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Auckland Tailors 22, Melbourne Baseball Club 4               2046-04-20 · #914
at Siadi Grounds
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Auckland               22      0   22   16    1
Melbourne               4      0    4    7    0

AUCKLAND TAILORS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Evert       ss ......    2   4   2   2   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Möttölä     rf ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
Petratos    2b ......    2   4   2   1   0   1   4   2   0   0   0  1.000
Vicelich    1b ......    4   2   3   2   0   0   6   1   1   1   0  0.750
Dellavedova lf ......    5   2   3   2   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.600
Young       3b ......    5   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   3   0   0  0.200
White       cf ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Rangi       c  ......    4   3   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.250
Sears       p  ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.250
Reath       j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Rivera      j  ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  36  22  16   9   0   1  21  12  10   1   0  0.444
  2B: Evert 2 (3), Petratos (6), Vicelich 2 (4), Dellavedova 2 (4), Young (4), Reath (8).
  HR: Petratos (1), off Wilson.
  SB: White (5), Rangi (1), Rivera (7).
  CS: White (5).
  E: Reath (2).


MELBOURNE BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mabil       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Bhardwaj    2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Smeltz      lf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Davidson    p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Brondel nf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Rios    cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Bogaert rf ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Tolo    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Lopez   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Irvine  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
King        j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Gurriel     j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0  0.000
Talbot      j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Totals                  30   4   7   1   0   0   3   2   7   1   0  0.233
  2B: Rios (2).
  CS: Brondello (1).
  HBP: Brondello 2 (2).
  GIDP: Mabil (2), Gurriel (1).
  a-Entered at NF in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at RF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  e-Grounded out for Bogaerts in the 8th.
  f-Entered at C in the 7th.

AUCKLAND TAILORS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Sears (W, 1-0) ......    19   14  52%    6    2    2    1    5    0   78    -
Adams (F, 13) .......    14   13  48%    1    2    2    1    2    0   47  2-2

MELBOURNE BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Davidson ............    13    8  30%    4    4    4    3    5    0   56    -
Wilson ..............     4    1   4%    2    3    2    1    0    1   11  1-1
Bosch (L, 0-1) ......     8    2   7%    3    7    7    4    0    0   37  2-2
Brown ...............    11    5  19%    4    6    6    3    0    0   36  1-1
Burgess .............    13   11  41%    3    2    2    1    6    0   48  1-0

