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Khovd Police 18, Kaechon Tornados 16                         2046-04-19 · #850
at Khovd Park
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Kaechon                16      0   16   14    0
Khovd                  18      0   18   17    0

KAECHON TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chapman     cf ......    5   5   3   0   1   2   3   0   0   0   0  0.600
Kallman     rf ......    4   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.250
Kamara      lf ......    4   2   3   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.750
Phipps      p  ......    1   3   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   2  1.000
Drones      3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Otto        c  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Arráez      ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Coffel      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
  a-Frías   c  ......    5   3   4   1   1   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.800
Lakshman    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Howell      j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  34  16  14   6   2   2  16   6   7   0   2  0.412
  2B: Frías (4), Kallman (6), Kamara (6), Phipps (4), Otto (3), Howell (5).
  3B: Chapman (1), Frías (1).
  HR: Chapman 2 (2), off Okla.
  SB: Kamara 2 (4).
  HBP: Drones (2).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

KHOVD POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Thievon     rf ......    1   4   1   0   0   0   1   4   0   0   0  1.000
Kean        lf ......    5   2   3   2   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.600
Downs       c  ......    5   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.200
Villanueva  2b ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Purser-Rose 1b ......    5   2   3   1   0   0   5   0   0   1   0  0.600
Robinson    ss ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.500
Lerma       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Fodje       3b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0  0.250
Okla        p  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   1  0.500
Rondón      j  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Czeremcha   j  ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Totals                  38  18  17   8   0   0  17   9   7   2   1  0.447
  2B: Kean 2 (7), Downs (3), Villanueva (9), Purser-Rose (3), Robinson (4), Rondón (10), Okla (1).


KAECHON TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Phipps (L, 1-3) .....    32   18  67%   11   10   10    8    3    0  114    -
Cako ................    15    9  33%    6    8    8    1    4    0   56  3-3

KHOVD POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Okla ................    14    7  26%    8    8    6    1    2    2   49    -
Segura (W, 2-0) .....    17   11  41%    5    5    5    3    3    0   58  1-1
Beers (F, 17) .......    10    9  33%    1    3    3    2    2    0   36  2-1

