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Matanzas Tornados 16, Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths 14      2046-04-19 · #867
at The Funnel
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                        1    R    H    E
Matanzas               16   16   15    0
Cienfuegos             14   14   13    1

MATANZAS TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Castillo    3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Núñez       ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Schmidt pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bareiro     rf ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Falcao      2b ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Suero       lf ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Liriano     1b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Renner      cf ......    3   2   3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Smit    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Feliz       p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Coelho  c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Park        j  ......    2   3   2   1   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mendes      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  28  16  15   3   0   1  15   4   2   0   0  0.536
  2B: Park (8), Suero (14), Liriano (8).
  HR: Park (3), off Lacasse.
  SB: Suero (4), Liriano (5).
  CS: Suero (4).
  HBP: Mendes (2).
  a-Ran for Núñez in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Renner in the 6th.
  c-Entered at C in the 7th.

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Yamamoto-Si lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Severin pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Freitas     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Encarnación c  ......    2   3   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Fazio       ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Arce    pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Firmino     2b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Flores  pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Rosas   ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.333
  e-Coronad ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Carusa  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Pérez   ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  h-Akiyama pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  i-Zanetti ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  j-Borges  pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Anderson    j  ......    2   2   2   1   0   1   1   2   0   0   0  1.000
Rodríguez   j  ......    4   1   1   0   1   0   4   0   1   0   0  0.250
Valencia    j  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34  14  13   5   1   2  14   6   9   0   0  0.382
  2B: Anderson (6), Rosas (5), Firmino (2), Pérez (1), Zanetti (1).
  3B: Rodríguez (1).
  HR: Anderson (2), off Neto; Encarnación (3), off Neto.
  SB: Arce (6).
  CS: Flores (1).
  E: Rodríguez (1).
  GIDP: Rodríguez (1).
  a-Ran for Yamamoto-Silva in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Fazio in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Firmino in the 3rd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Walked in the 3rd.
  g-Batted in the 3rd.
  h-Ran for Carusa in the 3rd.
  i-Doubled for Rodríguez in the 4th.
  j-Ran for Zanetti in the 4th.

MATANZAS TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Feliz ...............     9    8  30%    1    1    1    2    0    0   29    -
García ..............    11    3  11%    5    7    7    3    3    0   40    -
Neto (W, 2-1) .......    15   12  44%    5    5    4    1    6    2   56  1-1
Kobayashi-Ferreira ..     5    4  15%    2    1    1    0    0    0   11  1-0

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tatís ...............    12    7  26%    5    3    3    0    1    0   38    -
Suero ...............    10    5  19%    4    4    3    3    1    0   37  2-1
Lacasse (L, 0-1) ....     4    2   7%    2    6    5    1    0    1    9  3-3
Pirelli .............     7    2   7%    4    3    3    0    0    0   22    -

