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Osijek Moose 23, Split BK 7                                  2046-04-20 · #898
at Granite Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Split                   7    7    9    0
Osijek                 23   23   18    0

SPLIT BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Honka       lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kunieda     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Klose       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Seppälä cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Bautist cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  c-Clardy  lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Franssi 2b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  e-Pohjanp lf ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
  f-Wagner  nf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Honkane ph ......    2   2   2   1   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Eronen  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Franssi     j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Franssi     j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Pikkujämsä  j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32   7   9   4   0   1   7   1   8   0   0  0.281
  2B: Franssi (1), Pohjanpalo (6), Franssi (12), Honkanen (4).
  HR: Honkanen (2), off Arajuuri.
  CS: Franssi (3).
  a-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  c-Entered at LF in the 4th.
  d-Entered at 2B in the 5th.
  e-Entered at LF in the 5th.
  f-Entered at NF in the 7th.
  g-Batted for Wagner in the 7th.
  h-Ran for Pohjanpalo in the 9th.

OSIJEK MOOSE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ojala       ss ......    3   5   1   0   0   1   1   3   1   0   0  0.333
Chigumbu    lf ......    6   3   3   2   0   1   9   0   1   0   0  0.500
Leppänen    rf ......    5   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.400
Engman      cf ......    3   3   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Figueroa    1b ......    5   2   3   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.600
Nieminen    3b ......    5   3   4   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.800
Hahnemann   c  ......    4   3   1   1   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.250
Arajuuri    p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Struthe pr ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Tah         2b ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
Totals                  40  23  18   6   1   3  22   5  13   0   0  0.450
  2B: Chigumbu 2 (11), Leppänen (14), Nieminen (2), Hahnemann (5), Struthers (3).
  3B: Engman (2).
  HR: Ojala (3), off Becker; Chigumbu (7), off Can; Arajuuri (4), off Klose.
  SB: Hahnemann 2 (2).
  HBP: Engman 2 (2).
  a-Ran for Arajuuri in the 5th.

SPLIT BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Klose ...............     8    5  19%    3    3    3    0    4    1   33    -
Can .................    12    9  33%    2    4    4    2    5    1   49  1-0
Kovač ...............     9    5  19%    2    4    3    2    1    0   35  1-1
Paulsen (L, 1-2) ....     9    3  11%    5    6    6    1    2    0   38  1-1
Lynch ...............     6    2   7%    4    4    4    0    0    0   20  1-1
Becker ..............     3    3  11%    2    2    1    0    1    1   15  1-0

OSIJEK MOOSE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Arajuuri (W, 5-0) ...    33   27 100%    9    7    6    1    8    1  127    -

