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New York Baseball Club 14, Smirnykh Storms 5                 2046-04-20 · #891
at Hyyrynen Park
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                        1      2    R    H    E
New York               14      0   14   12    1
Smirnykh                5      0    5   10    0

NEW YORK BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Paret       ss ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Vrolijk     cf ......    4   3   3   3   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.750
Nye         lf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Gilleaudeau 2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Guerrero    3b ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   5   0   1   0   0  0.667
Kitler      rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Nuveman-Den c  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   3   0   0  0.250
Nachand     1b ......    3   1   2   0   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Wittenberg  p  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Eldredge    j  ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Moffi       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34  14  12   9   1   0  13   4  11   0   0  0.353
  2B: Paret (4), Vrolijk 3 (4), Nye (3), Guerrero 2 (2), Nuveman-Deniz (6), Wittenberg (1).
  3B: Nachand (1).
  SB: Nye (2).
  CS: Wittenberg 2 (2).
  E: Kitler (1).
  HBP: Paret (2), Moffi (1), Guerrero (1).
  GIDP: Moffi (2).


SMIRNYKH STORMS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ionov       2b ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Mykolenko   3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Vatutin     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Vatutin     cf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Su          c  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Reyngold    rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Jonesov ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Simakin     1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Pervak      ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Chuang      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Amini       j  ......    2   2   2   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Gormanov    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  29   5  10   3   0   1   5   2   8   0   1  0.345
  2B: Jonesov (2), Ionov (2), Su (4).
  HR: Amini (2), off Wittenberg.
  a-Doubled for Reyngold in the 8th.

NEW YORK BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Wittenberg (W, 2-1) .    31   27 100%   10    5    3    2    8    1  100    -

SMIRNYKH STORMS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Chuang ..............     6    3  11%    2    2    2    1    3    0   21    -
Ozdoyev (L, 0-4) ....    14    9  33%    2    5    5    2    5    0   53  1-1
Pridankina ..........    14   10  37%    5    4    4    0    2    0   51  1-1
Marfutina ...........     8    5  19%    3    3    3    1    2    0   30  1-1

  Batting order: Smirnykh Storms (home) batted second; New York Baseball Club batted first.
  Seconds: NYB o25 (14-0), SS1 o26 (5-14).
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 56°F · Wind in · Clear · Humid. seed 471354.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Glenn Nye Victor Paret (2B) 1–0
T 1 Glenn Nye Murphy Eldredge (1B) 2–0
T 4 Norm Nuveman-Deniz Glenn Nye (3B) 3–0
T 8 Glenn Vrolijk Victor Paret (1B) 4–0
T 10 Hanley Guerrero Glenn Vrolijk (3B) 5–0
T 10 Hanley Guerrero Glenn Nye (2B) 6–0
T 10 Hanley Guerrero Murphy Eldredge (1B) 7–0
T 12 Lyrick Nachand Hanley Guerrero (2B) 8–0
T 20 Norm Nuveman-Deniz Glenn Vrolijk (2B) 9–0
T 20 Norm Nuveman-Deniz Hanley Guerrero (1B) 10–0
T 20 Lyrick Nachand Norm Nuveman-Deniz (2B) 11–0
T 20 Hal Wittenberg Lyrick Nachand (3B) 12–0
T 25 Hanley Guerrero Glenn Vrolijk (2B) 13–0
T 25 Hanley Guerrero Clark Gilleaudeau (1B) 14–0
B 10 Valery Ionov Ruslan Simakin (2B) 14–1
B 13 Tommy Amini Terrance Gormanov (1B) 14–2
B 13 Tommy Amini Tommy Amini (HR) 14–3
B 17 Valery Ionov Yuri Vatutin (3B) 14–4
B 24 Jan-michael Jonesov Tommy Amini (3B) 14–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Hyyrynen Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 307' · CF 355' · RF 279' · 48' wall). The Bandbox.
Wire Basket
New York Baseball Club — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 2 1B · 10 XBH · 0 HR
307' 355' 279' Wall 48' Victor Paret — double · EV 96 mph · LA +23° · 262 ft Glenn Nye — double · EV 99 mph · LA +12° · 162 ft Clark Gilleaudeau — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +14° · 99 ft Lyrick Nachand — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +4° · 75 ft Hal Wittenberg — ground_out · EV 110 mph · LA +3° · 104 ft Murphy Eldredge — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA -1° · 92 ft Victor Paret — fielders_choice · EV 74 mph · LA -2° · 70 ft Glenn Vrolijk — double · EV 96 mph · LA +18° · 216 ft Hanley Guerrero — double · EV 86 mph · LA +32° · 265 ft Lyrick Nachand — single · EV 85 mph · LA +1° · 80 ft Hal Wittenberg — single · EV 84 mph · LA +4° · 80 ft Baboucarr Moffi — double_play · EV 74 mph · LA -13° · 70 ft Glenn Nye — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +13° · 113 ft Glenn Vrolijk — double · EV 96 mph · LA +34° · 345 ft Norm Nuveman-Deniz — double · EV 94 mph · LA +33° · 322 ft Lyrick Nachand — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 214 ft Hal Wittenberg — double · EV 95 mph · LA +12° · 153 ft Hanley Guerrero — double · EV 95 mph · LA +19° · 219 ft Glenn Vrolijk — double · EV 103 mph · LA +43° · 424 ft
Smirnykh Storms — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
307' 355' 279' Wall 48' Valery Ionov — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +7° · 90 ft Andriy Mykolenko — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +32° · 346 ft Terrance Gormanov — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -4° · 89 ft Tommy Amini — single · EV 83 mph · LA +5° · 79 ft Yuri Vatutin — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 147 ft Jianhua Su — double · EV 102 mph · LA +26° · 327 ft Ruslan Simakin — single · EV 65 mph · LA -21° · 62 ft Chien-ming Chuang — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 81 ft Jan-michael Jonesov — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 219 ft Valery Ionov — double · EV 87 mph · LA +45° · 305 ft Andriy Mykolenko — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 303 ft Terrance Gormanov — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Tommy Amini — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +43° · 467 ft Yuri Vatutin — error · EV 86 mph · LA +16° · 151 ft Jianhua Su — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 309 ft Grigori Reyngold — infield_single · EV 67 mph · LA -12° · 64 ft Yuri Pervak — single · EV 53 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Valery Ionov — single · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 102 ft Terrance Gormanov — fielders_choice · EV 72 mph · LA -6° · 68 ft Yuri Vatutin — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +43° · 291 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
New York Baseball Club
59% deserve-to-win  ·  10.0 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +4.0 vs expected
contact: 16.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 23.0 (+6.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Lyrick Nachand 100 / +16° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.69
Hanley Guerrero 86 / +32° Oppo Double 0.5 → 2 +1.47
Norm Nuveman-Deniz 94 / +33° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Hanley Guerrero 95 / +19° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Glenn Nye 99 / +12° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Smirnykh Storms
41% deserve-to-win  ·  8.4 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -3.4 vs expected
contact: 16.2 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (-0.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Andriy Mykolenko 98 / +32° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Valery Ionov 87 / +45° Center Double 0.6 → 2 +1.37
Jianhua Su 92 / +33° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Jan-michael Jonesov 92 / +20° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Yuri Vatutin 88 / +14° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
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