  Batting order: Khovd Police (home) batted first; Kaechon Tornados batted second.
  Seconds: KT o26 (16-18), KP o26 (18-0).
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 58°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 831748.
  Walk-Back runs: off Okla 2.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Nat Kean Pablo Rondón (3B) 0–1
B 7 Jon Downs Bryce Czeremcha (3B) 0–2
B 7 Jon Downs Junior Thievon (3B) 0–3
B 8 Deiton Purser-Rose Nat Kean (2B) 0–4
B 9 Wilbur Robinson Armando Villanueva (3B) 0–5
B 12 Diego Okla Ryler Fodje (2B) 0–6
B 12 Nat Kean Diego Okla (2B) 0–7
B 14 Armando Villanueva Bryce Czeremcha (3B) 0–8
B 14 Deiton Purser-Rose Junior Thievon (3B) 0–9
B 17 Junior Thievon Deiton Purser-Rose (3B) 0–10
B 17 Nat Kean Wilbur Robinson (3B) 0–11
B 17 Nat Kean Diego Okla (2B) 0–12
B 18 Armando Villanueva Junior Thievon (3B) 0–13
B 18 Deiton Purser-Rose Nat Kean (3B) 0–14
B 18 Deiton Purser-Rose Armando Villanueva (1B) 0–15
B 21 Pablo Rondón Deiton Purser-Rose (3B) 0–16
B 24 Jon Downs Pablo Rondón (3B) 0–17
B 25 Deiton Purser-Rose Junior Thievon (3B) 0–18
T 0 James Chapman James Chapman (HR) 1–18
T 1 Oiva Kamara James Chapman (3B) 2–18
T 4 Michael Arráez Karl-Anthony Frías (3B) 3–18
T 6 James Chapman Landon Phipps (2B) 4–18
T 6 James Chapman James Chapman (HR) 5–18
T 6 Carl Kallman James Chapman (3B) 6–18
T 6 Oiva Kamara Carl Kallman (2B) 7–18
T 6 Karl-Anthony Frías Oiva Kamara (2B) 8–18
T 7 Jared Otto Karl-Anthony Frías (3B) 9–18
T 7 Jared Otto Landon Phipps (1B) 10–18
T 10 Carl Kallman James Chapman (3B) 11–18
T 11 Karl-Anthony Frías Oiva Kamara (2B) 12–18
T 11 Landon Phipps Karl-Anthony Frías (2B) 13–18
T 17 Karl-Anthony Frías Landon Phipps (3B) 14–18
T 25 Ramonz Howell Jimmie Drones (3B) 15–18
T 25 Ramonz Howell Carl Kallman (1B) 16–18
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Khovd Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 373' · CF 423' · RF 348' · 12' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Scoreboard Clock
Kaechon Tornados — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 4 1B · 8 XBH · 2 HR
373' 423' 348' James Chapman — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +30° · 480 ft Oiva Kamara — single · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — single · EV 116 mph · LA -3° · 111 ft Jared Otto — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Michael Arráez — fly_out · EV 116 mph · LA +20° · 340 ft Landon Phipps — double · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 331 ft Ramonz Howell — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 216 ft James Chapman — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +30° · 480 ft Carl Kallman — double · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 313 ft Oiva Kamara — single · EV 119 mph · LA +24° · 422 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 149 ft Jared Otto — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 240 ft Michael Arráez — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -18° · 93 ft James Chapman — triple · EV 113 mph · LA +25° · 384 ft Carl Kallman — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +29° · 236 ft Oiva Kamara — double · EV 119 mph · LA +17° · 323 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — double · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 108 ft Jared Otto — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +25° · 291 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +36° · 266 ft Michael Arráez — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 169 ft James Chapman — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — single · EV 87 mph · LA -0° · 82 ft
Khovd Police — Batted Balls
31 BIP· 9 1B · 8 XBH · 0 HR
373' 423' 348' Nat Kean — double · EV 96 mph · LA +38° · 357 ft Jon Downs — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 97 ft Armando Villanueva — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 277 ft Deiton Purser-Rose — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +20° · 156 ft Ryler Fodje — single · EV 78 mph · LA +26° · 192 ft Bryce Czeremcha — single · EV 80 mph · LA +24° · 189 ft Wilbur Robinson — double · EV 100 mph · LA +39° · 389 ft Pablo Rondón — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 227 ft Diego Okla — double · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 250 ft Junior Thievon — single · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 153 ft Nat Kean — single · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 93 ft Jon Downs — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 309 ft Deiton Purser-Rose — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Ryler Fodje — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 117 ft Bryce Czeremcha — single · EV 96 mph · LA +2° · 91 ft Armando Villanueva — double · EV 83 mph · LA +37° · 268 ft Wilbur Robinson — single · EV 80 mph · LA +8° · 74 ft Gerardo Lerma — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +31° · 209 ft Pablo Rondón — double · EV 94 mph · LA +28° · 294 ft Nat Kean — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +9° · 86 ft Jon Downs — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +42° · 245 ft Deiton Purser-Rose — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 111 ft Ryler Fodje — fly_out · EV 58 mph · LA +29° · 113 ft Armando Villanueva — single · EV 82 mph · LA +17° · 152 ft Nat Kean — double · EV 95 mph · LA +18° · 216 ft Jon Downs — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 192 ft Deiton Purser-Rose — double · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Armando Villanueva — line_out · EV 67 mph · LA +19° · 112 ft Jon Downs — double · EV 95 mph · LA +22° · 250 ft Deiton Purser-Rose — error · EV 81 mph · LA +10° · 93 ft Deiton Purser-Rose — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 191 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Kaechon Tornados
57% deserve-to-win  ·  18.4 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  -2.4 vs expected
contact: 30.0 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 30.0
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Oiva Kamara 119 / +24° Center Single 3.0 → 1 -1.97
Karl-Anthony Frías 100 / +11° Pull Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.76
Michael Arráez 116 / +20° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.72
Jared Otto 97 / +25° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Karl-Anthony Frías 88 / +10° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Khovd Police
43% deserve-to-win  ·  16.1 expected runs
actual 18 runs  ·  +1.9 vs expected
contact: 20.7 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 25.0 (+4.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Armando Villanueva 83 / +37° Center Double 0.5 → 2 +1.47
Pablo Rondón 94 / +28° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Jon Downs 92 / +33° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Diego Okla 92 / +24° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Nat Kean 95 / +18° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
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