  Batting order: Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths (home) batted first; Matanzas Tornados batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 177098.
  Walk-Back runs: off Neto 1, off Lacasse 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 James Coronado Carlos Arce (3B) 0–1
B 9 Juan Rodríguez Daniel Flores (3B) 0–2
B 9 Juan Rodríguez Bruno Akiyama (2B) 0–3
B 9 Juan Rodríguez Rory Anderson (1B) 0–4
B 10 Luca Zanetti Juan Rodríguez (3B) 0–5
B 11 Cesar Rosas Sérgio Borges (3B) 0–6
B 11 Cesar Rosas Yefri Encarnación (2B) 0–7
B 11 Cesar Rosas Carlos Arce (1B) 0–8
B 12 Bruno Akiyama Cesar Rosas (2B) 0–9
B 15 Rory Anderson Rory Anderson (HR) 0–10
B 19 Yefri Encarnación Sérgio Borges (1B) 0–11
B 19 Yefri Encarnación Yefri Encarnación (HR) 0–12
B 21 James Coronado Yefri Encarnación (3B) 0–13
B 24 Juan Rodríguez Welington Pérez (3B) 0–14
T 5 Andy Falcao Cesar Bareiro (2B) 1–14
T 6 Andrés Paniagua Chris Renner (3B) 2–14
T 7 Andrés Feliz Andy Falcao (3B) 3–14
T 9 Tony Castillo Ji-sung Park (3B) 4–14
T 10 James Liriano Rodrigo Coelho (3B) 5–14
T 12 Andy Falcao James Liriano (3B) 6–14
T 12 Andrés Paniagua Karl-Anthony Núñez (3B) 7–14
T 12 Ji-sung Park Chris Renner (3B) 8–14
T 12 Ji-sung Park Andy Falcao (2B) 9–14
T 12 Ji-sung Park Andrés Paniagua (1B) 10–14
T 12 Ji-sung Park Ji-sung Park (HR) 11–14
T 12 Vladimir Suero Ji-sung Park (3B) 12–14
T 12 Vladimir Suero Andrés Feliz (1B) 13–14
T 16 Luís Mendes Cesar Bareiro (3B) 14–14
T 16 Andrés Paniagua Marcelo Schmidt (3B) 15–14
T 16 Andrés Paniagua Nicolaas Smit (2B) 16–14
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Funnel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 418' · RF 348' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Ivy Wall
Matanzas Tornados — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 11 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
346' 418' 348' Rodrigo Coelho — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA +5° · 67 ft Cesar Bareiro — single · EV 79 mph · LA +17° · 137 ft Karl-Anthony Núñez — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +51° · 279 ft Chris Renner — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 184 ft Andy Falcao — single · EV 84 mph · LA +19° · 179 ft Luís Mendes — line_out · EV 72 mph · LA +12° · 87 ft Ji-sung Park — double · EV 97 mph · LA +16° · 196 ft Andrés Feliz — single · EV 81 mph · LA +8° · 75 ft Vladimir Suero — single · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Tony Castillo — single · EV 86 mph · LA +15° · 146 ft James Liriano — double · EV 107 mph · LA +14° · 207 ft Chris Renner — single · EV 73 mph · LA +20° · 139 ft Andrés Paniagua — error · EV 88 mph · LA -2° · 84 ft Ji-sung Park — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +30° · 390 ft Rodrigo Coelho — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA +4° · 60 ft Karl-Anthony Núñez — single · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 87 ft Vladimir Suero — double · EV 98 mph · LA +33° · 349 ft Tony Castillo — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +30° · 323 ft Cesar Bareiro — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 146 ft Chris Renner — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 129 ft Andrés Paniagua — single · EV 101 mph · LA +22° · 279 ft
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 5 1B · 6 XBH · 2 HR
346' 418' 348' Kenji Yamamoto-Silva — single · EV 85 mph · LA +24° · 214 ft Caio Freitas — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +40° · 230 ft Juan Rodríguez — double_play · EV 84 mph · LA -14° · 80 ft Moisés Valencia — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +21° · 183 ft Yefri Encarnación — fly_out · EV 106 mph · LA +56° · 413 ft Cesar Rosas — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -2° · 71 ft James Coronado — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -8° · 74 ft Otávio Firmino — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 152 ft Luca Zanetti — double · EV 103 mph · LA +13° · 189 ft Carlos Arce — single · EV 93 mph · LA +10° · 125 ft Bruno Akiyama — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +1° · 84 ft Rory Anderson — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +33° · 411 ft Sérgio Borges — single · EV 72 mph · LA +19° · 131 ft Daniel Flores — single · EV 92 mph · LA -19° · 87 ft Juan Rodríguez — triple · EV 111 mph · LA +14° · 232 ft Cesar Rosas — double · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 129 ft Welington Pérez — fly_out · EV 72 mph · LA +27° · 168 ft Yefri Encarnación — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +33° · 455 ft Bruno Akiyama — single · EV 81 mph · LA +2° · 77 ft Rory Anderson — double · EV 108 mph · LA +22° · 323 ft Sérgio Borges — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -6° · 82 ft James Coronado — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +37° · 318 ft Welington Pérez — double · EV 105 mph · LA +18° · 259 ft Juan Rodríguez — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +29° · 242 ft Moisés Valencia — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 213 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Matanzas Tornados
43% deserve-to-win  ·  11.5 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +4.5 vs expected
contact: 17.7 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (+3.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ji-sung Park 106 / +30° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.93
Tony Castillo 97 / +30° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Ji-sung Park 97 / +16° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
James Liriano 107 / +14° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.59
Vladimir Suero 88 / +3° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths
57% deserve-to-win  ·  13.3 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 22.6 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 26.0 (+3.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Juan Rodríguez 111 / +14° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.59
Yefri Encarnación 106 / +56° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Otávio Firmino 92 / +13° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Cesar Rosas 88 / +12° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
James Coronado 91 / +37° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
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