  Batting order: Melbourne Baseball Club (home) batted second; Auckland Tailors batted first.
  Seconds: AT o26 (22-0), MBC o25 (4-22).
  First pitch 6:30 PM VLAT. Weather: 85°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 212755.
  Powerplays: Melbourne Baseball Club — Brondello NF (O1)
  Walk-Back runs: off Wilson 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Martin White Richard Evert (3B) 1–0
T 7 Richard Evert Shea Rangi (3B) 2–0
T 7 Richard Evert Joe Rivera (3B) 3–0
T 7 Richard Evert Brendan Sears (2B) 4–0
T 8 Brendon Petratos Richard Evert (2B) 5–0
T 8 Brendon Petratos Brendon Petratos (HR) 6–0
T 8 Liam Dellavedova Brendon Petratos (3B) 7–0
T 9 Shea Rangi Hira Vicelich (3B) 8–0
T 9 Brendan Sears Martin White (2B) 9–0
T 10 Jorma Möttölä Liam Dellavedova (3B) 10–0
T 10 Brendon Petratos Shea Rangi (3B) 11–0
T 10 Hira Vicelich Richard Evert (3B) 12–0
T 10 Hira Vicelich Jorma Möttölä (3B) 13–0
T 10 Hira Vicelich Brendon Petratos (2B) 14–0
T 10 Alex Young Hira Vicelich (3B) 15–0
T 10 Alex Young Liam Dellavedova (2B) 16–0
T 15 Brendon Petratos Joe Rivera (3B) 17–0
T 15 Hira Vicelich Richard Evert (3B) 18–0
T 15 Hira Vicelich Jorma Möttölä (2B) 19–0
T 15 Hira Vicelich Brendon Petratos (1B) 20–0
T 21 Martin White Brendan Sears (2B) 21–0
T 22 Liam Dellavedova Shea Rangi (3B) 22–0
B 8 Rafael Rios Finn Smeltz (3B) 22–1
B 9 Pat King Dario Davidson (2B) 22–2
B 12 Ryan Tolo Yunieski Gurriel (3B) 22–3
B 12 Ryan Tolo Hilton Talbot (3B) 22–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Siadi Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 386' · CF 415' · RF 378' · 13' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Trolley Shed Round Bowl
Auckland Tailors — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 6 1B · 9 XBH · 1 HR
386' 415' 378' Brendon Petratos — double · EV 88 mph · LA +48° · 309 ft Martin White — single · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Shea Rangi — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA -8° · 75 ft Richard Evert — double · EV 97 mph · LA +21° · 253 ft Brendan Sears — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 82 ft Jorma Möttölä — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +14° · 168 ft Brendon Petratos — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +32° · 418 ft Liam Dellavedova — single · EV 89 mph · LA +7° · 84 ft Shea Rangi — single · EV 82 mph · LA +36° · 256 ft Hira Vicelich — single · EV 81 mph · LA +8° · 74 ft Martin White — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -4° · 78 ft Bruno Reath — line_out · EV 107 mph · LA +15° · 226 ft Richard Evert — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 286 ft Hira Vicelich — double · EV 106 mph · LA +32° · 406 ft Liam Dellavedova — double · EV 105 mph · LA +22° · 305 ft Alex Young — double · EV 106 mph · LA +14° · 216 ft Shea Rangi — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +51° · 264 ft Hira Vicelich — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 212 ft Martin White — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -9° · 60 ft Brendan Sears — single · EV 96 mph · LA +16° · 196 ft Jorma Möttölä — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +31° · 363 ft Bruno Reath — double · EV 98 mph · LA +16° · 208 ft Martin White — single · EV 80 mph · LA +15° · 129 ft Hira Vicelich — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA -7° · 58 ft Liam Dellavedova — double · EV 94 mph · LA +38° · 340 ft
Melbourne Baseball Club — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 6 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
386' 415' 378' Pat King — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Didi Bogaerts — single · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Yunieski Gurriel — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Finn Smeltz — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Brad Irvine — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -9° · 49 ft Rafael Rios — double · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 313 ft Dario Davidson — fielders_choice · EV 93 mph · LA -10° · 88 ft Josh Lopez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft Didi Bogaerts — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 92 ft Pat King — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 73 ft Yunieski Gurriel — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Hilton Talbot — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 168 ft Ryan Tolo — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Finn Smeltz — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 91 ft Garang Mabil — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -14° · 49 ft Yunieski Gurriel — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft Pat King — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 313 ft Yunieski Gurriel — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Ryan Tolo — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -6° · 56 ft Finn Smeltz — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Brad Irvine — error · EV 55 mph · LA +20° · 78 ft Anant Bhardwaj — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Auckland Tailors
95% deserve-to-win  ·  18.9 expected runs
actual 22 runs  ·  +3.1 vs expected
contact: 25.5 est bases + 12 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 28.0 (+2.5 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bruno Reath 107 / +15° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.41
Jorma Möttölä 102 / +31° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Hira Vicelich 106 / +32° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.01
Brendon Petratos 108 / +32° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.99
Liam Dellavedova 94 / +38° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Melbourne Baseball Club
5% deserve-to-win  ·  4.4 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -0.4 vs expected
contact: 9.1 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-1.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Pat King 92 / +34° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Rafael Rios 92 / +34° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Didi Bogaerts 76 / -11° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Pat King 76 / +7° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Brad Irvine 55 / +20° Center Reached on Error 0.5 → 0 -0.52
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