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Hermosillo BC 9, Thessaloniki Police 8                       2046-04-19 · #853
at Iron Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Hermosillo              9    9    8    1
Thessaloniki            8    8    9    0

HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gallatin    3b ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sharipov    2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Kretsch ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lannoy      lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Cota        rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
Jung        c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Watling     1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Probst      ss ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Palfrey     p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Tang    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  13   9   8   3   0   0   7   4   1   0   1  0.615
  2B: Gallatin (5), Jung (13), Kretschman (6).
  E: Gallatin (2).
  HBP: Gallatin (1).
  a-Doubled for Sharipov in the 4th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.

THESSALONIKI POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Levering    ss ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Stanton     c  ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cure        lf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
  a-Marte   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bautista    2b ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Langenf ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Gourriel    rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Alarcón     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Carlson     cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Chu         1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Coronado    p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  c-Brawley ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Watley      j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Santiago    j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Suero       j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  31   8   9   3   0   0   6   2   7   0   1  0.290
  2B: Levering (11), Bautista (6), Santiago (5).
  CS: Levering (1), Langenfeld (1).
  HBP: Stanton (3).
  a-Ran for Cure in the 6th.
  b-Walked for Bautista in the 6th.
  c-Batted for Coronado in the 6th.

HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Palfrey (W, 4-1) ....    26   18  67%    9    7    7    2    3    0   85    -
Ivan ................     8    9  33%    0    1    1    0    4    0   34  2-1

THESSALONIKI POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Coronado (L, 3-1) ...    17    9  33%    7    7    7    4    1    0   60    -
Matsui ..............     1    0   0%    1    2    2    0    0    0    3  2-2

  Batting order: Thessaloniki Police (home) batted first; Hermosillo BC batted second.
  First pitch 7:10 PM. Weather: 80°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 647482.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Ángel Bautista Roger Stanton (1B) 0–1
B 8 Nicholas Santiago Russell Watley (2B) 0–2
B 10 Ángel Bautista Nicholas Santiago (3B) 0–3
B 10 Kendrys Gourriel Tristan Cure (2B) 0–4
B 15 Dave Brawley Ángel Bautista (3B) 0–5
B 17 Anthony Langenfeld Hanley Suero (3B) 0–6
B 17 Kendrys Gourriel Roger Stanton (3B) 0–7
B 24 Roger Stanton Dagoberto Marte (3B) 0–8
T 5 Lawson Palfrey Stefan Cota (3B) 1–8
T 5 Dong-hyun Jung Quincy Probst (3B) 2–8
T 5 Fernando de Lannoy Troy Gallatin (3B) 3–8
T 6 Tom Watling Dong-hyun Jung (3B) 4–8
T 9 Troy Gallatin Fernando de Lannoy (3B) 5–8
T 9 Logan Kretschman Quincy Probst (3B) 6–8
T 9 Logan Kretschman Troy Gallatin (2B) 7–8
T 9 Dong-hyun Jung Logan Kretschman (3B) 8–8
T 9 Dong-hyun Jung Lawson Palfrey (1B) 9–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Iron Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 370' · CF 477' · RF 365' · 11' wall). Cavernous.
Crow's Nest Death Valley The Crater
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
370' 477' 365' Dong-hyun Jung — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +40° · 251 ft Fernando de Lannoy — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +29° · 237 ft Tom Watling — single · EV 71 mph · LA +12° · 82 ft Stefan Cota — single · EV 84 mph · LA +18° · 166 ft Wenhao Tang — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +23° · 200 ft Quincy Probst — single · EV 77 mph · LA +16° · 127 ft Troy Gallatin — double · EV 100 mph · LA +42° · 397 ft Logan Kretschman — double · EV 96 mph · LA +25° · 284 ft Lawson Palfrey — single · EV 83 mph · LA +22° · 192 ft Fernando de Lannoy — single · EV 83 mph · LA +7° · 79 ft Tom Watling — fly_out · EV 73 mph · LA +30° · 186 ft Dong-hyun Jung — double · EV 104 mph · LA +14° · 208 ft
Thessaloniki Police — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
370' 477' 365' Jacob Levering — double · EV 96 mph · LA +38° · 354 ft Roger Stanton — error · EV 87 mph · LA +7° · 83 ft Tristan Cure — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +16° · 197 ft Ángel Bautista — double · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 280 ft Do-hyun Chu — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +8° · 65 ft Russell Watley — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Nicholas Santiago — double · EV 100 mph · LA +42° · 396 ft Hanley Suero — single · EV 90 mph · LA +20° · 209 ft Dave Brawley — single · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 182 ft Roger Stanton — fly_out · EV 67 mph · LA +58° · 162 ft Tristan Cure — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 188 ft Ángel Bautista — single · EV 109 mph · LA +13° · 212 ft Kendrys Gourriel — single · EV 105 mph · LA +11° · 163 ft Isaac Carlson — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +35° · 295 ft Do-hyun Chu — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +12° · 98 ft Jacob Levering — line_out · EV 97 mph · LA +24° · 282 ft Tristan Cure — single · EV 91 mph · LA +16° · 177 ft Roger Stanton — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +40° · 314 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Hermosillo BC
56% deserve-to-win  ·  8.3 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 8.8 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+2.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Logan Kretschman 96 / +25° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
Dong-hyun Jung 104 / +14° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Wenhao Tang 83 / +23° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.72
Fernando de Lannoy 83 / +7° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.60
Tom Watling 71 / +12° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
Thessaloniki Police
44% deserve-to-win  ·  7.4 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 17.1 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-5.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tristan Cure 95 / +16° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.31
Ángel Bautista 92 / +28° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Jacob Levering 97 / +24° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Isaac Carlson 89 / +35° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Roger Stanton 89 / +40° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
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