  Batting order: Osijek Moose (home) batted first; Split BK batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 83°F · Wind in · Clear. seed 128825.
  Powerplays: Split BK — Wagner NF (O13), Honkanen NF
  Walk-Back runs: off Kovač 1, off Becker 1, off Arajuuri 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Niilo Nieminen Ismo Engman (2B) 0–1
B 5 Ville Arajuuri Niilo Nieminen (1B) 0–2
B 5 Ville Arajuuri Ville Arajuuri (HR) 0–3
B 14 Tawanda Chigumbu Kadarius Hahnemann (3B) 0–4
B 14 Tawanda Chigumbu Zan Struthers (2B) 0–5
B 14 Tawanda Chigumbu Ismo Ojala (1B) 0–6
B 14 Tawanda Chigumbu Tawanda Chigumbu (HR) 0–7
B 15 Zane Figueroa Tawanda Chigumbu (3B) 0–8
B 15 Niilo Nieminen Ismo Engman (2B) 0–9
B 15 Zan Struthers Zane Figueroa (3B) 0–10
B 18 Tawanda Chigumbu Kadarius Hahnemann (3B) 0–11
B 20 Ismo Engman Ismo Ojala (1B) 0–12
B 20 Zane Figueroa Ismo Engman (3B) 0–13
B 21 Zan Struthers Zane Figueroa (2B) 0–14
B 22 Tawanda Chigumbu Niilo Nieminen (3B) 0–15
B 22 Tawanda Chigumbu Zan Struthers (2B) 0–16
B 22 Tawanda Chigumbu Ismo Ojala (1B) 0–17
B 22 Eero Leppänen Tawanda Chigumbu (2B) 0–18
B 24 Niilo Nieminen Eero Leppänen (2B) 0–19
B 24 Kadarius Hahnemann Niilo Nieminen (2B) 0–20
B 24 Zan Struthers Kadarius Hahnemann (2B) 0–21
B 26 Ismo Ojala Ismo Ojala (HR) 0–22
B 26 Tawanda Chigumbu Ismo Ojala (3B) 0–23
T 6 Eemil Franssi Henrik Honka (3B) 1–23
T 18 Hanno Honkanen Tony Bautista (3B) 2–23
T 18 Hanno Honkanen Eemil Franssi (1B) 3–23
T 25 Hanno Honkanen Vilho Franssi (3B) 4–23
T 25 Hanno Honkanen Sasu Eronen (1B) 5–23
T 25 Hanno Honkanen Hanno Honkanen (HR) 6–23
T 26 Markku Pikkujämsä Hanno Honkanen (3B) 7–23
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Granite Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 330' · CF 421' · RF 332' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Scoreboard Clock
Split BK — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 4 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
330' 421' 332' Henrik Honka — single · EV 108 mph · LA +24° · 343 ft Vilho Franssi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 70 ft Tony Bautista — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Henrik Franssi — double · EV 83 mph · LA +30° · 237 ft Eemil Franssi — single · EV 74 mph · LA +4° · 70 ft Manuel Wagner — line_out · EV 102 mph · LA +23° · 298 ft Hanno Honkanen — double · EV 101 mph · LA +37° · 394 ft Henrik Honka — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +27° · 213 ft Tim Seppälä — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +27° · 195 ft Vilho Franssi — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -6° · 50 ft Tony Bautista — single · EV 87 mph · LA -7° · 83 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — double · EV 98 mph · LA +30° · 333 ft Henrik Franssi — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -14° · 62 ft Antonio Klose — fielders_choice · EV 55 mph · LA -17° · 53 ft Hanno Honkanen — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +49° · 427 ft Vilho Franssi — double · EV 97 mph · LA +41° · 376 ft Wayne Clardy — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +10° · 75 ft Tony Bautista — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +38° · 271 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — single · EV 79 mph · LA +12° · 101 ft Markku Pikkujämsä — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 222 ft
Osijek Moose — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 8 1B · 7 XBH · 3 HR
330' 421' 332' Zane Figueroa — single · EV 75 mph · LA -16° · 71 ft Niilo Nieminen — single · EV 110 mph · LA +16° · 252 ft Ville Arajuuri — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +32° · 457 ft Zan Struthers — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -2° · 82 ft Ismo Ojala — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +46° · 347 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +37° · 297 ft Eero Leppänen — single · EV 88 mph · LA -6° · 84 ft Kadarius Hahnemann — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA -9° · 75 ft Ismo Engman — triple · EV 119 mph · LA +10° · 194 ft Zan Struthers — single · EV 91 mph · LA +11° · 124 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Zane Figueroa — single · EV 112 mph · LA +27° · 404 ft Niilo Nieminen — single · EV 99 mph · LA +27° · 321 ft Manfred Tah — fly_out · EV 113 mph · LA +14° · 248 ft Zan Struthers — double · EV 107 mph · LA +14° · 209 ft Ismo Ojala — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +30° · 480 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +42° · 378 ft Eero Leppänen — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +29° · 268 ft Zane Figueroa — single · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 145 ft Niilo Nieminen — single · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 372 ft Kadarius Hahnemann — double · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 380 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — double · EV 113 mph · LA +15° · 256 ft Eero Leppänen — double · EV 109 mph · LA +12° · 198 ft Zane Figueroa — line_out · EV 97 mph · LA +16° · 194 ft Niilo Nieminen — double · EV 99 mph · LA +26° · 305 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — double · EV 109 mph · LA +21° · 321 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Split BK
6% deserve-to-win  ·  5.3 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +1.7 vs expected
contact: 14.5 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+1.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hanno Honkanen 104 / +49° Oppo Home Run 0.9 → 4 +3.06
Henrik Franssi 83 / +30° Pull Double 0.4 → 2 +1.61
Manuel Wagner 102 / +23° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Veikko Pohjanpalo 98 / +30° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
Eemil Franssi 74 / +4° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Osijek Moose
94% deserve-to-win  ·  20.9 expected runs
actual 23 runs  ·  +2.1 vs expected
contact: 38.6 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 35.0 (-3.6 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tawanda Chigumbu 98 / +42° Center Out 2.0 → 0 -1.96
Manfred Tah 113 / +14° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Ismo Engman 119 / +10° Oppo Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.47
Zane Figueroa 112 / +27° Pull Single 2.4 → 1 -1.37
Ismo Ojala 93 / +46° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
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