono ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Buster  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fomin       j  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Twedtov     j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  33   9  11   3   0   0   9   5   4   0   0  0.333
  2B: Bardina (4), Bezecny (3), Chappell (4).
  SB: Azzopardi (5), Bardina (2), Allen (1).
  GIDP: Gerardin (1).
  a-Walked for Gerardin in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Agafonov in the 6th.

MARACAY AUTO BODY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bae         ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Stewart     cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
An          3b ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Grebenyuk   rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Syed        p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Sulaeman    lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Shibasaki   c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Fukui       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Won         1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Behich      j  ......    3   0   2   0   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Ishizu      j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sun         j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   4   6   0   1   0   4   4   7   0   1  0.231
  3B: Behich (1).
  GIDP: Ishizu (2).


ESSO BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gerardin (W, 2-1) ...    30   27 100%    6    4    4    4    7    0  100    -

MARACAY AUTO BODY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Syed (L, 0-1) .......    22   17  63%    4    6    6    3    1    0   69    -
Ku ..................    14   10  37%    5    3    3    2    3    0   47  1-1

  Batting order: Maracay Auto Body (home) batted second; Esso BK batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 70°F · Wind in · Clear · Dry. seed 169245.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Charles Allen Andrea Azzopardi (3B) 1–0
T 15 Charles Allen Alex Rangi (3B) 2–0
T 15 Charles Allen Joey Chappell (2B) 3–0
T 17 Lev Bardina Charles Allen (3B) 4–0
T 17 Lev Bardina Ozan Canıtez (2B) 5–0
T 17 Lev Bardina Sven Buster (1B) 6–0
T 19 Vadim Fomin Lev Bardina (3B) 7–0
T 26 Ronald Bezecny Shawn Twedtov (3B) 8–0
T 26 Ronald Bezecny Ozan Canıtez (2B) 9–0
B 15 Tsukasa Ishizu Ki-su An (3B) 9–1
B 16 Hyon-min Sun Hayato Shibasaki (2B) 9–2
B 20 Brad Behich Tsukasa Ishizu (3B) 9–3
B 20 Brad Behich Ki-su An (1B) 9–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Coffin Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 358' · CF 441' · RF 319' · 17' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill Wire Basket Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Esso BK — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
358' 441' 319' Wall 17' Lev Bardina — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -16° · 87 ft Ronald Bezecny — ground_out · EV 106 mph · LA +7° · 101 ft Alex Rangi — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +21° · 245 ft Joey Chappell — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +20° · 155 ft Charles Allen — fly_out · EV 112 mph · LA +18° · 295 ft Johan Gerardin — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA +1° · 77 ft Ozan Canıtez — single · EV 82 mph · LA +9° · 87 ft Sven Buster — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -6° · 79 ft Andrea Azzopardi — fielders_choice · EV 75 mph · LA +3° · 71 ft Vadim Fomin — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -16° · 80 ft Ronald Bezecny — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +16° · 175 ft Alex Rangi — single · EV 82 mph · LA +22° · 190 ft Shawn Twedtov — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +28° · 325 ft Joey Chappell — double · EV 111 mph · LA +19° · 297 ft Charles Allen — single · EV 97 mph · LA -16° · 93 ft Karthik Sastry — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -7° · 68 ft Andrea Azzopardi — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +14° · 138 ft Lev Bardina — double · EV 109 mph · LA +36° · 456 ft Alex Rangi — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +25° · 338 ft Vadim Fomin — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 210 ft Charles Allen — single · EV 105 mph · LA +6° · 100 ft Shawn Twedtov — single · EV 83 mph · LA -10° · 79 ft Karthik Sastry — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -5° · 86 ft Ronald Bezecny — double · EV 98 mph · LA +11° · 142 ft
Maracay Auto Body — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
358' 441' 319' Wall 17' Hyun-soo Bae — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 200 ft Brad Behich — single · EV 85 mph · LA -13° · 81 ft Dudley Stewart — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Hayato Shibasaki — single · EV 95 mph · LA +16° · 188 ft Hyon-min Sun — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 104 ft Shozo Fukui — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +20° · 254 ft Taufik Syed — single · EV 67 mph · LA +16° · 97 ft Wahyu Sulaeman — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +2° · 79 ft Ki-su An — single · EV 80 mph · LA -2° · 76 ft Hyun-soo Bae — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 224 ft Semyon Grebenyuk — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA -11° · 58 ft Tsukasa Ishizu — fielders_choice · EV 58 mph · LA -8° · 55 ft Hyon-min Sun — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA +2° · 51 ft Hayato Shibasaki — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +11° · 83 ft Brad Behich — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 203 ft Dudley Stewart — single · EV 92 mph · LA -14° · 87 ft Tsukasa Ishizu — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -20° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Esso BK
86% deserve-to-win  ·  14.1 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -5.1 vs expected
contact: 21.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-9.5 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alex Rangi 105 / +25° Center Out 2.1 → 0 -2.07
Charles Allen 112 / +18° Oppo Out 1.7 → 0 -1.72
Lev Bardina 109 / +36° Center Double 3.4 → 2 -1.45
Alex Rangi 95 / +21° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.31
Shawn Twedtov 98 / +28° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Maracay Auto Body
14% deserve-to-win  ·  5.6 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 9.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-1.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Brad Behich 100 / +15° Pull Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.76
Shozo Fukui 99 / +20° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.31
Hyun-soo Bae 92 / +20° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Brad Behich 85 / -13° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.65
Ki-su An 80 / -2° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →